i know for most of you this is a stupid question but one every one of you touched on when you began handicapping. now im no novice as most who know me know i have been capping football and college hoops,wnba and nba for a few years now.but i took on learning how to cap baseball just before last years all star break and totally rocked in the seasons final months.i was asking everyone questions and picking brains in vegas and now im doing this with great success. its hard tho cuz i HATE baseball and it puts me into a deep coma.but winning rocks so here i am.lol.but i always see where you guys talk about how a team has great "value" and thus is a great play.what is line value and how do you recognise it? remember im naturaly blonde and my attention span sucks.lol.type slowly.:howdy:
:lolBIG: i already saw the pads lose 2 weeks ago to pedro and the mets.and they HATE petco so they will lose to the cubs tomorrow too. i froze my ARSE off at that game! i wont be back till july.lol.the best part is partying in the gaslamp after the games. where in SD do you live?Let's Hug It Out said:
ha funny you mention that game... was there 2 and took pedro and the mets... dont tell me you went against em.
it was pretty damn cold tho have to agree.
dont tell me thats whats holdin you back tho...
i live in Mission Viejo so a little distance to travel...
you really have no interest????
it was pretty damn cold tho have to agree.
dont tell me thats whats holdin you back tho...
i live in Mission Viejo so a little distance to travel...
you really have no interest????
i had no bet but wish i did once brazelton was brought in.lol.pedro was killing it that night! he was sooo good.i was dressed for a warm august summer night and not a cold bitter windy april spring night.lol. im seriously not going to another game till summer.maybe then we can get all the SD and orange county rx posters to a game to party? dancing on 5th ave is a must!:thumbsup2:Let's Hug It Out said:
ohhh great ANOTHER illeagal alien holiday...didnt they just celebrate uno de mayo? i hope theres no traffic like it was on monday!.lol.maaaybe i will get to work on time and get home before 6pm for a change! rush hour is cutting into my money makin time on line.lol.:modemman:Let's Hug It Out said:
As an example of value suppose a team is -200. In that case you lose $200 if they lose and win $100 if they win. If you were able to play this game 3 times and they won twice you would win $200 and lose 2 X $100 and breakeven. So a 2/3 or 66.67% win rate is breakeven.
If you figure the team wins this matchup more often than 66.66% then the line has value. If you figure a 70% win rate the value is low (net $10 win) but an 80% win rate would be excellent value (net $40 win) for this bet.
If you figure the team wins this matchup more often than 66.66% then the line has value. If you figure a 70% win rate the value is low (net $10 win) but an 80% win rate would be excellent value (net $40 win) for this bet.
when it hits Summer, hey..nothing beats a baseball game...I dont get much baseball here in Hawaii except for the college fellas...thats fun..gas prices are crazy here too..but anyways i better go study..looking at fading the Dodgers again..Roxygurl said:
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