Finally won a big one last night. My only play netted 800 to the good. Now 47-68-3 on the season and down 6144.
There are some UMPS going today and with it being a big horse-racing day, I didn't spend a lot of time looking for a bunch of gems. Will play some correlated stuff and some (mostly) ump-based totals.
Gibson no longer is a club-member at 60.8 percent, and with how Garcia has owned the Flubs lately, I can't bet over.
Reed is also at 60.8 in Oakland, but both pens are rested and I can't recommend over with those 2 pitchers - though there is value with Oakland and the way they're playing right now.
Angel bullpen is a mess, Dodgers and Tomko are rolling now, Bell is at 63.0; gun to head, Dodger and U parlay but I'll pass.
Guccione goes in Cleveland tonight and his 60.1 percentage is good enough for me to bite even though he's just 3-3 O/U this year. Johnson has really struggled. He was better in his last start vs. DET on Sunday but still is 0-3 with an 8.28 ERA in his last three starts. Snell was tagged by the Marlins all day Sunday and if you want to back Pitt and/or UNDER, you have to forgive him. I don't know if I can but I'll take a stab at the correlated parlay.
The play: Pitt +163 - 150 to win 244.50
OVER 10.5 +106 - 150 to win 159
2team parlay - PIT +161 and OVER 9.5 -130 - 200 to win 723.54
Boston sends Beckett out to try and win its fifth straight in Philly. Boston has outscored Philadelphia 44-15 over the last five meetings. Myers has been solid as of late, not allowing more than three runs in any of his eight starts this season. He has given up just 10 earned runs in his last six outings, posting a 2.11 ERA over that span. Still, he's just 1-1 with a 7.61 ERA against Boston and he has allowed 15 runs in 10 2/3 innings in one start each in 2004 and 2005. Beckett has won his last two starts and is 6-3 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 career outings against Philly. One big Boston inning pushes it over with the help of Crawford (60.0 percent qualifies him as a club member).
The plays: Boston -104 - 312 to win 300
OVER 9 even - 200 to win 200
2team parlay - Boston 105 and OVER 8.5 -130 - 250 to win 613.55
Marsh is an honorary member going in Kansas City tonight (7-2 O/U this year). Cards are a little cheap even though they don't have much of an advantage in the pitching matchup tonight. I'll bite on them getting to Bautista and the KC pen and this one turning out like last night - STL and O.
The plays: STL/KC OVER 10.5 plus 102 - 300 to win 306
2team parlay - STL -172 and OVER 10 -120 - 350 to win 664.73
Fletcher (60.4 percent strikes) going in Tampa tonight, and while I did little research on this one, I do know SY is on the OVER and that's enough for me.
The play: FLA/TAM OVER 10 -107 - 321 to win 300
Back with Pimlico stakes races in a bit... GL fellas... thoughts, opinions, etc., all appreciated...
:smoker2:
There are some UMPS going today and with it being a big horse-racing day, I didn't spend a lot of time looking for a bunch of gems. Will play some correlated stuff and some (mostly) ump-based totals.
Gibson no longer is a club-member at 60.8 percent, and with how Garcia has owned the Flubs lately, I can't bet over.
Reed is also at 60.8 in Oakland, but both pens are rested and I can't recommend over with those 2 pitchers - though there is value with Oakland and the way they're playing right now.
Angel bullpen is a mess, Dodgers and Tomko are rolling now, Bell is at 63.0; gun to head, Dodger and U parlay but I'll pass.
Guccione goes in Cleveland tonight and his 60.1 percentage is good enough for me to bite even though he's just 3-3 O/U this year. Johnson has really struggled. He was better in his last start vs. DET on Sunday but still is 0-3 with an 8.28 ERA in his last three starts. Snell was tagged by the Marlins all day Sunday and if you want to back Pitt and/or UNDER, you have to forgive him. I don't know if I can but I'll take a stab at the correlated parlay.
The play: Pitt +163 - 150 to win 244.50
OVER 10.5 +106 - 150 to win 159
2team parlay - PIT +161 and OVER 9.5 -130 - 200 to win 723.54
Boston sends Beckett out to try and win its fifth straight in Philly. Boston has outscored Philadelphia 44-15 over the last five meetings. Myers has been solid as of late, not allowing more than three runs in any of his eight starts this season. He has given up just 10 earned runs in his last six outings, posting a 2.11 ERA over that span. Still, he's just 1-1 with a 7.61 ERA against Boston and he has allowed 15 runs in 10 2/3 innings in one start each in 2004 and 2005. Beckett has won his last two starts and is 6-3 with a 3.79 ERA in 16 career outings against Philly. One big Boston inning pushes it over with the help of Crawford (60.0 percent qualifies him as a club member).
The plays: Boston -104 - 312 to win 300
OVER 9 even - 200 to win 200
2team parlay - Boston 105 and OVER 8.5 -130 - 250 to win 613.55
Marsh is an honorary member going in Kansas City tonight (7-2 O/U this year). Cards are a little cheap even though they don't have much of an advantage in the pitching matchup tonight. I'll bite on them getting to Bautista and the KC pen and this one turning out like last night - STL and O.
The plays: STL/KC OVER 10.5 plus 102 - 300 to win 306
2team parlay - STL -172 and OVER 10 -120 - 350 to win 664.73
Fletcher (60.4 percent strikes) going in Tampa tonight, and while I did little research on this one, I do know SY is on the OVER and that's enough for me.
The play: FLA/TAM OVER 10 -107 - 321 to win 300
Back with Pimlico stakes races in a bit... GL fellas... thoughts, opinions, etc., all appreciated...
:smoker2: