playing on value alone

Teddykgb

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• #1

my local gives all totals at -110 today i got nj caolina 05 -110 when it was -135 at cris. played it for value alone really didnt have a take either way.
Can i win overall playing blind like this with the break i recieve on the juice?
side note- he only takes nhl & bases during playoffs everything else is all season

 

TTinCO

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• #2

Getting the best #\price is always important, but in the end, it really doesn't matter if you can't pick the right side.

I'd have to say no. It helps, but if you think about it, it's not much on it's own.

 

TTinCO

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• #3

On the other hand, a price that far off should open up some serious scalp opportunities.

Almost a must do IMO.

 

jeckll

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• #4

Actually I happen to disagree with TTinCO. Lines with high juice tend to win more than they lose, but the reason you will get sunk betting these over time is that when they do lose the high juice kills you.

If you can get high vig totals at -110 you can probably beat it over time blindly, just my guess.

 

Santo

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• #5

I'd probably take the -110 to the max, scalp part of it back, and keep 1 unit ending up with a bet at +110 or so.

 

jwblue

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• #6

TTinCO said:

Getting the best #\price is always important, but in the end, it really doesn't matter if you can't pick the right side.

I'd have to say no. It helps, but if you think about it, it's not much on it's own.

Click to expand...

Wow. Somone that agrees with me.

Winning by wagering on perceived value is only theoretical IMO.

IS

 

Teddykgb

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• #7

Well It Worked That Time So I'll Try Again- U6.5 Ottawa -110 Instead Of -125

 

Insiders

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• #8

You KEEP playing those totals that the Offshore boys shade at -10 and you will laugh ALL the way to the bank. Anytime they are shadeing one that far its worth it!
Locals with -10 totals are GREAT !!

Dont try playing ALL of the ones that the offshore joints are shadeing to Only -20, not a good prop there, but Anything behond that is GREAT !

 

Woody0

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• #9

Santo said:

I'd probably take the -110 to the max, scalp part of it back, and keep 1 unit ending up with a bet at +110 or so.

Click to expand...

Ooooohhhh, sharp post of the day.

 

Teddykgb

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• #10

WON EM BOTH:money:

 

Doug

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• #11

I'd compare the price to Pinny or exchanges, not CRIS. If any line is off enough it's value over time. Scalping some is solid.

 

Insiders

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• #12

Doug said:

I'd compare the price to Pinny or exchanges, not CRIS. If any line is off enough it's value over time. Scalping some is solid.

Click to expand...

WHY? CRIS probably has the Sharpest set of Totals going?

 

Doug

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• #13

Cris may be sharp, but you can almost always find a better price, so I'd compare it to best available, along with CRIS.