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Sports ANALyst
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Got back on track with a couple of winners yesterday. Still drowning for the year, now 90-121-5 and down 8331 for the 2006 campaign (thank God for the Nuba Conference Finals)...

The Giants invade New York for the first of what should be an entertaining three-game set. In the opener, Glavine, who is off to one of the best starts of his career, goes against the rookie Cain. He enters this contest having won six straight starts, allowing 11 runs in 40 2/3 innings. The last loss for Glavine was at San Francisco against Cain, when he allowed a season-high six runs in 6 1/3 innings in a 6-2 defeat on April 24. In his last start, Glavine took a perfect game into the sixth before allowing a hit, pitching 7 2/3 strong innings in a 7-4 win over Florida on Saturday. He is 4-1 with a 1.38 ERA in six starts at Shea Stadium. Cain (3-5, 5.07) threw seven solid innings to win that 4/24 matchup. He struggled for a few weeks before returning to the rotation to beat Oakland and Colorado. I'm looking for him to struggle tonight in his first Big Apple appearance. Bonds has had the last three days off to rest his knee but not sure he's hitting well enough to make a huge impact regardless. The 99-cent value from ML to RL was too good for me to pass up. IF THEY END up playing a game tonight, I'll be with the vet at home.

The play: Mets -1.5 runs plus 132 - 500 to win 660

Going with Glavine's ex-teammate tonight as well. Smoltzie had troubles with his hammy on Sunday against the Flubs, giving up six earned runs. It was the first time all year he had gives up more than 3 ER. He is 2-1 with a 2.23 ERA in four home starts this season and Arizona doesn't seem to hit as well on the road as they do at the BOB. Gonzalez had ordinary stats for the Sidewinders. Trying Smoltz at 101-cent value on the RL to get the cash.... Also going with a ML parlay of NYM to ATL in case either or both win by 1.

THe plays: Braves -1.5 runs plus 118 - 400 to win 472
2teams - Mets -169/Braves -184 - 600 to win 874.07

Really was surprised to see Houston priced this low given their dominance of the Reds at the Juicebox over the years but I guess Harang (despite being winless in his last four starts) is regarded as perhaps the best pitcher on the Reds staff save for Arroyo. Passing.
Tailing Wire on this one, going with the Cards, a veteran hitting team at home that can figure out how to hit the young Marshall. His ERA on the road is an even 9.00, allowing 23 ER in 23 innings. Ponson hasn't been dominating anyone but he's avoiding the big inning and getting guys out when he has to. He's 1-0 vs. the Flubs this year. This should be a steamroll job.

The plays: STL -200 - 500 to win 250
STL -1.5 runs plus 105 - 500 to win 525

Ho Ho Hudson going in LA tonight. Last five have all went under after 3-0-1 start to year. BUT... His last five Philly have all gone OVER, including a 4-0 mark in 2005. He's 4-2 in his last 6 OVER at LA, 5-2 in L7 LA games overall... With the Dodgers scoring as they have all season and the splits (La 13-9 O/U in home night games this season, Philly 9-6 in road night games OVER)... looks like a good spot for Hudson to revert to his form. Madson went just 5 innings and threw 95 pitches in his return to the rotation (for Hamels). Seo's had five quality starts but four where he didn't make it out of the fourth.

THe play: PHI/LA OVER 9 -118 - 590 to win 500

Looking at the Angels and Tampa so far in the AL, as well as KC. Who does Moyer have the right to be more than 2-to-1 against? Will be back with plays on those, perhaps, later on.

Oakland looks a tad appealing at this price against Santana, who has not been his normal dominant self most of the season. He has not gotten much run support and the Twins are just 1-5 in his road starts. Saarloos was solid in seven innings in Texas last time in a 4-3 loss to the Rangers. Let's give him a try. NOTE TO ALL: THis is the time of year the A's start really heating up. It happens every year. If you bet them every day from June 1 to the end of the season the last five or six years you'd be up a shitload of cash. The Oakland experiment begins a day late for me, as I missed the shutout last night. Oakland going for three straight tonight, why not?

The play: Oakland plus 185 - 400 to win 740

Back with the other umps and plays after lunch...

:smoker2:
 

Sports ANALyst
Joined
Oct 13, 2004
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Let's add a side...

Angel righty Jered Weaver had an auspicious debut to the big leagues Saturday, giving up just three hits, walking one and fanning five in seven innings of a 10-1 triumph over Baltimore. He retired 17 of the last 20 batters he faced. Now they're trying to make him an underdog against a struggling Johnson. Johnson was great against Detroit last time out but that was his first win since April 18. He has given up 78 hits in 54 1/3 innings. Opponents are hitting .345 off him. The Angels have won eight of the last 11 meetings in the series, including five of six on the road. They've also won six of their last eight games, with the starting pitchers posting a 3.15 ERA over that span.

The play: Anaheim plus 115 - 400 to win 460
 

Sports ANALyst
Joined
Oct 13, 2004
Messages
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Poncino in Tampa! 44-26 since the start of 2004 with a 61.28 strike percentage (lower 20 percent of league) and giving up well over 10 runs per game. McDung has screwed me twice this year but these two can be had and the ump will help.

The play: TOR/TAM OVER 10 -110 - 440 to win 400
 

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