Speaking of good handicappers, I'd like to know if a system like this is feasible.
Suppose I have a 100 unit bankroll. Let's say I decide to tail 5 good cappers, and that I play all their bets in the same proportions that they make them to their bankroll. So for instance, if Capper1 makes 10 one unit bets, I will make the same 10 one unit bets, and if Capper2 makes 3 two unit bets, I will make the same 3 two units bets, etc. On any given day, a capper would be playing 10% of his bankroll, the other 90% being inactive. So on any given day, I would be playing 50% of my bankroll on their picks, with the other half inactive.
Basically, by the end of the year, if I assume that each capper has an average season and delivers 50 units, that would still be 5 cappers X 50 units = 250 units.
I understand that I would often have upward of 50% of my bankroll going every day, but it'd be divided into 20-40 plays nonetheless. This is problematic, since if a few of them go on a bad streak at the same time, you could get wiped out. However, when you spread your risk out by playing 5 cappers, the risk of that happening is reduced.
In theory, that's the only problem I see. What else is wrong with this system idea ? I have less than a month's experience of sports betting, so I'm sure other wiser pointers would be able to point out the flaws of a system like this one.
Suppose I have a 100 unit bankroll. Let's say I decide to tail 5 good cappers, and that I play all their bets in the same proportions that they make them to their bankroll. So for instance, if Capper1 makes 10 one unit bets, I will make the same 10 one unit bets, and if Capper2 makes 3 two unit bets, I will make the same 3 two units bets, etc. On any given day, a capper would be playing 10% of his bankroll, the other 90% being inactive. So on any given day, I would be playing 50% of my bankroll on their picks, with the other half inactive.
Basically, by the end of the year, if I assume that each capper has an average season and delivers 50 units, that would still be 5 cappers X 50 units = 250 units.
I understand that I would often have upward of 50% of my bankroll going every day, but it'd be divided into 20-40 plays nonetheless. This is problematic, since if a few of them go on a bad streak at the same time, you could get wiped out. However, when you spread your risk out by playing 5 cappers, the risk of that happening is reduced.
In theory, that's the only problem I see. What else is wrong with this system idea ? I have less than a month's experience of sports betting, so I'm sure other wiser pointers would be able to point out the flaws of a system like this one.
winbet said:Did you give any thought that you may end up being on both sides of 5 games in 1 day, certainly several over time.reducing your Bankroll to zero and a hard luck story.:drink:
Of course I wouldn't play both sides of a bet. If the handicappers seem evenly split about a play, I probably wouldn't play the bet at all.
There are advantages in following the picks of others. Less time and effort. Less expertise needed. Less stress in blaming others for bad picks. More profits?
Of course, there are disadvantages too. Blind faith in others who might be unreliable. Difficulty in following every pick such as from late information and excess stakes.
Of course, there are disadvantages too. Blind faith in others who might be unreliable. Difficulty in following every pick such as from late information and excess stakes.
