dsethi's plays for Tuesday (32-36, -3.13 units)

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

last night: 3-1, +2.01 units
Ytd: 32-36, -3.13 units

Posting this one tonight b/c I feel the line will change against me...

1 unit:
Cubs -116...LAD's lineup isn't the same without Kent in it. Seems like a matter of time before Zambrano regains his command.

1/2 unit:
Cubs -1.5 (+140)...See above.

Probably more tomorrow afternoon. Later.

dsethi

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

adding:
1 unit:
Cleveland -112...Like Jason Johnson here, familiar with Camden Yards, was not only B'more's best pitcher for a few years, but has also shut them down pitching with Detroit and Cleveland.

teazeman · Apr 18, 2006

gl with the card, positive $$$ this week for sure.

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

thanks teazeman as always for the encouragement. good luck with your plays as well.
Adding:
1 unit:
Houston -1 (-125)...No hitter in the Brewcrew lineup has had any success vs. Oswalt. On the flip side, Houston's got some bats that have mashed Davis, right handers' heaven of a ballpark going against a lefty that might want to keep the ball away from these guys...

SF -122...Morris has looked fantastic, and again the D'Backs lineup hasn't fared well although this is a new look bunch for them. Really think Bonds' presence makes a difference in this one, with Winn, Vizquel, and Durham, all lefty bats setting the table vs. right handed Ortiz, Bonds will have a large impact today in my mind.

LAA +102...Silva has looked poor for Minny, and if he doesn't keep the ball down tonight he'll get murdered. Only struck out 3 this season in 2 starts, and lefties are pounding him. Figgins, Erstad, Kennedy, and ANDERSON all can rip, if Escobar continues to locate the ball like he has been (2 walks in 10 innings), good things can happen.

1/2 unit:
LAA -1.5 (+161)...See above.

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

bigger card than I imagined when I started the day...

dr03 · Apr 18, 2006

dsethi, i am rooting for you. I like Houston and SF but didnt mess with run lines.

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

thanks man i've been following yours and kruser's matchup---wish continued success for u, provides entertainment for me checkin that out haha.
Just didn't like laying -177+ on the 'Stros...let's hope for the 2+ run win tonight

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

saw value in the LAA line too...when i like a small dog/small fav, i really closely examine the game's run line, b/c you can get anywhere from +150 to +180 on it...just depends on how strongly u feel bout the game, and i'm not messing with higher unit values (all flat betting) so this is a way to possibly pick up a bit more rather than throw 2 units on the ML and get fuckin pissed when it doesn't cash and i get pissed that i upped it to 2 units. just tryin to gauge ability...

dr03 · Apr 18, 2006

ND is north dakota right?

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

haha yea the state, my ND means Notre Dame though

Boxslayer · Apr 18, 2006

you go to notre dame?

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

Boxslayer32 said:
you go to notre dame?

yup

dr03 · Apr 18, 2006

whats your major

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

Marketing major, education minor
why?

dr03 · Apr 18, 2006

just wondering. i always assumed the ND was north dakota, didn't know you go to dame. Im at the U myself.

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

at the U? Minny?
yea i used to have south bend on there as my location...

dr03 · Apr 18, 2006

yea, golden gophers woot woot

Arodd · Apr 18, 2006

hahah what year

Boxslayer · Apr 18, 2006

not a bad day

ope:

dsethi's plays for Tuesday (32-36, -3.13 units)

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