Before analyzing some numbers, i read about 30 articles from US, Japan and Korea but this matchup is once again a tossup. I have seen people pounding on Japan from the first match. A lot of people put more money on japan in the second match. Now, checking out the line movement so far, more money is going toward to japan but still better price (-140) than the initial line (-160).
I expect the line to be around -150 or if some want to put more on japan, it will be close to -170 or -180 right before the game time.
If there is anyone who is so desperate and want some money back from yesterday loss, NEVER put money on japan today. Unless japan is priced at -110, i will never put any money on japan. Some said that japan is due for a win and they cannot lose to an inferior team... Look at the result so far. Losing two in a row does tell us something about the mechanics of koreans and their passion on this game.
To tell you the truth, i made huge on WBC and predicted more than 90% right (mostly on asian matches involving japan and korea. One loss came from other pool's match...ouch). However, this game is not something we should wager a lot.
Even the total line is a bit too small. It came out at 7.5 and now it is 6.5. Seo and Uehara can pitch well but both can give runs depending on the team they face. I will give a bit of edge toward the korean pitcher (starting and also relief pitchers).
Besides, i rate an emotional edge to koreans. It is said that koreans are more nervous meeting japanese third time in a row but concern of japanese of losing another game to Korea is more than a nightmare (they said it is simply unthinkable). Just imagine what would happen to japanese if they lose. If this game goes scoreless for the first 3 to 4 innings. I expect to see some errors from japanese defense and sloppy offense as well.
So i will put some coins (not a lot, considering the hightened level of feelings of two teams) on Korea ML and if any + runline is available, i will put more on Korea RL. I have no idea on the total, it can go really ugly or it can be another close matchup but i feel like korean will win convincingly by the score of 4-1 or 6-2.
Regardless of the outcome, enjoy this match. I am sure this will be the highlight of WBC. :toast:
I expect the line to be around -150 or if some want to put more on japan, it will be close to -170 or -180 right before the game time.
If there is anyone who is so desperate and want some money back from yesterday loss, NEVER put money on japan today. Unless japan is priced at -110, i will never put any money on japan. Some said that japan is due for a win and they cannot lose to an inferior team... Look at the result so far. Losing two in a row does tell us something about the mechanics of koreans and their passion on this game.
To tell you the truth, i made huge on WBC and predicted more than 90% right (mostly on asian matches involving japan and korea. One loss came from other pool's match...ouch). However, this game is not something we should wager a lot.
Even the total line is a bit too small. It came out at 7.5 and now it is 6.5. Seo and Uehara can pitch well but both can give runs depending on the team they face. I will give a bit of edge toward the korean pitcher (starting and also relief pitchers).
Besides, i rate an emotional edge to koreans. It is said that koreans are more nervous meeting japanese third time in a row but concern of japanese of losing another game to Korea is more than a nightmare (they said it is simply unthinkable). Just imagine what would happen to japanese if they lose. If this game goes scoreless for the first 3 to 4 innings. I expect to see some errors from japanese defense and sloppy offense as well.
So i will put some coins (not a lot, considering the hightened level of feelings of two teams) on Korea ML and if any + runline is available, i will put more on Korea RL. I have no idea on the total, it can go really ugly or it can be another close matchup but i feel like korean will win convincingly by the score of 4-1 or 6-2.
Regardless of the outcome, enjoy this match. I am sure this will be the highlight of WBC. :toast:
lace w:st="on">Korea</st1
