Brooklynworm's Picks For Sunday 4-23-06

BROOKLYNWORM · Apr 23, 2006

greetings From The Worm;

out Of All The Sports, Baseball Touting Cannot Be Played By Any System. Instead, You Need To Disect Each Major Stat Of A Matchup, And Play The Percentages Of The Better Player.
example:
for Starting Pitchers Head To Head:
era Vs Team
home Or Away Records
hit/walk Ratios

relief Pitchers Head To Head:
team With The Better Set Up Man Comes The 7th And 8th Inning
team With The Better Closer

batters/offense Head To Head:
who Is Presently Hot Disregarding Overall Statistics.
lineup Vs Oppossing Pitcher (who Is Successfull, Who Is Not, Vs Hurler)
is The Team In An Hitting Slump Of Late? Again Disregarding Overall Stats.
is The Team On A Hot Hitting Streak Of Late? Again Disregarding Overall Stats

miscellaneous:
who's Winning, And Who Is Losing?, Check The Last 5 Games Played, And Compare Head To Head Record. Especially Stay Away From A Team On A Losing Streak More Then 3 Games, And Stay With A Team With More Then A 3 Game Winning Streak.

picks For Sunday 4/23

take.... Chicago Cubs As A Dog +140 ... If Maddux Is Pitching, He Is Hot, Cant Beat The Odds.

take.....atlanta Braves -127 Over Washington If Thomson Is On The Mound Today. Check Probables Cause Game Rained Out Last Night. Thomson Has Been A Sleeper, Just Check His 2006 Record.

take....seattle -145 Over Detroit....this Matchup Percentage Makes The Mariners An 80 % Favorite To Win Today.

as The Baseball Season Moves On, I Will Drop In With My Picks.

goodluck
brooklynworm

BROOKLYNWORM · Apr 23, 2006

TAKE IT FROM THE BROOKLYNWORM.

BEST PLACE TO REVIEW UMPIRE RECORDS, AND UNDER/OVER RUNS, IS AT THE USA TODAY WEBSITE. AS FOR THE ROTATIONS OF THE CREW, IF UNKNOWN, THE BEST ADVISE I CAN GIVE YOU IS TO LOOK AT THE PREVIOUS BOX SCORES BEFORE THE GAME YOU PLAY. LETS SAY ON MONDAY UMPIRE "A" WAS BEHIND THE PLATE, THEN THE NEXT GAME, LET'S SAY TUESDAY UMPIRE"A" IS AT FIRST BASE, WEDNSDAY AT SECOND BASE, THURSDAY AT THIRD BASE, AND FRIDAY, BEHIND HOME PLATE AGAIN. IT'S LIKE A STARTING PITCHING ROTATION. THE ONLY TIME YOU CARE WHERE THE UMP IS, IS WHEN HE IS CALLING BALLS AND STRIKES.

BROOKLYNWORM

BROOKLYNWORM · Apr 23, 2006

<TABLE class=tborder id=post2807139 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt1 id=td_post_2807139>Wagering On Baseball Underdogs.
<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1>baseball Is A Hard Predictor, Unlike Any Other Sport. But Here Is My Rule Of Thumb When It Comes To Playing The Underdog.

brooklynworm's Dog Pointers

eliminate Any Games Where The Favorite Is -150 Or Higher.

eliminate Any Team Playing At Or Under .370.

eliminate Any Game Where The Streak Is 3 Or More-winners Or Lossers.

eliminate Any Remaining Game Where The Favorite Is Top 20 In Era.

whatever Games Are Left, Take The Dog.

brooklynworm
</TD></TR><TR><TD class=alt2>

</TD><TD class=alt1 align=right></TD></TR></TBODY></TABLE>

rfb · Apr 23, 2006

interesting strategy worm....good luck with your plays....

haven't seen you around much lately....everything ok i hope

Callipsios · Apr 23, 2006

Thanks for the dog guides.

norcap · Apr 23, 2006

Hey Worm, on the Atl game those numbers for Thompson are great and it looks like he is a sleeper. The line has droppped from Atl-125 to a pick. Just wondering if you still feel strong about it? Thanks and GL

rfb · Apr 23, 2006

if he liked it at -127 he would love it here....my guess

norcap · Apr 23, 2006

Looks like your dog theory only applied to 1 game today-cinci and milw and the dog won (cinci). Do the last 3 criteria apply to the fav, dog or both teams? Thanks.