I will be up with more plays in an hour or so.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o
> </o>
Brewers @ Mets
Play: Mets -114
Comment:
Pros:
This is one of the few times you will see the Mets come with such a short price at home, and I feel you are getting a good deal on them today, as Brewers bettors are overpaying for Sheets in this particular spot. Sheets is making his first start of the season after coming off the DL with a shoulder strain on his pitching arm. Expect the Brewers to get him back into the thick of things slowly, and put him on a small pitching count today. Even when Sheets was a 100%, he had his fair share of struggles with the Mets, as he comes into today’s game with a career ERA of over 5.00 against them. Sheets has also been known to pitch considerably worse on the road, and usually doesn’t pitch his best until a couple of months into the season. The Brewers bullpen has a couple of good pitchers, but is mediocre at best in the long relief role. This is not a good sign for them, as Sheets will more than likely see 5 innings of work today. The Mets have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and aside from yesterday, have been hitting the ball as well as anyone in the league. This is a good spot for them to regain form and prevent losing two in a row at home.
<o> </o>
With the line the books have put forth, it appears that they aren’t giving Bannister the respect he deserves. He is coming off a very impressive start where he displayed composure, and was able to adjust to hitters and work himself out of jams. He has a variety of pitches that he could turn to, and possesses exceptional control. This has allowed him to allow only 5 hits in his first two starts. Aside from yesterday, the Brewers did not look that good at the plate this week, and may struggle making up for Sheets potential troubles. The Mets bullpen is solid, and should have no problem retaining a lead Bannister may give them.
<o> </o>
One of the Brewers best hitters Brady Clark has the day off today.
<o> </o>
Cons:
Even though Bannister has pitched very well in his first two starts, some may see it as a stretch to bet him as a favorite against an accomplished pitcher like Sheets. Expecting him to keep up the level he pitched on the last two games may also be wishful thinking, especially now that there are more scouting reports for the Brewers to go by. Sheets looked good in his rehab start, and says he feels no pain in his shoulder. Even though his career stats against the Mets are unappealing, there is no one in today’s lineup that has hit him well in the past. The Brewers are a much improved team this year, and have already played some quality teams well in this young season.
<o> </o>
One of the Mets best players, Beltran, has the day off today.
<o> </o>
Conclusion:
If you are going to take you chances with this over hyped Mets team, you might as well do it when they are a small favorite at home. Although the likelihood of Bannister to repeat last week’s performance is slim, he appears to be the real deal. Sheets just doesn’t warrant these kind of odds on the road until he proves he could pitch to form. I will take my chances with the Mets today.
<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com
fficeffice" /><o> </o>Brewers @ Mets
Play: Mets -114
Comment:
Pros:
This is one of the few times you will see the Mets come with such a short price at home, and I feel you are getting a good deal on them today, as Brewers bettors are overpaying for Sheets in this particular spot. Sheets is making his first start of the season after coming off the DL with a shoulder strain on his pitching arm. Expect the Brewers to get him back into the thick of things slowly, and put him on a small pitching count today. Even when Sheets was a 100%, he had his fair share of struggles with the Mets, as he comes into today’s game with a career ERA of over 5.00 against them. Sheets has also been known to pitch considerably worse on the road, and usually doesn’t pitch his best until a couple of months into the season. The Brewers bullpen has a couple of good pitchers, but is mediocre at best in the long relief role. This is not a good sign for them, as Sheets will more than likely see 5 innings of work today. The Mets have one of the most potent lineups in baseball, and aside from yesterday, have been hitting the ball as well as anyone in the league. This is a good spot for them to regain form and prevent losing two in a row at home.
<o
> </o>With the line the books have put forth, it appears that they aren’t giving Bannister the respect he deserves. He is coming off a very impressive start where he displayed composure, and was able to adjust to hitters and work himself out of jams. He has a variety of pitches that he could turn to, and possesses exceptional control. This has allowed him to allow only 5 hits in his first two starts. Aside from yesterday, the Brewers did not look that good at the plate this week, and may struggle making up for Sheets potential troubles. The Mets bullpen is solid, and should have no problem retaining a lead Bannister may give them.
<o
> </o>One of the Brewers best hitters Brady Clark has the day off today.
<o
> </o>Cons:
Even though Bannister has pitched very well in his first two starts, some may see it as a stretch to bet him as a favorite against an accomplished pitcher like Sheets. Expecting him to keep up the level he pitched on the last two games may also be wishful thinking, especially now that there are more scouting reports for the Brewers to go by. Sheets looked good in his rehab start, and says he feels no pain in his shoulder. Even though his career stats against the Mets are unappealing, there is no one in today’s lineup that has hit him well in the past. The Brewers are a much improved team this year, and have already played some quality teams well in this young season.
<o
> </o>One of the Mets best players, Beltran, has the day off today.
<o
> </o>Conclusion:
If you are going to take you chances with this over hyped Mets team, you might as well do it when they are a small favorite at home. Although the likelihood of Bannister to repeat last week’s performance is slim, he appears to be the real deal. Sheets just doesn’t warrant these kind of odds on the road until he proves he could pitch to form. I will take my chances with the Mets today.
