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SSI

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ask any bookie, or any bookie that i know..

had you rather book a guy, who is making 10 bets per day for $50 each, or a guy betting one game for $500..

i know the answer, but what do you think?
 

MrJ

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Obviously he'd say he would prefer 10x$50 since you have less exposure per game which means less volatility. But that is totally irrelevent in his thread. He is talking about a handicapper betting every game he feels he has an advantage on rather than limiting himself to just a few plays. If you will hit 55% over limited plays but could make 53.5% off some additional plays would you pass up on them? If you would then you are passing up on profit. I'm pretty sure that is what he is getting at.
 

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SSI said:
ask any bookie, or any bookie that i know..

had you rather book a guy, who is making 10 bets per day for $50 each, or a guy betting one game for $500..

i know the answer, but what do you think?

This really is not comparable to what ICE MAN is saying though.

Your question is not worded correctly and other factors abound.

9 times out of ten the bookie would want the 10 bets for $50 compared to one for $500........but that doesn't imply what ICE MAN is trying to convade.

(What Mr. J just said)
 

SSI

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in an ideal world maybe, but not the real world.... try a 1-9 day out, does wonders for the psyche... an 0-1 day isnt bad..

or try this, and i dont know if id have the time..

but start 2 accounts with 10k.... place at least 10% of account in play each day, more if you want.. place many bets out of one, and place only one per day out of the other.. which will make more money?

for me, id do better in the one playing only one play per day.. if i had time, id show you..

ive done about everything that you can do in this business.. i know what works best for me...

the mental makeup of gamblers is different but is probably the most important aspect... how you handle losing is probably the most important.
 

SSI

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im going to agree to disagree.. and leave it --- at that...

but someday, id like to show you...

no offence to anyone..
 

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SSI said:
in an ideal world maybe, but not the real world.... try a 1-9 day out, does wonders for the psyche... an 0-1 day isnt bad..

over the past couple years (with well over 3,000 plays) i never had a 1-9 day. but i did have a couple 0-8 days, and plenty of 1-7 days, 1-6 days, 0-6, etc. etc.

but i also had an 12-2 day once, a 10-2 day and plenty of 9-3, 8-2, 7-1 days, etc. etc...

so i speak from experience, i would have been a fool to have only played my "best" play each day over the past couple years. i would have passed up on thousands of dollars in profit.

if you feel you have an advantage, play it. if you only feel you have an edge on 1 play in a given day, fine. if you find 12 plays in a day, fine.

yes, for as much as i try to remove all the emotion from this business, you'd have to be crazy to not feel a sting on an 0-8 day. i had my first one in MLB in the summer of 2000. i still remember it. i thought i was going to cry...

and to make it worse, going 8-0 doesn't feel nearly as good as going 0-8 feels bad...but i know that it's the best way for me to play. if i think i have an advantage on a play, i play it. simple as that.
 

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SSI:

It's extremely important that you do what is best for you to turn a profit. Each individual acts and reacts differently to game to game circumstances and results. What works for someone else may not be right for you. I've been in this business a long time and have made my share of adjustments as time has gone by, but one thing I never did was try to do what someone else suggested was the "right" way. It doesn't exist in the real world. The "right" way is what makes you money. It doesn't matter what others think. Your bankroll will speak loud and clear to you. Continue on.
 

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SSI said:
im going to agree to disagree.. and leave it --- at that...

but someday, id like to show you...

no offence to anyone..
no offense taken. I did make a point that if you don't like the stress involved than don't go my way. I have been able to handle it because I actually bet less than 1% of my bankroll.

I 100% agree with everyone about what works best for them. I was just trying to help out a few people on what I feel are some realities of betting. I remember once I explained to a buddy who was betting about 5 $100 NFL games every week and sweating out every play. If he had a fabuolus year and hit around 57% he would be up around $700-800 for the whole year and he looked at me like I was crazy until we sat down and with a piece of paper and figured it out.

Like I said I was just bored and wanted to get that off my chest. To each his own
 

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SSI said:
ask any bookie, or any bookie that i know..

had you rather book a guy, who is making 10 bets per day for $50 each, or a guy betting one game for $500..

i know the answer, but what do you think?

That's because most books assume a player is a loser, because most are. Ice is talking about winners. Winners should bet more and more games, losers should bet less and less games. Simple as that.
 

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