toto's bases (3-0 ytd)

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Sep 21, 2004
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toto says: under 8 (stl/fla)

*pitcher friendly ballpark (bottom 10 in most off. cat. year after year)
*hpu nelson 58 % under since 2003 (4-2 this season)
*marlins .163 home vs lefties (0 HR, 1.32 R/9I)
*two solid bullpens (#1 and #6 in bat. avg. in MLB)
*cards 17 runs in last 5 games, all 7 yesterday in one inning.
*willis 5 solid/quality starts in 6 ytd starts


toto says: over 10 (sf/phi)

*hitter friendly ballpark (homerun hitters nirvana)
*wright/madson allowed 15 runs in 10.2 inn in prev.starts
*only 1 HR in those starts, imagine what they will go thru in a HR bp
*hpu gibson 5-1 over ytd (12,33 rpg)
*both teams hitting righties much better (+.60 sf, +.30 phi)
 
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toto says over 8.5 (det/min)

*hpu poncino 45-23 over since 2004
*detroit 42 runs in 4 games vs minny ytd
*minny at least 4 runs in 10/14 home games ytd
*both teams much better vs righties det +.54, min +.42
*bonderman and baker both pitching against revenge
*R vs R matchups 8-2 over at min ytd, 18-7 last 25
 
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Sep 21, 2004
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toto says: under 9 (tb/oak), under 4.5 runs / 4.5 innings

*pitcher friendly ballpark
*zito 2.80 run support
*zito 11 er in 33.2 ip in last 5
*mcclung 4-1 under last 5, 4 er in 12 ip l2
*zito 4 ytd starts vs top 10 off. teams
*tb bottom 5 offensive team
*mcclung 5 ytd starts vs top 10 off. teams
*oak bottom 5 offensive team
*o'nora 'due' for an under. 4 straight o after going 42-25 u
*under system 26-7-1 if series game=2, after scor.<2 on 9+h, opp<10r
 
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btw what the fvck is wrong with the giants ? 7 hits, 4 walks and 0 runs thru 5 innings !!! c'mon guys, score some runs in a hurry !!!
 

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