Choptalks Thursday Baseball 22-32 -$1768 Ytd -17.6 Units Ytd(Oh my what a card)

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22-32 -$1768 Ytd -17.6 Units Ytd
Decent day yesterday 4-2 +4.0. Lets grind some more. Play, fade, or ignore. The other day a loved my card and it bombed. Well I love this card even more. Take it for what its worth.
3)Washington -104 $312 for $300 LH/VZ *******TOP PLAY

3)Giants -139 $417 for $300 MM/BB
2)Dodgers -101 $202 for $200 DL/OP
3)Arizona -122 $366 for $300 JF/RO
2)WhiteSox -105 $210 for $200
1)Baltimore -124 $124 for $100 BC/DW
1)Royals +356 $100 for $356 RJ/DB


The Royals probably will not win this game. But I have no choice but to put a unit on that play. There is almost no scenerio in baseball where I will not take a stab on a +350+ under any condition. I dont care if its Bob Gibson against Jose Lima. Im going to take the +356.

Good luck everyone.
 

W-R-X Champion
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Well line should go in your favor on KC so wait

I am shocked that we have no plays in common or against. gl you madman.
 

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Chop

Is arizona a 2 unit play? I see you have $366 for $300. Just wanna confirm
 

30 point quarters
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Chop since Arizona -122 is $366 for $300 shouldnt it be a 3 unit?
 

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pro_bettor said:
Chop

Is arizona a 2 unit play? I see you have $366 for $300. Just wanna confirm

I fixed it. Yes 3 unit play. Thanks.
 

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Dubpoet said:
Well line should go in your favor on KC so wait

I am shocked that we have no plays in common or against. gl you madman.

I have a feeling that that line is going to come down. I cant imagine too many people laying that kind of chalk. Im sure the Yanks will get alot of play on parleys though.

The Royals are strickly a value pick. At +356 the Royals only have to win 21.9% of the time to break even. I think they have a 35% shot at winning the game.
 

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CHOPTALK said:
I have a feeling that that line is going to come down. I cant imagine too many people laying that kind of chalk. Im sure the Yanks will get alot of play on parleys though.

The Royals are strickly a value pick. At +356 the Royals only have to win 21.9% of the time to break even. I think they have a 35% shot at winning the game.

I like it parlayed to over 9.5, can't see KC winning and going under, if they win it will be 7-6 or something not 3-2, IMO, you'll get the a bottom of the ninth which the total line doesn't expect to happen.
 

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good luck man, hate to say i'm against u on the LAD play, but i'm on B'More and Wash. my home teams need to step up and do the damn thing
 

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gynecologist said:
Whats up with the Giants -139?

I see them @ -118 ??

Double hitter. I have game 1, you are probably looking at the line for game 2. Thanks for bring that up because I did not make that clear.




My Giants play is for Game 1
 

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I just wanted to bring something up that I have been wanting to talk about for a while but forgot.

For a $100 a unit play there is a total of about $1700 risked on this card. That may be alot of money to some, it may be peanuts for others. Some people dont risk $1700 in a week. Some people risk $1700+ per play.

The important thing is not to risk the same amount of money that I risk on these games just because I do. Play according to your bankroll. When I say to play the games the same way I do that just means to play the games in the same unit percentage. Dont put yourself in a bind over a bad day. Make sure you have plenty of bankroll left over for the good times. There will be plenty of good times this year. More good than bad. It would be a shame to blow your whole bankroll on one bad run by having a unit size too big for your bankroll. Money Management is the most important aspect of betting. You can lose your ass with a 100+ unit a year baseball capper with bad MM.

GOOD LUCK

 
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Choptalk is right!!

A capper picking 54% winners with superb money mgmt skills
is better off than a capper picking 62% winners and below
average money mgmt skills!
 

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