So far so good today, 6/6/06.... World hasn't ended yet. I'm a tad terrified of those three numbers together, maybe the 'zero' breaking them up will bring me good luck. Call it a stupid superstition (my ex-girl did) but I really do fear that shit. So I'm trying to stay out of trouble today.
I've had a tough go of it lately, but I ran into some great fortune last night (literally) when someone who owed me a lot of money saw my situation and came to my rescue for me with my guy back home. This gets me in a position where I can continue to scratch and claw and get myself back to respectability before it's too late. I had all but given up hope on this cash but let's just say when I got the call last night in the 9th inning of the Dodger game, at the point I was about to go 0-3... it made my day.
Like I said yesterday, you can't teach an old dog new tricks. Fullwood didn't have enough history to warrant a play either way on that Baltimore total; I bet that game solely on Baltimore going over 9 in a row or whatever and the total combined Tor road/Bal home O/U at 36-15. Of course, I can make anything lose the way I've gone the last 4-5 days.
They say when you're going bad, that you need to slow down and evaluate things. I did that last night. I'm coming out swinging now that my bankroll is in order. Cream rises to the top and I'm more cream than a five-digit red-figure indicates, lol... Hopefully the faders have had their fun and know when to quit because the rally starts now.
No big-time UMP situations today outside of Atlanta. Timmons (30-42 L3 years) is in STL but not interested in that under as I have the visitor. Gibson (40-33 L3) is in LA but those two pitchers can dominate at night. O'Nora (30-42 L3) is in Frisco but I want no part of a Florida U at night. Bill Welke (amazing, another 30-42 L3, 3-7-1 in 06) is in Bronx but you'd have to drug me to get me to bet a Yankee U after watching last night's depleted lineup rock Beckett. Other umps unknown for now...
Washington has won five straight, Braves have lost five in a row. Nats a scorching 24-6 in June since moving to DC. Hill allowed just one run and five hits in seven innings in a 3-1 loss to the Dodgers May 27. Ramirez is 3-3 with a 3.28 ERA in nine career starts against the Nationals. Do these stats warrant ATL being this kind of fave? No. MARSH behind the plate. (44-24 O/U last three years).
The plays: Washington plus 158 - 400 to win 632
2teams - Wash +58 and OVER 9.5 -110 - 300.00 to Win 1,177.64 USD
Reds with a stunning rally to win it in the 9th last night in STL and shave the Cards' lead in the division. Not sure if Cincy can win the divison but they have shown me a great deal of resilliency this spring. As Wire says, don't look at ancient history when handicapping now. Well, I see this price on Cincy and it screams 'RIDICULOUS'... Carpenter is the STL ace and I know that, but he's also coming off the DL and could well be on a pitch count. Milton has had two straight good outings for Cincy, giving up one run in 8 innings at ARI and beat the Zambrano last week going 7 2/3 and giving up 2 runs on six hits.
The play: Reds plus 172 - 600 to win 1032
Hamels is the phenom and we all know it. But I'll take a stab at a short price with the best team in the NL against a guy coming off the DL, especially when that team lost with its ace on the hill last night. Cruz shut out Atlanta for seven innings in getting a win last time and has gone 13 innings without allowing a run.
The play: Zona -108 - 648 to win 600
Zito held Minny to four hits in seven IP. Since a ND vs. Texas on April 25, he has not given up more than one run in six of his seven starts. His ERA vs. CLE lifetime is 2.09. The Twins wheel out an inconsistent Westbrook for the opener. He is supposed to struggle this time based on his 'good start, bad start' pattern. Westbrook is 2-5 in his career vs. OAK.
Oakland won 3 of 4 vs. the Twins and I expect things to heat up (like they always do) in June. A's now 75-38 since start of 2002 in June. They are the play.
The bet: Oakland plus 102 - 1000 to win 1020
Pleasantly surprised to see the ChiSox underpriced today against Detroit. The Tigers dropped series to the AL East leaders (both of 'em) last week at home, proving their somewhat-fradulent record was built by playing Kansas City about 20 times in April and May.
Robertson got into a big argument with Barrett last time on his way out of the game (ending a seven-game unbeaten streak). He defended himself for several minutes with reporters afterward and I think this will have a negative effect on him tonight. Garcia is 12-5 vs. DET and 1-0 this season against them. He's also beaten them six of the last seven he's faced them. ChiSox played DET three times this year, in an early April series at Comerica, which they swept. Lay the small number.
The play: ChiSox -130 - 1040 to win 800
Significant upgrade for the M's today, going from KC's disaster to the hottest pitcher in baseball. Liriano has allowed seven hits and one run in 16 innings since becoming a starter. He's already beaten Hernandez once this season. At basically a pick, he's worth a shot.
The play: Minnesota -103 - 412 to win 400
Those six should do it for today. GL all...
:smoker2:
I've had a tough go of it lately, but I ran into some great fortune last night (literally) when someone who owed me a lot of money saw my situation and came to my rescue for me with my guy back home. This gets me in a position where I can continue to scratch and claw and get myself back to respectability before it's too late. I had all but given up hope on this cash but let's just say when I got the call last night in the 9th inning of the Dodger game, at the point I was about to go 0-3... it made my day.
Like I said yesterday, you can't teach an old dog new tricks. Fullwood didn't have enough history to warrant a play either way on that Baltimore total; I bet that game solely on Baltimore going over 9 in a row or whatever and the total combined Tor road/Bal home O/U at 36-15. Of course, I can make anything lose the way I've gone the last 4-5 days.
They say when you're going bad, that you need to slow down and evaluate things. I did that last night. I'm coming out swinging now that my bankroll is in order. Cream rises to the top and I'm more cream than a five-digit red-figure indicates, lol... Hopefully the faders have had their fun and know when to quit because the rally starts now.
No big-time UMP situations today outside of Atlanta. Timmons (30-42 L3 years) is in STL but not interested in that under as I have the visitor. Gibson (40-33 L3) is in LA but those two pitchers can dominate at night. O'Nora (30-42 L3) is in Frisco but I want no part of a Florida U at night. Bill Welke (amazing, another 30-42 L3, 3-7-1 in 06) is in Bronx but you'd have to drug me to get me to bet a Yankee U after watching last night's depleted lineup rock Beckett. Other umps unknown for now...
Washington has won five straight, Braves have lost five in a row. Nats a scorching 24-6 in June since moving to DC. Hill allowed just one run and five hits in seven innings in a 3-1 loss to the Dodgers May 27. Ramirez is 3-3 with a 3.28 ERA in nine career starts against the Nationals. Do these stats warrant ATL being this kind of fave? No. MARSH behind the plate. (44-24 O/U last three years).
The plays: Washington plus 158 - 400 to win 632
2teams - Wash +58 and OVER 9.5 -110 - 300.00 to Win 1,177.64 USD
Reds with a stunning rally to win it in the 9th last night in STL and shave the Cards' lead in the division. Not sure if Cincy can win the divison but they have shown me a great deal of resilliency this spring. As Wire says, don't look at ancient history when handicapping now. Well, I see this price on Cincy and it screams 'RIDICULOUS'... Carpenter is the STL ace and I know that, but he's also coming off the DL and could well be on a pitch count. Milton has had two straight good outings for Cincy, giving up one run in 8 innings at ARI and beat the Zambrano last week going 7 2/3 and giving up 2 runs on six hits.
The play: Reds plus 172 - 600 to win 1032
Hamels is the phenom and we all know it. But I'll take a stab at a short price with the best team in the NL against a guy coming off the DL, especially when that team lost with its ace on the hill last night. Cruz shut out Atlanta for seven innings in getting a win last time and has gone 13 innings without allowing a run.
The play: Zona -108 - 648 to win 600
Zito held Minny to four hits in seven IP. Since a ND vs. Texas on April 25, he has not given up more than one run in six of his seven starts. His ERA vs. CLE lifetime is 2.09. The Twins wheel out an inconsistent Westbrook for the opener. He is supposed to struggle this time based on his 'good start, bad start' pattern. Westbrook is 2-5 in his career vs. OAK.
Oakland won 3 of 4 vs. the Twins and I expect things to heat up (like they always do) in June. A's now 75-38 since start of 2002 in June. They are the play.
The bet: Oakland plus 102 - 1000 to win 1020
Pleasantly surprised to see the ChiSox underpriced today against Detroit. The Tigers dropped series to the AL East leaders (both of 'em) last week at home, proving their somewhat-fradulent record was built by playing Kansas City about 20 times in April and May.
Robertson got into a big argument with Barrett last time on his way out of the game (ending a seven-game unbeaten streak). He defended himself for several minutes with reporters afterward and I think this will have a negative effect on him tonight. Garcia is 12-5 vs. DET and 1-0 this season against them. He's also beaten them six of the last seven he's faced them. ChiSox played DET three times this year, in an early April series at Comerica, which they swept. Lay the small number.
The play: ChiSox -130 - 1040 to win 800
Significant upgrade for the M's today, going from KC's disaster to the hottest pitcher in baseball. Liriano has allowed seven hits and one run in 16 innings since becoming a starter. He's already beaten Hernandez once this season. At basically a pick, he's worth a shot.
The play: Minnesota -103 - 412 to win 400
Those six should do it for today. GL all...
:smoker2:
