Update of My Road R/L System: (+82.26 units YTD)

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SSI

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series set 1: 12-3 (+14 units)
series set 2: 12-3 (+19 units)
series set 3: 12-3 (+12.66 units)
series set 4: 12-3 (+12.14 units)
series set 5: 13-2 (+20.84 units)
series set 6: 7-8 (-35.40 units)
series set 7: 13-2 (+14.56 units)
series set 8: 13-2 (+13.96 units)
series set 9: 10-5 (+10.30 units) (2 game set)

overall: 104-31 (+82.26 units)

Plays for series set 10, start today.. its another set of 2 games for each team. I wont bother to list all the teams, but play all road teams (laying the -1.5 runs in each game) for 1 unit.

amazing start but be careful, we did have one set, which lost over 35 units.
 

For G-Baby
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Congrats on an unreal start to the season...hope it continues. GL player.
 

For G-Baby
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quantumleap said:
Don't you ever get any sleep???

:lolBIG:

No, I'm a fuckin retard. Come this summer and moreso in the fall, I'll be posting a lot less frequently I'm sure...I'll be much busier. But yeah, for now, I'm pretty damned worthless. Yay.
 

RX Senior
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It seems that you have discovered a very profitable system, using 1-2-4 units to chase the losses and road RL to get the best possible odds with increased risks.

You may be having a very nice dream now and it is very cruel to wake you up early in the morning.

In order to have profit, the average odds must be greater than +155.

104 series won gave you 104 units.

The average loss per series must not greater than 104/31, i.e. 3.355 units.

Look at your data,

series set 1: 12-3 (+14 units) impossible
series set 2: 12-3 (+19 units) impossible
series set 3: 12-3 (+12.66 units) impossible
series set 4: 12-3 (+12.14 units) impossible
series set 5: 13-2 (+20.84 units) impossible
series set 6: 7-8 (-35.40 units)
series set 7: 13-2 (+14.56 units) impossible
series set 8: 13-2 (+13.96 units) impossible
series set 9: 10-5 (+10.30 units) impossible

The only answer is : you forget to deduct the game 1 and game 2 losses.

Assuming a standard odds +155.

Game 1, if you won: +1 unit; if you lost: -0.645 units
Game 2, if you won: +1.645 units, after deducting the game 1 loss, you actually won +1 unit for the series; if you lost: -1.061 units for game 2, -0.645 units for game 1.
Game 3 : if you won: +2.706 units, after deducting the game 1 and game 2 losses, you actually won +1 unit for the series; if you lost: -3.51 units for the whole series.

Look at your series 5, 13 series covered means 13 units won. How could it be 20.84 units? After deducting the 2 series losses, the best possible profit is 6 units!
 

RX Senior
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If I take your series 6 data as the mean value for your system,

7 series won gave you 7 units
8 series lost make you suffer a loss of 42.4 units, i.e. 5.3 units per loss series.

Then the overall for your Road R/L system is 104 units won - 31 x 5.3 units loss. You suffer a loss of 60.3 units.
 

RX Spaniard
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i think he lays 1 unit, then 2, then 4, to win however much the odds give.

So he plays 1st game 1 unit to win 1'55, the second one, 2 units to win 3'10, and finally 4 units to win 6'20. (assuming line static at +155)

So as you see, covering the series in game 1 grants 1'55 units profit
In game 2 grants 2'10 units profit
In game 3 grants 4'20 units profit

SSI is da man !!
 

RX Senior
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If that is the case, every lost series will cost him 7 units. 31 series lost equal to 217 units in red.
 

SSI

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you aint exposed nothing, makes no difference to me..... im telling you a fact..

play game one and risk one unit, if you win stop, if you lose play game 2 and risk 2 units, if you win stop, if you lose, play game 3 for 4 units... there is total of 7 units at risk each series, however in all 2 game sets only 3 units are at risk.. and one of the losses was a 1 unit loss on the yanks to the redsox this week...

lets quickly look at series set 9: which was just completed, and i do not why i am taking my time to do this....

the record was: 10-5 (+10.30 units)...............

there was 4 losses that incurred a 3 unit loss each, the dodgers/rockies/royals/cardinals were all swept, so thats 12 units lost.. 4 X 3 = 12... then there was a 1 unit loss on yanks, as yesterdays game was rained out.. so we have a total of 13 units lost,,,,,, augustus are you with me...

now the winners were:

sd (+1.45 units) winning game 1
Tex (+1.25 units) winning game 1
Phil (+2.05 units) winning game 1
Tor (+1.83 units) winning game 1
Cws (+1.62 units) winning game 1
sea (+1.82 units) winning game 1

now add those up,,,, those 6 wins produced a profit of 10.02 units,, so subtract that from the 13 total units lost and you get (-2.98 units) and we havent got to the 2 unit plays, which were..

oak (+2.46) winning 4.92 units on game 2 and subtracting the one unit loss from game 1.. so this played cleared (+3.92 units) can everyone see that.

wash (+2.04) winning 4.08 units on game 2 and subtracting the one unit loss from game one... so this play cleared (+3.08 units)

Hou (+2.54) winning 5.08 units on game 2 and subtracting the one unit loss from game one.. this play clears (+4.08 units) can you see this.

Pitt (+1.60) winning 3.2 units on game 2 and subtracting the one unit loss from game one... this play clears (+2.20 units) can you see this..

now add up the units won on all game 2's... so add... 3.92 + 3.08 + 4.08 + 2.20 and you get = 13.28 and now subtract the 2.98 units from that and you get the magical 10.30 units won on series set 9...

if you have any more trouble adding let me know..
 

SSI

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seriously i would like to offer a word of caution..... this thing has worked great , up to now...... but please look at series set 6,,,,,,,, the thing lost over 35 units in one weekend..

so play at your own risk...

today im playing all road teams and laying (-1.5 runs) and risking 1 unit per play..

best of luck..
 

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Augustis is wrong...

and should go AWAY! If you don't like it...take a hike genius! It works cause MY ACCOUNT BALANCE says so. Always one in every crowd...Dr Augustis" here I guess. Funny I can't find the Augustis up 80 units thread anywhere...:puppy: :lolBIG:
 

RX Senior
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+155 is the break-even odds for 104W-31L, if the odds for every game you get is greater than +155, then your system is a profitable one.
 

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SSI

Best of luck to you as Always. And i uderstand! And you are right you shouldnt have to go through this everyday, ya know?
 

SSI

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augustus, we are risking one unit and not trying to make one unit...

it matters most, as to which game that you win..

winning game 1 at (+1.55) = +1.55 units of profit.

winning game 2 at (+1.55) = 3.10 units of profit -1 unit loss = +2.10 units

winning game 3 at (+1.55) = 6.20 units of profit - 3 unit loss = +3.20 units

so you see, it matters most, which game of the 3 that you win...

i cant lay it out any simplier... and today out of the 15 games played, only 3 are paying less than 1.55...... some are paying well over 2/1 and pitt is actually paying 4/1...... so thats +4 units of profit if they beat the mets by 2 or more today...

now think for a moment, if this were game 3 of that series,, we would have the pirates (+4.00) for 4 units.... now if they were to win, we would win (+16 units) of profit, then we subtract the 3 units lost in games 1 and 2 of the series, so you see this series play would clear a profit of (+13 units)..

can you not see this?
 

Woah, woah, Daddy's wrong, Mommy's right.
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Stop banging your head against the wall SSI. You, I and 20 other people that have last year's spreadsheet and have been playing this season know that it works and know why it works.
 

Oh boy!
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SSI said:
seriously i would like to offer a word of caution..... this thing has worked great , up to now...... but please look at series set 6,,,,,,,, the thing lost over 35 units in one weekend..

so play at your own risk...

today im playing all road teams and laying (-1.5 runs) and risking 1 unit per play..

best of luck..

Weeks like this are normal, but not necessarily common. I lost all 5 games I picked today. Some people go 10 games in a row picking losers. However, I believe this system may have merit. We shall continue to see.

I also think Augustus brings up legitimate points as he is not familiar with the mechanics of the system. He's only trying to assess the situation from his point of view which happens to be different than the way you are betting.

Thanks for taking the time to explain the details SSI.
 

Oh boy!
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fhmesq44 said:
Stop banging your head against the wall SSI. You, I and 20 other people that have last year's spreadsheet and have been playing this season know that it works and know why it works.

fhm:

When are you going to have a cheerful picture of your lovely daughter as your avatar? I'm sure you have some now that her daddy is winning some money and can indulge her spending habits.

:toast:
 

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