When do you start using this years baseball stats to handicapp games?

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Rx Wizard
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I use some from last year and some career numbers. Thinking about waiting to at least 40 games before using this years numbers.
 

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i use over under total and say may 10th i go to home and away totals. big diff. ly phily cinn great home over so-so road. stricktly % plays for me.
 

Rx Wizard
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Journeyman said:
Why would you wait 40 games? I use them as soon as there are any.
would rather put more stock in a pitcher's numbers with over 1,000 career innnings than only looking at 1 or 2 outings this year and baseing my numbers on them. Not as sold a player or a team based on 10 games (1/16 of a season) when you have so many solid numbers to use from his past.
 

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I agree that using existing stats this early is a bad idea, I wouldn't even rely on hitter stats yet, let alone pitchers.
 

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I wasn't saying to 'only' use this years stats, but they're most definitely relevant , as are last years stats and pitcher vs batter history...combine all of these and figure in bullpen and last ten games played and you should be able to make some money.

last 5 starts by a pitcher, is a very good place to start your game analysis.
 

Winning isn't everything ... it's the ONLY THING !
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1st weeks of June ...

...have worked best for me.:103631605
 

2006 People Magazine's Sexiest Handicapper Alive
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40 games is WAAAAAAAAAAY too long to wait...

i usually wait until each team has about 2 series under their belts (usually 6-8 games) for BOTH home and away...

once a team has 6-8 home and/or away games played, you can start assessing their statistical matchups...

for pitchers, i usually wait until they have at least 2-3 starts before i start giving too much too weight to their stats.

but these are all general guidelines, of course. nothing is ever set in stone.
 

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