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Sports ANALyst
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Oct 13, 2004
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Rays and O went down in flames last night (parlay worked out good the other way, home and U)...

I'll start counting the parlays as wins and losses, too, so 0-3 last night and lose 305. Now 4-7 and down 691 this week and for 2006 bases.

Maddux owns the Brew Crew in recent years and this price is overly generous, even without Barrett and Lee. As long as the old man is rollin like this, I'm not gonna try to beat him. He is 4-0 with a 0.99 ERA! Since 1997, he's 12-3 vs. MIL with a 2.16 ERA. His team has gone 16-4 in all his starts against MIL.

He's had great movement on his pitches. The Chubs have taken seven of the last nine against the Beermen at home. They are also 10-4 vs. RHP and a very impressive 8-1 after a loss in '06. Bush has 2 road starts (0-1, 7.50 ERA). Why is this so cheap?

The RL is overly generous as well. Let's try it this way.

The plays: CUBS -133 - 133 to win 100 ... and ...
CUBS RL +170 - 200 to win 340 ... both at Pinnacle.

Cards/Nats tonight, Davidson goes behind the plate for the league-leading seventh time in 2006; he's always been a pitcher-favoring ump. Two of his first three went over but one of them was Pettitte's first start, where his ERA was higher than his age against the Marlins. Davidson's two STL games both went UNDER last year, as did 2 of his 3 WASH games... One of the STL games was Marquis losing to Glavine at Shea, 2-0 (only time he's done Marquis OR Armas)...

No Rolen tonight, adding more value to UNDER. I'll bite there, and as long as the Nats keep losing, why not go with the HOME and UNDER parlay?

Let's try this always-risky run-line and back it up with the parlay:

The plays: STL -1.5 runs plus 134 at Pinny - 100 to win 134
UNDER 9 -115 at CRIS - 345 to win 300
2 team parlay - STL ML -164 and UNDER 9 -130 at PINNY - 200 to win 369.61

Back later tonight with some more bets after the rest of the UMPS come out. I'll be in the bushes with mykesy stalking them later on, about 5:30 Eastern. Some tempting guys due out there tonight.

GL!

:drink:
 

Sports ANALyst
Joined
Oct 13, 2004
Messages
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Nice work Flubs.

First ump bet of the day:

Poncino, he of 22-9 O/U last year and 4-0 OVERS this year, is in the Bronx. Halladay was good in his last start but missed a turn beforehand. I'll bite on this one even though I got burnt the last 2 nights in the Bronx.

OVER is 11-1-4 last 16 times Jays have been favored.

The play: OVER 9.5 in TOR/NYY at Pinny (-102) - 306 to win 300
 

Sports ANALyst
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Oct 13, 2004
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Moehler has lost his last five starts and six decisions dating back to last year. Francis a much better talent and I'll lay it with the much-improved Rockies at the short price, even on the road.

The play: COLORADO -110 (220 to win 200)...
 

Sports ANALyst
Joined
Oct 13, 2004
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Nice job Cards, jesus...

OK, to the last couple. I think it's Barrett in Frisco and if I can confirm that, I might go UNDER because of the 'due' theory for Schmidt, but still biding my time there.

Am going ahead with OVER in Anaheim, begrudgingly. I think Weaver gets up for the Sox and Garcia is having his best run of the season, but he's still not the same pitcher as he was in the past. Gibson and his sub-60 strike percentage is going back there tonight to give me a fighting chance. And this total seems a tad low, I was thinking 8.5 OVER was the right line, instead I get to bet OVER 8.5 at even-money. I'll bite...

The play: 300 to win 300 on OVER 8.5 in Anaheim.
 

Sports ANALyst
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Oct 13, 2004
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Barrett's crew but it's Tschida back there. Neutral. I really like Schmidt to finally turn it around tonight against the woeful Snakes but I won't get involved. Back in the morning, GL all...
 

rfb

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up and down day....some solid info though......thanks
 

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