Taking a lead Monday- Doesn't St.Louis -115 (Mansion) look good?

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LA Clippers Junkie
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With Pujols on the DL? Tough game to take a lead on either way in my opinion.
 

Forza Noles!
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I think Arizona at -165 will go a lot higher. I'm just thinking 4-5 5.00 era vs. 8-0 2.01 era looks good to people. Webb has been unhittable in his last few starts. They're at home and have been hot lately as well. They will go somewhere in the high 170's, 180's I believe. Who knows, just an opinion.
 

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You guys know what "they" say about things that look to good to be true?
They are usually right.
 

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Italianole said:
I think Arizona at -165 will go a lot higher. I'm just thinking 4-5 5.00 era vs. 8-0 2.01 era looks good to people. Webb has been unhittable in his last few starts. They're at home and have been hot lately as well. They will go somewhere in the high 170's, 180's I believe. Who knows, just an opinion.



I booked Arizona without looking at a thing by the system...I couldn't agree more Italian...

Webb is lights out,battled @ Mets and zona tough at home...

that should be -185 to -195...


in fact...just found this...
look at the power rating vs. the actual line (-198)

http://www.sportsbook.com/statfeed/...d&gameid=20060605ARIZONA&sit=1&order=1&back=2
 

Forza Noles!
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Insiders said:
You guys know what "they" say about things that look to good to be true?
They are usually right.

Yeah of course...just saying that I think all of factors will make the dbacks quite the popular play. Kind of like the Indians game today...opened at -150 or something and ended up in the -180 range (hot pitcher at home after an impressive win the day before). I just think the line will move that way, not playing it because it really does look too good and is way, way too expensive.

GL francesco, dbacks have been rolling but they did just finish playing the sad Braves :icon_conf
 

Rx Wizard
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the reason i don't like this is because ALOT of players don't like to lasy over -150. I'm trying to think like the public and have a hard time beleiving they would lay that much ( I maybe wrong)
 

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Iceman said:
the reason i don't like this is because ALOT of players don't like to lasy over -150. I'm trying to think like the public and have a hard time beleiving they would lay that much ( I maybe wrong)

The best games to take positions on lately have been heavy favorites.
 

Rx Wizard
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one other thing about St.Louis is it is -120 at Pinnacle, almost scalpable. Overall a decent value right now
 

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Clip Joint said:
The best games to take positions on lately have been heavy favorites.

It's very true. Just today the Blue Jays moved from the high -160's to -179/-180 in a couple of hours and the Indians moved almost 30 cents throughout the day. Favorites with popular pitchers or favs playing the "bad" teams have been moving a lot.
 

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I'd be careful with St. Louis they just lost Pujols, they have arguably there worst starter on the hill and most of the big bats in the Reds lineup light Suppan up. Griffey 9 for 16 -- 4 HR, 10 RBI, Adam Dunn 6 for 10 -- 1 HR, 3 RBI, Aurillia 5 for 11 -- 1 HR, 3 RBI, Hattberg/Lopez both hit over .300 off him in limited AB's. I'm going to layoff from laying chalk on STL for a few games while I see how there lineup unfolds. Edmonds should have been placed on the DL so he is playing banged up and out of position, other than Rolen they don't have any run producers. St. Louis does hit lefties well and Claussen is very subpar. This game is tough to call but I'd lean towards Cinci right now as there offense is more potent, which could be the determining factor in a game started by 2 lackluster pitchers.
 

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GL francesco, dbacks have been rolling but they did just finish playing the sad Braves >>>>


no doubt Italian...but now they HOST the sad Phils... spoken like a true Philadelphian here...

The gm here has mailed this season in until they get rid of David Bell and Mike Lieberthal's contracts...

once those gazillions are freed up, he'll re-build... next year


rumor here is Dontrel will be a Phil soon...
 

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Over in the Reds vs Cardinals game just a thought with 2 bad pitchers on the mound. But im sure its a high price to pay for the over in this game.:money8:
 

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Iceman said:
figure it has to go up to -130, don't it?
well i got it -120 st louis and +110 cincy so a +110 qill win ovr a - 120 i'dd go with st louis plus they are playing at home
 

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Iceman said:
figure it has to go up to -130, don't it?
there is a 86% chance of cincy winning the game but the pitcher is 1-3 against st louis what sign could that be????????
 

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elvis1 said:
there is a 86% chance of cincy winning the game but the pitcher is 1-3 against st louis what sign could that be????????
:icon_conf . Have know idea what you mean
 

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Iceman said:
one other thing about St.Louis is it is -120 at Pinnacle, almost scalpable. Overall a decent value right now




..................:103631605
 

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Iceman said:
:icon_conf . Have know idea what you mean
ok now score is 2 -2 30% chance of st louis winning and 55% chance of cincy winning total % is 86
 

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