anyone got time to run some numbers on a system?

Playing the road team on R/L or Alt runline (if they are the dog), in a progressive 1-2-4 system.......

coming into today, this system shows a 24-6 mark... however the (+ units) on this is staggering... the 6 losses will naturally show a (-42 units) or really close to that, as each home sweep will cause a 7 unit loss.....

however with the road team, you lose one unit on game one but bet 2 units on game and probably get a good payback of 3-4 units, thus profting 2-3 units on game 2 wins... but it gets even better, if pressed all the way to game 3 of a series, which is a 4 unit bet, you would clear somewhere between 3-5 units on series...

i looked at the weekend series and i think it cleared around 15 units... didnt get a good read on first set of series last week, although i know they were 12-3 and showed a profit..

anyone got quick access to this info..

and btw, CWS and LAD have already pulled this off today... so its now 26-6 and probably up close to 25 units easy..

covers has all that info SSI.

thx.....

SSI, when you say Alt RL you mean -1.5 or +1.5? Explain how you would play this, thanks.

I looked at road dogs last yr. and if they didnt win game 1 there was no statistical advantage to them winning either game 2 or game 3. I know this year first week all road dogs lost game 1 tues-sat. I didnt look at alter rl etc. someone else said that if your playing rd in game 1 and they had 1 the previous game you had a higher % of them winning first game.
Note today both CWS and LAD won last game so I bet more today on them I am using unit and 1/2 on this.hope this helps

thx bobk...

fhem: im talking about always laying the (-1.5 runs).. sometimes you got to use the alt run line.. +1.5 runs is worse bet in baseball (my opinion).. id never play it, unless it was +1.5 (+juice as well)...

payback on this thing is unreal on game 2's and 3's..... lot of +2.00 dogs using this... not uncommon to clear 3-5 units on this..

this is on the study table for me today and tomorrow......

looking thru alot of things in april to decided the seasons direction..

what im not going to play is a 1-2-4 progression with favorites to win a game.. you wind up needing to win on a 9 or 10: 1 ratio to breakeven.. thats not for me...

Cool, thanks. I will be interested to see what you find.