Remember what the sharps say about the MLB..

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zee

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.....the value is WITH THE DOGS!!!!!!
**sarcasm on

I mean, Colorado won, and that's still 1 out of 14. You just keep betting those doggies, and you're certain to get VALUE!!..

**sarcasm off

Laughing @ people who say that backing favs is the "square" thing to do isn't even funny anymore....
<!-- sarcasm-->
 

2006 People Magazine's Sexiest Handicapper Alive
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yep!

value can be found in ANY line...both dogs AND favorites. it just depends on the situation.

people who make arbitrary limits for themselves (i.e. only plays dogs, never lay more than -160, never do this, only do that, etc. etc.) are only passing up potential profits.

each game and line must be handicapped separately.
 

zee

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I agree. The point has been made more than once, and there are still people who assume that if the "backing dogs only" method works for them, than backing favs AND dogs can't work BETTER for somebody else.
 

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actually, for the past two years, if you blindly bet every dog for the first month, you were up big money.....

at 1-14, looks like this year might be different,

I think the lesson is, one should not be focused on wether a team is a doggie or a favorite, but rather, do the odds present value, given the matchup......
 

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