http://forum2.therx.com/showthread.php?t=374775
YTD 56-49 +20.89
APRIL 14-14 +1.01.(3 Unit play 0-1 -3.00)( 2 Unit 2-2 +0.86)
MAY 42-35 +19.88 (2 Unit plays 3-1 +5.36)
Review,
The problem with Totals at anytime IMO is regardless of how you arrive at your selection, the price you pay is more luck than judgement. Personally I cannot go under -105 so what may be solid thinking bet can be made into a lottery by the books view. In the NFL, there is an excuse of not many games so the vig doesnt come into play as much, in Basketball one could argue a bigger cushion points wise whereas Baseball, one lucky run or mistake can be fatal. Add in the amount of games etc and for me, there are better pastures, so Totals are going while I'm ahead.
The Run-line is a tougher cookie to give up insomuch that the PLUS price always appeals and the nearly syndrome surfaces when you only win by one. Up to now I have played them when the vig on the M/L was steeper than my own Minus vig view, however, the number of 1 run games is enough to warrent re-evaluating the border prices giving up 1 1/2 runs, but I'm not going to hold my Breath. The +1 1/2 runs at minus vig is out of the question for me.
I am happy with the allocation of 2 and 3 units plays and as I said in an earlier post, I'm more than happy being £2000 up. I will see how things progress without Totals and Run-lines but at no time will 20 Units be squandered back, the plug will be pulled on the POPEYE ruthlessly
I hope you all have a successful June with your betting
No Plays Today :drink:
YTD 56-49 +20.89
APRIL 14-14 +1.01.(3 Unit play 0-1 -3.00)( 2 Unit 2-2 +0.86)
MAY 42-35 +19.88 (2 Unit plays 3-1 +5.36)
Review,
The problem with Totals at anytime IMO is regardless of how you arrive at your selection, the price you pay is more luck than judgement. Personally I cannot go under -105 so what may be solid thinking bet can be made into a lottery by the books view. In the NFL, there is an excuse of not many games so the vig doesnt come into play as much, in Basketball one could argue a bigger cushion points wise whereas Baseball, one lucky run or mistake can be fatal. Add in the amount of games etc and for me, there are better pastures, so Totals are going while I'm ahead.
The Run-line is a tougher cookie to give up insomuch that the PLUS price always appeals and the nearly syndrome surfaces when you only win by one. Up to now I have played them when the vig on the M/L was steeper than my own Minus vig view, however, the number of 1 run games is enough to warrent re-evaluating the border prices giving up 1 1/2 runs, but I'm not going to hold my Breath. The +1 1/2 runs at minus vig is out of the question for me.
I am happy with the allocation of 2 and 3 units plays and as I said in an earlier post, I'm more than happy being £2000 up. I will see how things progress without Totals and Run-lines but at no time will 20 Units be squandered back, the plug will be pulled on the POPEYE ruthlessly
I hope you all have a successful June with your betting
No Plays Today :drink: