Choptalks Saturday Baseball 10-1 +$2093.00 +20.9 Units Ytd

CHOPTALK · Mar 17, 2006

10-1 +$2093.00 +20.9 Units Ytd
WHO NEEDS MARCH MADDNESS?!!!!

Chicago WhiteSox -119 $357 for $300 :money8: :money8: :money8:

A little chalky for a spring game, but this is a perfect example of what I was talking about yesterday. The linesmakers wont go out on a limb in the spring. This should be -170++

GOOD LUCK!!!!!!!!!!

If you enjoy betting make sure you write your representive to voice your feelings on the Leach bill. For those that dont know, Congress is trying to pass a bill to prevent you from betting sports online.
Heres a link to voice your concerns.
http://www.house.gov/writerep

Nolockshere · Mar 17, 2006

Who Needs March Maddness?!!!!

Amen brother!!Sweet start to the season Chop.Thanks for the great picks so far.

Bourn · Mar 17, 2006

Just put it in. LETS CASH THIS ONE!!! :suomi:

Excellent job!!!

Littledaddy · Mar 17, 2006

So how do u have this capped Im just curious. Rush Vs J vasques they both r nothing special. Rush has pitched like 9 innings this spring with a 7+era, Vascuez has pitched 1 total inning. I read the post u answered eariler but Im very intirested on how u cap because it is a hobbie of mine and i like to learn new things.

As far as offensive rankings wht kind of ranking system etc do u use. Yes I tail/ and will tail u but Im just very curious. I would love some input to help me be better.

CHOPTALK · Mar 18, 2006

Littledaddy said:
So how do u have this capped Im just curious. Rush Vs J vasques they both r nothing special. Rush has pitched like 9 innings this spring with a 7+era, Vascuez has pitched 1 total inning. I read the post u answered eariler but Im very intirested on how u cap because it is a hobbie of mine and i like to learn new things.

As far as offensive rankings wht kind of ranking system etc do u use. Yes I tail/ and will tail u but Im just very curious. I would love some input to help me be better.

Spring is totally different than the regular season. Its night and day. Starting pitching matchups dont mean a whole hell of alot in spring training. Although I favor the starting pitching matchup for the Whitesox, I look at the bullpen rotation and the lineup rotation for the whole game.

You asked me about offensive rankings. I dont have offensive rankings. That has nothing whatsoever to do with how I cap.

I cap the moneyline, not the game. If you can understand what I am trying to say about that I would be very impressed. My style is almost a 180 degree opposite of everyone else. I dont look at 1% of the things that most look at. 99.9% of the things that most people spend hours a day capping is already factored into the moneyline. These people are not capping a game, all they are doing is confirming the line. Do you think for 1 second that the linesmaker does not know that boston is 52-36 playing on the road against teams with a less than .500 record comming off of a loss? Of course they do, and that is reflected in the line.

I laugh to myself at some of the numbers that some people study and they think that they are really doing something. All I do is give each team and each starter a power number and compare it to the line. After years and years I have it fine tuned to know exactly what the power numbers are worth vs the moneyline. 8 straight years of winning proves that.

Its not as hard as people think.

heatohio · Mar 18, 2006

You can pick the names out of a hat for all I care, keep up those winners. I'm with you all the way today. During the week I usually miss your picks, I'm at work by the time you post and the lines come up at my book. Lets make up for it this weekend.
:toast:

FatTony · Mar 18, 2006

CHOPTALK said:
These people are not capping a game, all they are doing is confirming the line. Do you think for 1 second that the linesmaker does not know that boston is 52-36 playing on the road against teams with a less than .500 record comming off of a loss? Of course they do, and that is reflected in the line.

Amen!!! People don't get that the oddsmakers know the trends as well as the player. :suomi:

roach23 · Mar 18, 2006

CHOPTALK said:
Spring is totally different than the regular season. Its night and day. Starting pitching matchups dont mean a whole hell of alot in spring training. Although I favor the starting pitching matchup for the Whitesox, I look at the bullpen rotation and the lineup rotation for the whole game.

You asked me about offensive rankings. I dont have offensive rankings. That has nothing whatsoever to do with how I cap.

I cap the moneyline, not the game. If you can understand what I am trying to say about that I would be very impressed. My style is almost a 180 degree opposite of everyone else. I dont look at 1% of the things that most look at. 99.9% of the things that most people spend hours a day capping is already factored into the moneyline. These people are not capping a game, all they are doing is confirming the line. Do you think for 1 second that the linesmaker does not know that boston is 52-36 playing on the road against teams with a less than .500 record comming off of a loss? Of course they do, and that is reflected in the line.

I laugh to myself at some of the numbers that some people study and they think that they are really doing something. All I do is give each team and each starter a power number and compare it to the line. After years and years I have it fine tuned to know exactly what the power numbers are worth vs the moneyline. 8 straight years of winning proves that.

Its not as hard as people think.

how do you come up with your power numbers? suppose that this was a regular season game with this line. if you have the time, can you give us a quick run through of how you'd go about capping it?

Typhoon · Mar 18, 2006

Fat Tony said:
Amen!!! People don't get that the oddsmakers know the trends as well as the player.

Tony, they no it BETTER than the player, they are physchological mind players of the highest level....they know how the bettors are going to react before the bettors know it......Thankfully for us Choptalk followers he knows his stuff and they won't get the best of him.....

GL

mlmleads · Mar 18, 2006

chop.. Probably not your favorite thing but can you pick a 4,5 ,or 6 game parlay you feel confident in on a day is likely to pay..

Thanks for the great picks.

RayLuca · Mar 18, 2006

Reminds me of September baseball between two teams that are out of it. Everybody is focused on the NFL and you catch the Bookmaker napping in baseball

Good Job

Good Luck

FadeToGreen · Mar 18, 2006

Not to put too fine a point on it, but there is no such thing as a baseball 4-6 team parlay that is "likely to pay." Heck, I've killed myself with 2 teamers, to point where I've sworn off pretty much ANY parlays. But that's just me.

mlmleads · Mar 18, 2006

FadeToGreen said:
Not to put too fine a point on it, but there is no such thing as a baseball 4-6 team parlay that is "likely to pay." Heck, I've killed myself with 2 teamers, to point where I've sworn off pretty much ANY parlays. But that's just me.

probably right always screwed by the first or the last game :Sad Face:

Lawrence · Mar 18, 2006

Chop- I will follow you blindly on this. You seem to know what you are doing. Best of Luck to us..

fightclub34 · Mar 18, 2006

4-1 white sox. Good start

chckboy5 · Mar 18, 2006

5-1 now!

Littledaddy · Mar 18, 2006

HOT DAMN 7-1:thumbsup2: pale hose

Littledaddy · Mar 18, 2006

Hey Chop thank you for taking the time to answer the questions that i asked. Your answers did give me some insight.

heatohio · Mar 18, 2006

Glad I followed on this one, looks pretty safe at this point. 8-3 in the 8th. Hopefully this is a sign of things to come this summer.

BigCat · Mar 18, 2006

Thanks Chop,great play!:drink:

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