Only dogs that are dogs with opening line.
My system is playing only road dogs that have proven to make money as a dogs vs. certain teams.To be a money making road dog a team has to have played .500 ball or better vs teams over the last 5, 10 or 20 games ie: check out Yanks vs RSox when either team as a road dog.You would have made a fortune.These situation are all over baseball not as pronounced but you get the picture.
As the season goes on I will eliminate betting the 10 worst overall winng pct. teams altogether.
All road dog teams historically win at 40% rate.If you eliminate the bottom 8-10 teams they win at a 47% rate.So if I start at the 47% I am basically betting into a break even situation.If i can bet into situation where those teams have had recent success vs opponents,hopefully i can win at a 50% rate.50% rate betting dogs is a great ROI.Thats basically it.
My system is playing only road dogs that have proven to make money as a dogs vs. certain teams.To be a money making road dog a team has to have played .500 ball or better vs teams over the last 5, 10 or 20 games ie: check out Yanks vs RSox when either team as a road dog.You would have made a fortune.These situation are all over baseball not as pronounced but you get the picture.
As the season goes on I will eliminate betting the 10 worst overall winng pct. teams altogether.
All road dog teams historically win at 40% rate.If you eliminate the bottom 8-10 teams they win at a 47% rate.So if I start at the 47% I am basically betting into a break even situation.If i can bet into situation where those teams have had recent success vs opponents,hopefully i can win at a 50% rate.50% rate betting dogs is a great ROI.Thats basically it.
good luck Pat... nice start...
did you ever look at the R/L's with the roadies..... go back thru your games this year and see just how many times "your road dog", covered that 1.5 runs, more times than you think..... and the price goes way up..
continued success..
alternate run line, that is.. (-1.5)
did you ever look at the R/L's with the roadies..... go back thru your games this year and see just how many times "your road dog", covered that 1.5 runs, more times than you think..... and the price goes way up..
continued success..
alternate run line, that is.. (-1.5)
