I've posted this in the Off-Shore so it may be seen by more potential bettors, especially those with perhaps little knowledge of World Cup Betting. I hope others add their comments building a good picture for those who may want an interest.
The first thing to remember is The World Cup is looked on by the powers to be differently to the ordinary Soccer League Betting. Due to their real estate situation of having thousands of betting shops, the big British Books price their games up with a view to one off punters big and small. The relative personal are brought to meetings to discuss various areas of betting and pricing, careers are won and lost on Competitions like this. High on the Agenda as always will be public perception and more importantly which Teams will be put in Parlays, England, Brazil, Germany against lesser sides all fit the bill. So in all these Games the favourite will be shortened up, does this mean value the other Team, well in long term Leagues Yes but with 63 games, no. Look on it as Me racing Tyrell Owens over 100Mtrs, will a bigger price make me more value? Owens will trip up at some stage but 63 games lessens the chances. The real value is to be found in the shift from certain bets like 1-0 drifting and 2-0 shortening, under/over bets etc. Never underestimate how much cash can go on a seemingly bad price. In the 1994 Tournament a Client of mine phoned up and said he was in The Royal Hong Kong Golf Club and after telling an associate from Brazil that he was going to watch the Brazil game on TV, asked could he get £20,000 on for him. My man gave me an address to get the readies and after an hours work had knocked it all out for a £3000 hedge which I shared with him.
Home advantage is one of the things that sometimes gets forgotten by the books in the Furore of it all. Normally Home teams can get up to 1/2 a Goal and Germany obviously comes in for this. The situation sometimes missed is games like England-Paraguay, where it might as well be a Home Game for England considering their Fan base.
Another more arguable point nowadays is the Continental difference, which also used to equate to 1/2 a goal advantage. South americans playing in Europe had more problems off the pitch than on, even now my Rugby sharp says French Teams find it hard when away from Home. Although many players now play in europe, you still have the Organisational back room people to contend with and isolation can creep inside supposedly unimportant parts which rub off on the players.
Isolation is a very real problem, especially for the overpaid players of Today who think they are loved by all. In certain parts of Germany, the Public will hate individual Teams for historical or ethnics reasons, Italy for one is hated all over the Country and the French are dispised. Never underestimate how Joe Blogs in the Street can effect important things like fresh food, unblocked Toilets and even taking a stroll in the evening.
So there you go, please add any other meaningful thoughts :drink:
The first thing to remember is The World Cup is looked on by the powers to be differently to the ordinary Soccer League Betting. Due to their real estate situation of having thousands of betting shops, the big British Books price their games up with a view to one off punters big and small. The relative personal are brought to meetings to discuss various areas of betting and pricing, careers are won and lost on Competitions like this. High on the Agenda as always will be public perception and more importantly which Teams will be put in Parlays, England, Brazil, Germany against lesser sides all fit the bill. So in all these Games the favourite will be shortened up, does this mean value the other Team, well in long term Leagues Yes but with 63 games, no. Look on it as Me racing Tyrell Owens over 100Mtrs, will a bigger price make me more value? Owens will trip up at some stage but 63 games lessens the chances. The real value is to be found in the shift from certain bets like 1-0 drifting and 2-0 shortening, under/over bets etc. Never underestimate how much cash can go on a seemingly bad price. In the 1994 Tournament a Client of mine phoned up and said he was in The Royal Hong Kong Golf Club and after telling an associate from Brazil that he was going to watch the Brazil game on TV, asked could he get £20,000 on for him. My man gave me an address to get the readies and after an hours work had knocked it all out for a £3000 hedge which I shared with him.
Home advantage is one of the things that sometimes gets forgotten by the books in the Furore of it all. Normally Home teams can get up to 1/2 a Goal and Germany obviously comes in for this. The situation sometimes missed is games like England-Paraguay, where it might as well be a Home Game for England considering their Fan base.
Another more arguable point nowadays is the Continental difference, which also used to equate to 1/2 a goal advantage. South americans playing in Europe had more problems off the pitch than on, even now my Rugby sharp says French Teams find it hard when away from Home. Although many players now play in europe, you still have the Organisational back room people to contend with and isolation can creep inside supposedly unimportant parts which rub off on the players.
Isolation is a very real problem, especially for the overpaid players of Today who think they are loved by all. In certain parts of Germany, the Public will hate individual Teams for historical or ethnics reasons, Italy for one is hated all over the Country and the French are dispised. Never underestimate how Joe Blogs in the Street can effect important things like fresh food, unblocked Toilets and even taking a stroll in the evening.
So there you go, please add any other meaningful thoughts :drink:
