What is it about the #5/#12 Matchups?

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Why are these so dangerous every year......We seem to see more upets here than in the 6/11, and 7/10 matchups....

And by rule, a #12 seed, is "usually" gonna be one of the last at large teams picked, or a tourney winner from a small conference, and the #5 basically is gonna be a "ranked" team, that has had success for the most part , over the whole year.....i know there are exceptions, but in general that would prove true....yet every year we see at least 1 or 2 #12 seeds win their games, and often win them handily.....

Anyone have an explanation?

Just seems weird to me the way it works......Its almost like being a #5 seed is a BAD THING....
 

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I have my own theory involving Andy Kaufman (who's not dead by the way), Roman Polansky and crop circles but I want to give it at least one more year to see if it holds up.
 

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Kent St and Pitt have recent upset history as well, back in 2002 Kent knocked off a pretty good Pitt team, Kent St was the Cinderella team of that tourney...they can play.

Krauser has been strugling.
 

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TEXAS AM and MONTANA #12 seeded winners yesterday.

UTAH ST a big loser vs WASHINGTON(a team underrated by the way).

2-1 going to the KENT STATE today.
 

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Fishhead said:
TEXAS AM and MONTANA #12 seeded winners yesterday.

UTAH ST a big loser vs WASHINGTON(a team underrated by the way).

2-1 going to the KENT STATE today.

Yeah, the theory doesnt ring as true for the Syracuse game, cuz i dont think they should have been anywhere near a #5 seed, they were just living off of "one weekend's" glory, and it was fresh in the committees mind...

But this happens every year......

I would say over the course of the last 10 years, that the win % of #12 seeds over #5's is very comparable to the #9's that have beaten #8's.....and it shouldnt be "according to form".....

But it looks as if the committee mistakes this year, are beginning to show already, although Air Force played a little better than i expected, they are gone....although the last at large teams arent "expected" to win a game anyway....but the overseeded Tennessee, struggled mightily, Syracuse went down...Seton Hall who shouldn't have been there, got blown out, GW, who was underseeded managed to beat a very good UNCWilm team, although it was close, and Xavier, who many thought was underseeded, took Gonzaga to the wire as well...
 

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Tennessee will likely lose to Wichita State, they have NO half court offense.

I think there has been atleast one number 12 winner every year accept one time, since the tournament expanded to 64/65 team field..
 

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Yesterday:
#11 Wis-Mil sends #6 Oklahoma home
#10 Alabama Sends #7 Marquett Home
#12 Montana Sends #5 Nevada Home
#12 Texas A&M Sends #5 Syracuse Packing

Todays Schedule:

<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=columnrow align=left width="50%">2:35 pm</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="10%"> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Northern Iowa #10</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Georgetown #7
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=columnrow align=left width="50%">2:45 pm</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="10%"> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Southern Illinois #11</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>West Virginia #6
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=columnrow align=left width="50%">7:10 pm</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="10%"> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Kent State #12</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Pittsburgh #5
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=columnrow align=left width="50%">7:10 pm</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="10%"> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>George Mason #11</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>Michigan State #6
<TABLE cellSpacing=1 cellPadding=2 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD class=columnrow align=left width="50%">7:20 pm</TD><TD class=columnrow align=middle width="10%"> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>North Carolina State #10</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR><TR class=bg2 vAlign=center align=right height=17><TD align=left>California #7</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
</TD><TD align=middle> </TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>
 

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SEC Went Undefeated yesterday....
 

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Journeyman said:
Tennessee will likely lose to Wichita State, they have NO half court offense.

I think there has been atleast one number 12 winner every year accept one time, since the tournament expanded to 64/65 team field..

A couple years back no #12 seeds won, but other than that it has happened each year.

The #12 is usually a strong champion of a mid-major or minor conference. The #7-#11 seeds are lots of at-large squads. This year is very rare, with at-large #13 seed, something you won't see too often. With mid-majors getting more competitive things are changing.
 

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Used to be great about 5 years ago when you could blindly bet the #12 seeds over the 4 games and make money. Now the angle has been played out.

With the exception of Pitt, this year was an exceptionally poor group of #5's. A team that was out of it before conference tournaments and the winner of a mid major conference that caught Kansas while they were still figuring out the game which obviously pumped up their RPI. I will admit that I certainly didn't think that Montana stood a chance.
 

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