Lightning Strikes sun 6/4

Francesco · Jun 4, 2006

3-0 on sat..........32-5 since 5/16..................52-21 overall...............

here ya go:

HOUSTON ASTROS su (-179)
huge #'s on this one by the system... Oswalt 14-1, 2.61 era lifetim vs. cincy and tough at home... Houston loves sundays..7-1 su.......

San Diego Padres su (-119)
very strong #'s by the system..Pitts 1-7 on sundays...

there ya go...2 official plays early and should be back after dinner for Sunday Night Baseball as I think I see something I like there...

bol :103631605

Francesco

teazeman · Jun 4, 2006

nice run, keep it rolling!!!

lefty22 · Jun 4, 2006

Hope we are on the same side for tonight game.Indians.Good luck on your plays,and keep that money train rollin

SBBC · Jun 4, 2006

Good Luck!

SBBC · Jun 4, 2006

Nice job! Hou no action as Oswalt was out.

BIGWave · Jun 4, 2006

lefty 22 said:
Hope we are on the same side for tonight game.Indians.Good luck on your plays,and keep that money train rollin

Since I have NEVER seen him on a dog...................it's safe to say he likes CLEV............ :103631605

Francesco · Jun 4, 2006

Since I have NEVER seen him on a dog...................it's safe to say he likes CLEV............ :103631605

>>>>>>>>>>>

hey big wave...do I sense a LITTLE sarcasm?

yeah sucks cashing 32 of my last 37 plays...

s'all good tho,

I know what you mean, but like I said before, there is a reason certain teams are a certain price, and the system analyzes their records AT THOSE #'S...

would rather cash, than trash those "value" play dogs a lot of guys talk about that just evaporate into thin air...

sbbc, NO ACTION on the system play of the ASTROS ... I wouldn't take credit in the win,and won't in the loss... OSWALT was named, and a huge reason for the play...

currently 4-4 after 10 anyway...

bol :103631605

Francesco

BIGWave · Jun 4, 2006

hey big wave...do I sense a LITTLE sarcasm?

HELL NO!!!!!!!
MAD RESPECT.................just not use to laying such BIG juice on plays with point spreads applied.................that's it...................and that makes it easier to predict on the only game tonight who you may be leaning to.......
Besides............what kinda moron would I be when you have cashed HUGE!!!

yeah sucks cashing 32 of my last 37 plays...

So, in summary:
NO sarcasm............
HUGE props / respect / admiration / thanks / kudos........
You rock dude :suomi:

Francesco[/quote]

Tulsa · Jun 4, 2006

I have followed on many (not all) of Francesco's plays and I never have paid any attention but he doesn't play many dogs.

Here is the funny thing: I adamantly do not look for value. I NEVER say, this team may lose but what a GREAT price. I am not saying that that type of bettor doesn't do well and heck, it may be a great way to go. I have done well in this stuff and when I see people talking about 'value' I stay away. I have never had luck (just me) using 'value' as the top criterion. However, if a game is a good price for a team I already have reason to believe will win, then all the better.

It is funny you guys are talking about this as I was just thinking about this subject within the last couple of days. One last thing: while value is not my top criterion, value certainly is part of my decision process and I may lower my 'to win' amount or not play a team I expect to win if they are at too high a price.

Good luck guys. tulsa

Francesco · Jun 4, 2006

1-0 today..and yeah, it was 1-0 YOUNG over pirates... I cashed, but Pads could have gotten 2 or more runs?

tonight: 2nd official play of the day...

Cleveland Indians su (-171)
Very Strong play...
lay it...

maybe even -1 @ -122...

Angels hate tough lefties... 3.6 runs per, hitting .246
Tribe hits righties... 6.4 runs per, hitting .299
Angel's bullpen on the road.. 6.3 era with a whip of 1.536

also:

Cleve is 14-2 when -160 to -180 @home,total 8.5-9, vs. RHP
Cleve is 8-2 when c.c. sabathia is a -160 to -180 home pitcher
Cleve is 10-2 when @home -160 to -180,vs. RHP on sunday off day game yielding of 2 or more runs ...

L.a. Angels 2-12 when road team in a night game off loss game 2 of a series....

as well as about 10 other 1-10,3-16, 4-18 type trends...

lay -571...whatever... 8-3 Tribe...

bol! :103631605

Francesco

Francesco · Jun 4, 2006

Tulsa said:
I have followed on many (not all) of Francesco's plays and I never have paid any attention but he doesn't play many dogs.

Here is the funny thing: I adamantly do not look for value. I NEVER say, this team may lose but what a GREAT price. I am not saying that that type of bettor doesn't do well and heck, it may be a great way to go. I have done well in this stuff and when I see people talking about 'value' I stay away. I have never had luck (just me) using 'value' as the top criterion. However, if a game is a good price for a team I already have reason to believe will win, then all the better.

It is funny you guys are talking about this as I was just thinking about this subject within the last couple of days. One last thing: while value is not my top criterion, value certainly is part of my decision process and I may lower my 'to win' amount or not play a team I expect to win if they are at too high a price.

Good luck guys. tulsa

articulate and classy as always TULSA...

Bigwave...no probs at all, as I was thinking that yesterday..I play a lot of favorites... I see a lot of good #'s for dogs too, just prefer laying juice or buying it down to -1 only... NEVER,NEVER -1.5 OR MORE... why do it ??????
the -1 gives me an insurance play a little on a game I love, but don't want to lose $200-$100 on...

I try to comment on dogs that look decent from time to time... when I see it,I'll call it...

i'm getting close to my first dog winner as we had San Diego today -119...
wow...to me,that's a dog

uppy:

bol tonight
Francesco

p.s. this line opened -156...currently -181...
huge $ layed on Tribe...

slcgreg · Jun 4, 2006

Crap, took CLE -1.5 after reading your first CLE post, then I read that you never play -1.5. Hope that doesn't bite me in the ass.
BOL
slcgreg

jamesthompson · Jun 4, 2006

Rough loss on the Astros. Better luck tomorrow.

Francesco · Jun 4, 2006

no play

no oswalt.. game was 4-4 after 10 when I posted... wouldn't have taken the win,so can't take the loss

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