For those that want to follow, I won the first ever RX baseball handicapping challenge and was in the lead at the halfway point in year two when me and theRX unfortunately went our own ways.
Overs: 0-0
Unders: 4-0
Dogs: 0-1
Favs: 1-0
Overall Record and Units: 5-1 +4.15 Units
Jake's Lines:
White Sox -140, U9 -115
Houston -210, U8 -115
Toronto -120, U7 -120
Milwaukee -140, O8.5 -115
Boston -125, O12 -120
San Fran -130, O8.5 -120
Yankees -135, U8.5 -110
Atlanta -115, 7.5 Pk
Seattle -112, U8.5 -125
Minnesota/Toronto Under 7 -105
Pitchers: Halladay/Santana
Toronto's can't hit lefties. Minnesota can't hit anyone. Two of the best pitchers in the game with above average bullpens. This game should be an under.
Pittsburgh +155
Pitchers: Santos/Capauno
Pittsburgh hit lefties last season and now they have Sean Casey who is excellent against lefties. Capauno had issues with the Pirates last season and that should continue this year. Santos is not a great pitcher but Milwaukee's lineup is nothing special and Pittsburgh has a nice shot to win this one.
Boston +103
Boston/Texas Over 10.5 -113
Pitchers: Wakefield/Padilla
Wakefield struggles against this Texas lineup, but Boston has so much pop and Padilla's arm is crap. He isn't the prospect he was years ago and won't like pitching in Arrlington at all. This game could go over after 5 innings, and I'll take Wakefield's poor outings against Texas over Padilla's shelling that Boston will give him.
San Fran/San Diego Over 8 -109
Pitchers: Morris/Estes
Whether or not Bonds plays, this game is going over the total. San Fran hits lefties EXTREMELY well and Estes can't pitch against them. Morris is an average pitcher and SD has done pretty well against him in the past. Morris is overrated although he is solid. I'm not a huge fan of either team's bullpen either.
Yankees +111
Pitchers: Harden/Mussina
Mussina has pitched well against Oakland. Harden has not pitched well against the Yankees. Yankees have the better offense. Although Harden is a much better pitcher than Mussina at this point, he doesn't match up well against the Yankees and will likely get his fairly hard.
LA Dodgers +122
Pitchers: Penny/Smoltz
With Smoltz' arm issues and it being his first start of the year, I would not expect him to go more than 6 innings and likely less than that as LAD can get some hits and make him throw alot. After that, it's up to Atlanta's horrible bullpen to finish the game and it's doubtful they'll do that well. Penny is a solid pitcher and Atlanta's offense is only average.
Seattle +100
Seattle/LAA Under 8.5 -108
Pitchers: Lackey/Peneiro
Peneiro has a very good history against the Angels. Lackey is an extremely underrated pitcher who has had success against Seattle. Both bullpens are among the best in the game and these guys are playing in a pitcher's park. This game has 3-2 Seattle win written all over it.
Overs: 0-0
Unders: 4-0
Dogs: 0-1
Favs: 1-0
Overall Record and Units: 5-1 +4.15 Units
Jake's Lines:
White Sox -140, U9 -115
Houston -210, U8 -115
Toronto -120, U7 -120
Milwaukee -140, O8.5 -115
Boston -125, O12 -120
San Fran -130, O8.5 -120
Yankees -135, U8.5 -110
Atlanta -115, 7.5 Pk
Seattle -112, U8.5 -125
Minnesota/Toronto Under 7 -105
Pitchers: Halladay/Santana
Toronto's can't hit lefties. Minnesota can't hit anyone. Two of the best pitchers in the game with above average bullpens. This game should be an under.
Pittsburgh +155
Pitchers: Santos/Capauno
Pittsburgh hit lefties last season and now they have Sean Casey who is excellent against lefties. Capauno had issues with the Pirates last season and that should continue this year. Santos is not a great pitcher but Milwaukee's lineup is nothing special and Pittsburgh has a nice shot to win this one.
Boston +103
Boston/Texas Over 10.5 -113
Pitchers: Wakefield/Padilla
Wakefield struggles against this Texas lineup, but Boston has so much pop and Padilla's arm is crap. He isn't the prospect he was years ago and won't like pitching in Arrlington at all. This game could go over after 5 innings, and I'll take Wakefield's poor outings against Texas over Padilla's shelling that Boston will give him.
San Fran/San Diego Over 8 -109
Pitchers: Morris/Estes
Whether or not Bonds plays, this game is going over the total. San Fran hits lefties EXTREMELY well and Estes can't pitch against them. Morris is an average pitcher and SD has done pretty well against him in the past. Morris is overrated although he is solid. I'm not a huge fan of either team's bullpen either.
Yankees +111
Pitchers: Harden/Mussina
Mussina has pitched well against Oakland. Harden has not pitched well against the Yankees. Yankees have the better offense. Although Harden is a much better pitcher than Mussina at this point, he doesn't match up well against the Yankees and will likely get his fairly hard.
LA Dodgers +122
Pitchers: Penny/Smoltz
With Smoltz' arm issues and it being his first start of the year, I would not expect him to go more than 6 innings and likely less than that as LAD can get some hits and make him throw alot. After that, it's up to Atlanta's horrible bullpen to finish the game and it's doubtful they'll do that well. Penny is a solid pitcher and Atlanta's offense is only average.
Seattle +100
Seattle/LAA Under 8.5 -108
Pitchers: Lackey/Peneiro
Peneiro has a very good history against the Angels. Lackey is an extremely underrated pitcher who has had success against Seattle. Both bullpens are among the best in the game and these guys are playing in a pitcher's park. This game has 3-2 Seattle win written all over it.
