The problem with a lot of questions on these Forums, is there is no striaght answer. For me to have a bet in the first place the price on offer must be at least 1/2 run over my estimate, which already incorporates at least 1 run advantage. As I dont bet under Evens I find I have some Teams that are under evens but still potentially 1.5 runs superior, so rather than let these games go, I bet them on the run line. Even though this is my 1st year betting Baseball, its would be hard to prove or disprove things at anytime, all I know is the sums are correct, which means if losses are being incurred then the H'capping is the problem. :drink:
fhmesq44 said:
Here is the formula Illini taught me last year. Looks hard but after doing it 5 or 6 times you can convert the line in less than a min.
If you like -1, you can get a better line by betting some on the ML and some -1.5. Pinnacle basically rips you off by about 3 cents on every -1 line. It just takes a little algebra, but it's well worth it. Here is an example.
Pinnacle
White Sox (-132)
White Sox -1.5 (+164)
White Sox -1 (+111)
Instead of betting 100 to win 111 at -1, do this.
Bet $56.90 at -132 to win $43.11
Bet $43.11 at -1.5 (+164) to win $70.70.
If White Sox win by 1, you break even, just like the -1 line.
If they win by 2 or more, you win $113.81 instead of $111.
So, you get almost +114 instead of +111
You just have to know how much to bet on the ML, then bet all the would be profits from that on the -1.5 line. To figure out how much to bet on the ML, just do this.
Take 100/132=.7576
Add 1 = 1.7576
Take 100 and divide by 1.7576.
=56.90
