dsethi's plays for Friday (90-99, -3.63 units)

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last night: 4-3, +.6 units
ytd: 90-99, -3.63 units

1 unit:
Cleveland -105...Westbrook sandwhiched some awful starts with some really good ones, his loss last time out was a reflection of shitty bullpen work although he struggled in the 7th. Moyer has gotten no help from the lineup and Cleveland has hit him hard- Sexson is questionable as well.

Arizona -1 (-105)...Webb has looked as good as any pitcher in the MLB so far. On top of that, AZ has busted out the bats the past few games, dominating the Cubs series and I think Webb and co. continue their run.

Detroit -135...Minnesota's woes continue, they haven't hit worth shit in a long time, and despite Detroit's setback yesterday, they're playing as good as any team in the majors. Rogers is a big part of the success, and he shut down Minny in their last matchup vs. Lohse a couple starts back.

Pitt/Wash under 9...Both teams haven't hit worth shit this year. Day's back in the cozy confines of RFK, Perez will benefit from this as well. I think Day will be solid at home this year.

1/2 unit:
LAD -1.5 (+225) .5 to win 1.125...Lowe has been fantastic, especially at home-like LAD's right handed bats vs. Capuano, Most of Milwaukee's guys haven't seen Lowe before either. However, Capuano has been very good this year so i thought i'd try to lower my risk on this play a bit by throwin the 1/2 unit down on the alternate run line, see what happens. cool.

dsethi
 

rfb

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hate those 1 run lines....the other night...or was it last night...there were many 1 run games.....

wondering why the total in dc is so high for teams that haven't hit much this year

ari, phi and sd are all looking for their 6th in a row....think 2 out of 3 will get it...if not all 3

good luck
 

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i like the 1 run line as opposed to laying -157 on AZ or a -1.5...i'll take a push if this happens as opposed to losing 157 or losing on a half run.

total is high in the Nats game becasue Perez and Day have looked bad this year, to say the least. Both have struggled with their control. Day has pitched well in the past at RFK however and Perez is talented just needs to find his groove. why not vs. the nats?

let's hope AZ continues their win streak....gl
 

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adding:
1 unit:
Cubs -123...I konw they haven't hit at all the past 6 games, but Chan Ho has stranded alot of runners on base, and Zambrano has dominated righties this year (.171 BA, 9 walks, 21 Ks). SD does not have many good left handed bats in their lineup.

Cubs Team Total Over 3.5 (-116)...See above.
 

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