dsethi's plays for Tuesday (53-64, -7.21 units)

monday: 4-3, +.67 units
ytd: 53-64, -7.21 units

big card...

1 unit:

SD -1.5 (+111)...Peavy has done great vs. AZ in the past, Vargas has been awful as of late. Think Pads' bats wake up today.

SF -108...Wright has been consistent, SF hitters have seen plenty of Trachsel in the past; Niekro is a presence they have missed in the lineup.

Minnesota -113...I don't care how bad the twins are on the road and how good KC's been playing lately. Any line under 140/150 when playing KC is a play. Lohse will pick his game up.

Pitt. +172...Killed Suppan last time around, reason enough to hope they'll do it again tonight.

Texas -113...Rangesr have seen alot of Zito, the ball flies in Arlington and I could see him getting touched up a bit here by Texas' big righty bats.

CWS -124...When you're anticipating the return of your 2nd best hitter (Johjima) and he's batting .290, safe to say you're struggling. Vazquez looked great last time out, looking for more of the same in a pitcher's park.

LAA -114...Penny struggled a bit last time out with his control but he's still dominant at times and this lineup looks alot more scary now that Nomar's back.

Boston -128...See no reason why Schilling shouldn't have success silencing Cleveland's bats tonight; Ramirez loves playing against his former team, and he's streaking at the right time.

1/2 unit:
SF -1.5 (+194) .5 to win .97...See above.
Pitt -1.5 (+270) .5 to win 1.35...See above.

looks like i'm on alot of favs tonight, don't really take that into acct. when making my plays, just looking for favorable matchups and values...hope this big card cashes big time.

gl
dsethi

dsethi, im against you on st. loooie

yeah well fuck you then
haha gl on the rest of your plays though
i mean let's be serious, Pitt is not good, but they destroyed suppan last time out. STL hasn't seen much at all of Santos, could be a good thing.

didnt V-Sizzle play for the Bucs last year?

ramirez is streaking at the right time....speaking of streaking, i gotta head out. good luck today

i live near milwaukee, i saw him all the time when he was on milwaukee and that's why i know STL will win. STL is at home and has won 22 of the last 27. i like that pit is 1-10 on the road and cant win, while stl wins 70 percent of the time. plus pitt is without casey and doumit. best of luck to you on the rest of your card but i hope st. louie wins lol

Snitches get stitches.

definitely not saying Pitt is anywehre near the same caliber team as STL, but Suppan struggled to say thel east vs. Pitt first time round, and has struggled the whole season to be honest. I'm betting this game based on the value of the line, not on the feeling that Pitt is gonna ball out or is better than STL. Just think they match up well on this particular night. only 2 batters in STL's lineup batting better than .222 for their career vs. Santos. Santos' career vs. STL not horrible, 4.61 era but been better lately.
a value play. gotta take shots on games like these i think