FHMESQ twist on SSI -1.5 system plays, YTD +11.66 UNITS

fhmesq44 · Apr 24, 2006

Sunday was 4-5 and +.74 UNITS

Updated record:

Games: 36-55
Series: 37-8 (Any series losses won't be posted until the series ends or I abandon the team mid-series. Wins will be posted when a series closes)
Units/$: +$1166 or 11.66 units.

As noted in another thread, had I played the true 1-2-4 system this past weekend, fading the 3 teams I faded, I would have been 10-5 and down only 3 units. However, after the bad Thursday I didn't go Martingale and ended down about 14 units.

If anything, this past weekend has strengthened my belief in this system. As I noted, last weekened was worse than any weekend all of last year and with the slight modifications I made (fading bad teams), I turned that weekend into a -3 unit weekend. If that doesn't strengthen your belief in the system, not sure what will. On to this week.

Today's Plays, all -1.5 runs:

Oak 100/175
CWS 100/135
DET 100/170
Cincy 100/190
COL 100/205
Cubs 110/100 (fading FLA)
ATL 100/180
HOU 100/155 (fading LAD)
STL 120/100 (fading Pitts)
Ariz 100/140
NYM 100/140

Best of luck.

fhmesq44 · Apr 24, 2006

FYI, of the 4 series starting tomorrow, I will fade TB v. NYY.

kobefan08 · Apr 24, 2006

fhm.. what is the difference between this variation and SSI's "money maker"? Is it just the bad teams that you are fading?

fhmesq44 · Apr 24, 2006

A few differences, as I understand them:

I am playing all 15 series, SSI is eliminating some;
I am playing all -1.5 runs, some of his are ML;
Generally we both play road teams. However, I am fading some teams and taking the home team. I think SSI just eliminates some and does not take the home team;
I am playing Martingale 1-2-4 until win or series ends. SSI's betting is different, I think he tries to win 1 unit on game 1, net 1 unit on game 2 if lose game 1 and break even on game 3 if lose 1 & 2.

SSI can jump in and identify any other differences.

mike0187 · Apr 24, 2006

Hope we get back on track to start this week. Thanks for posting Fhmes.

fhmesq44 · Apr 24, 2006

So do I Mike. As I noted, as bad as last weekend was, it was only -3 if we stayed with the 1-2-4 system. I know I deviated, but now knowing that, I think I am going to stick with it.

fhmesq44 · Apr 24, 2006

Wow, Cincy held on and the Cubs came back huge. 2-1 so far +$190. Nice to be on the good side of a late comeback after this weekend.

mike0187 · Apr 24, 2006

Very true. Thought the Reds were gonna blow it, and the Cubs stole one in the 8th inning. Thank you Jacque Jones

fhmesq44 · Apr 25, 2006

4-7 on the day, -$170. 11 plays for tomorrow, will post in the morning.

HansGruber · Apr 25, 2006

Hey FHEMSQ. Big fan of the system you and SSI have developed. Maybe you have already covered this in an old thread, but have you broken down the #'s regarding first, second, and third games of a series? In other words how much $$ the system has made or lost on each of those games so far this year. It seems to me that given the overall losing record (unimportant to us, I know) and the positive $$ the system has generated, that the big $$ is made on those second and third days. Conversely, maybe the first day could be skipped entirely (except for a few mismatches) and just play the 2nd and 3rd games that fit the system. My hunch is that Day 1 is a loser cashwise more often than not. Please correct me if I'm wrong on that! From a baseball sense, it makes sense that the first day at a new park would be the most disorienting for the visitng team, having traveled and not gotten a feel for the park yet. The comfort level would logically go up on the next 2 games. Just something that I wanted to share and thanks for the great work.
:toast:

fhmesq44 · Apr 25, 2006

Hans Gruber said:
Hey FHEMSQ. Big fan of the system you and SSI have developed. Maybe you have already covered this in an old thread, but have you broken down the #'s regarding first, second, and third games of a series? In other words how much $$ the system has made or lost on each of those games so far this year. It seems to me that given the overall losing record (unimportant to us, I know) and the positive $$ the system has generated, that the big $$ is made on those second and third days. Conversely, maybe the first day could be skipped entirely (except for a few mismatches) and just play the 2nd and 3rd games that fit the system. My hunch is that Day 1 is a loser cashwise more often than not. Please correct me if I'm wrong on that! From a baseball sense, it makes sense that the first day at a new park would be the most disorienting for the visitng team, having traveled and not gotten a feel for the park yet. The comfort level would logically go up on the next 2 games. Just something that I wanted to share and thanks for the great work.
:toast:

Thanks Hans. I think SSI may have those numbers, at least he did. I could figure them out based on the spreadsheet I have. If I get time today, I will do so. However, I don't think skipping out on the first games is the way to go. I think you want as many opportunities to win as possible.