After thinking about this for a while. I myself do play. I played Everyone of those cfb and cbb plays that i played in the cfb and cbb forums. But if you will notice they were spread out over the course of a season.
What really gets me is this...Some one will have 409 plays, or some HUGE number as that and hitting 56%. Another thing How could Anyone follow that for anything other than small money, if you could even follow for that. I do know this they cant be playing very high as the VIG would EAT you alive.
Now watch one of those say will they were playing at a reduced juice site....please!! Doesnt matter if they were laying -02....
So i agree the % is probably close to that number.