two tonight w/analysis

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Houston –1.04 over MILWAUKEE
On pitching and bullpen strength alone the Brewers are most definitely behind the eight ball here and there’s very little chance that Tomo Ohka goes deep into this contest. Ohka averages just over five innings per start and frankly, he’s just not that good. He’s always behind in the count and that does not bode well against this patient and experienced intruder. The Brewers pen has been atrocious all year. Wandy Rodriguez (W-Rod) is on his game and that shouldn’t surprise anyone. Houston always seems to produce rock solid pitchers from within and Rodriguez is no different. The left-hander has won his last three starts, limiting opponents to three runs and 13 hits in 20 innings and anytime we can take a talented southpaw on a good team versus an aging, average pitcher you can pencil us in. Play: Houston –1.04 (Risking 1.58 units to win 1.5).


Toronto +1.16 over BALTIMORE
The Blue Jays rocked Bedard in Toronto last week and chances are good they’ll do the same here. Bedard has surrendered 36 hits in 31 frames and has miraculously gotten out of jam after jam after jam. Remember, Jays have had a heavy dose of Boston, the Yanks and Chicago thus far, yet they’re still a game above .500 and Ted Lilly, after a rocky start to the year has been brilliant in his last four starts. In addition, the Orioles will likely be without three regulars tonight, Roberts, Lopez and Millar, as all three are in the infirmary. It's also worth noting that the Orioles are just 1-5 versus lefties. Jays are a live pup tonight. Play: Toronto +1.16 (Risking 1.5 units).
 

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