MLB Betting Angles

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Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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Creating this thread for the periodic posting of what we feel are legitimately useful Angles (some use the term "Trends").

Whazzat? you ask.

A 'legitimate' Angle is one that meets a definition with as many explainable correlations as possible.

Perhaps I could explain more clearly by defining what I think are "illegitimate" Angles.

A common I.T. is one that has just one or two corralary variables.

For example:

TEAMS playing on Sunday nights give the following RESULTS.

That's not much for a Legitimate or Angle. There's one common variable, but it's pretty much random since all teams play on Sunday night, so there's always a flat result of 15 wins and 15 losses. (And average scoring is always flat given a few weeks results)

How about TEAMS playing on Sunday nights following a Win/Loss on Saturday?

Well, now you have two variables, but can we really correlate the results without more?

How about a couple of specific teams that avg about .500 records, but who on Sunday nights for past two seasons, just 20 wins and 40 losses?

Now we have three variables...Day of week, same team(s), very odd contrast to overall record.

But the more common variables the better.

And the more we can define a legitimate correlation between these variables, the more legitimate a Trend (I prefer the term "Angle") we have to work with.
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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For each Angle posted, I will assign a number so that I (or any of you who wish to do accurate research) can UPDATE a certain Angle as the season goes along.

We'll likely observe a number of Angles which first look intriguing gradually revert to center and be less interesting over the next four months.

But several should hold up for continued review and possible useful application towards increasing our positive investments in the same time period.

------------

ANGLE 1

Definition = THE BOTTOM FIVE teams in AL scoring>Road game following>Road game where they scored 7+

What are the results (2006) vs TeamTotal for that following game?

Through Monday June 5

KC 0-4
TB 0-3
OAK 2-5
LAA 2-4
MIN 0-4


Combined 4 Overs and 20 Unders....
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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I haven't done the NL with same definition yet...(Using <260 runs as of June 5), but there are six teams (ranked from bottom) CHC, COL, SD, FL, WAS, HOU.

Pit has 261 runs in that time.
========================
But I will post the CUBS mark through June 5 since they scored eight in Houston Monday night and thus Tuesday would meet the Angle 1 rule.

CUBS: 2-3-1 Away>teamtotal>followingAwaygame with 7+ scored

More on this particular matchup in our June MLB thread at the Bar n Grill

http://forum.therx.com/showthread.php?t=380775
 

Honey Badger Don't Give A Shit
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Rockies are 4-1 in Angle 1 role, including three straight in first week of season.

Led to a followup stat note regarding Colorado - That is, in their last 32 games straight up the Rocks have scored a not-so-lusty 93 runs. Guys, that's 2.9 per game.

I'm pretty sure that's worth a pounding all alone on most games for the Teamtotal Undah.
 

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