Yesterday: 4-0 (+7.15 units)
Season : 14-1 (+21.15 units)
Still hot, who knows what'll happen anymore. Still bracing for a crash impact and still hoping it's fairly gentle for us. I'm just going to keep doing what I've been doing and hope things keep going our direction.
As to the lines, as of right now, Pinnacle doesn't have their lines-up. So we'll wait and see. If you would like to wait until tomorrow for them to post, you can do that. I imagine they may have some better payouts for some of these.
Onto the picks:
Cleveland Indians TT Over 4.5 -110 vs Detroit Tigers (RHP Jeremy Bonderman) .. Risk 2.2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Silenced by the lefty Kenny Rogers yesterday, I like the Indians to break out the bats vs Bonderman on Saturday. Bonderman went 5.46/1.37/.270 BAA against the Indians last season. Now I don't think Bonderman is a bad pitcher, he just doesn't matchup well against the Indians, who are loaded from the left-side of the plate. Broussard, Blake, Sizemore, Hafner, Belliard, Michaels have been bruisers against righties this season and they'll face a RHP in a park that caters to them! Like the Indians here.
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New York Mets TT Over 4.5 -110 vs Milwaukee Brewers (RHP Tomo Ohka) .. Risk 2.2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Ohka has had problems with the Mets in the past, 5.68/1.74/.302 in two starts last year. Although alot of the Mets pop comes from the right side of the plate, Ohka doesn't have anything special for right handed hitters at all, and the Mets have been pounding the ball. If Milwaukee's bullpen wasn't so solid, this may have been a 3 unit play. But we'll try the Mets for 2 here.
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Boston Red Sox TT Over 5.5 -110 vs Seattle Mariners (RHP Joel Pineiro) .. Risk 2.2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Ortiz and Manny have hit well vs Pinerio over the years, hitting him up for a combined 15 for 40 (.375) and 5 HRs. Mariners bullpen has been very shaky this year. Pineiro went 0-2 at Fenway last year with 10.13/2.16/.383. He doesn't have anything special against right handed hitters. He's a horrible day pitcher (7.67/1.65/.333 last year). He had some rough outings already in the pitching friendly confines of Safeco. If Trot Nixon were 100% healthy and expected to play tomorrow, this may have been a 3 unit play as well as he's had good success against Pinerio over the years.
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Chicago Cubs TT Over 4.5 +100 vs Pittsburgh Pirates (LHP Zach Duke) .. Risk 2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
The new coaching staff has been messing with Duke's mechanics resulting in a horrible spring training and two terrible starts to open the season. You must figure him to get hit up everytime he is on the mound until he starts showing signs of getting things under control. Mix in the Pirates bullpen and you have a recipe for more runs.
===
Florida Marlins TT Under 4 -105 vs Washington Nationals (RHP John Patterson) .. Risk 2.1 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Patterson went 2-0 in Dolphins Stadium last year with 2.77/1.15/.224 BAA. After getting rocked by the Mets in his opener, he settled down and pitched 6 decent innings against the Astros in a hitters park. He now heads to pitchers paradise and is facing a team full of ham and eggers who haven't been able to touch right handed pitching this season. I love a large play on the Nationals to win this game as well, but we won't include it in our TT record. The bullpen is always a concern, but Patterson should throw a gem here and go deep into this game.
Don't want to play too many of these in one day, (would like to cap it at 5-7/day max). If there's another one that I spot this morning and like, I'll add it on.
G'luck
Sek
Season : 14-1 (+21.15 units)
Still hot, who knows what'll happen anymore. Still bracing for a crash impact and still hoping it's fairly gentle for us. I'm just going to keep doing what I've been doing and hope things keep going our direction.
As to the lines, as of right now, Pinnacle doesn't have their lines-up. So we'll wait and see. If you would like to wait until tomorrow for them to post, you can do that. I imagine they may have some better payouts for some of these.
Onto the picks:
Cleveland Indians TT Over 4.5 -110 vs Detroit Tigers (RHP Jeremy Bonderman) .. Risk 2.2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Silenced by the lefty Kenny Rogers yesterday, I like the Indians to break out the bats vs Bonderman on Saturday. Bonderman went 5.46/1.37/.270 BAA against the Indians last season. Now I don't think Bonderman is a bad pitcher, he just doesn't matchup well against the Indians, who are loaded from the left-side of the plate. Broussard, Blake, Sizemore, Hafner, Belliard, Michaels have been bruisers against righties this season and they'll face a RHP in a park that caters to them! Like the Indians here.
===
New York Mets TT Over 4.5 -110 vs Milwaukee Brewers (RHP Tomo Ohka) .. Risk 2.2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Ohka has had problems with the Mets in the past, 5.68/1.74/.302 in two starts last year. Although alot of the Mets pop comes from the right side of the plate, Ohka doesn't have anything special for right handed hitters at all, and the Mets have been pounding the ball. If Milwaukee's bullpen wasn't so solid, this may have been a 3 unit play. But we'll try the Mets for 2 here.
===
Boston Red Sox TT Over 5.5 -110 vs Seattle Mariners (RHP Joel Pineiro) .. Risk 2.2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Ortiz and Manny have hit well vs Pinerio over the years, hitting him up for a combined 15 for 40 (.375) and 5 HRs. Mariners bullpen has been very shaky this year. Pineiro went 0-2 at Fenway last year with 10.13/2.16/.383. He doesn't have anything special against right handed hitters. He's a horrible day pitcher (7.67/1.65/.333 last year). He had some rough outings already in the pitching friendly confines of Safeco. If Trot Nixon were 100% healthy and expected to play tomorrow, this may have been a 3 unit play as well as he's had good success against Pinerio over the years.
===
Chicago Cubs TT Over 4.5 +100 vs Pittsburgh Pirates (LHP Zach Duke) .. Risk 2 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
The new coaching staff has been messing with Duke's mechanics resulting in a horrible spring training and two terrible starts to open the season. You must figure him to get hit up everytime he is on the mound until he starts showing signs of getting things under control. Mix in the Pirates bullpen and you have a recipe for more runs.
===
Florida Marlins TT Under 4 -105 vs Washington Nationals (RHP John Patterson) .. Risk 2.1 units to win 2 units. (Olympic)
Patterson went 2-0 in Dolphins Stadium last year with 2.77/1.15/.224 BAA. After getting rocked by the Mets in his opener, he settled down and pitched 6 decent innings against the Astros in a hitters park. He now heads to pitchers paradise and is facing a team full of ham and eggers who haven't been able to touch right handed pitching this season. I love a large play on the Nationals to win this game as well, but we won't include it in our TT record. The bullpen is always a concern, but Patterson should throw a gem here and go deep into this game.
Don't want to play too many of these in one day, (would like to cap it at 5-7/day max). If there's another one that I spot this morning and like, I'll add it on.
G'luck
Sek
.
