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Chicago +1.14 over HOUSTON (2:05 PM)<?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
Rookie Chris Sampson makes his first career start after being called up from Triple-A Round Rock and pitching five innings of relief against the Reds. Sampson throws strikes and rarely walks anyone but his minor league numbers aren’t that impressive at all. He was good in the minors but not spectacular by any stretch of the imagination and it’s not like he’s pitching for the Mets for God’s sake. He’s pitching for a team that’s sinking faster than Edmonton Oiler backers and that’s lost 14 of its past 17 games. Meanwhile, the Cubs are off the mattress with five wins in their past eight games after taking two of three from both Cincinnati and the Cardinals. Sean Marshall, for the most part has not looked a bit out of place in is rookie campaign. He’s been smoked twice but his other eight starts have been of the quality variety and in fact, in seven of those aforementioned eight starts Marshall allowed two runs or less. The Astros in a funk with an unproven rookie going has no appeal whatsoever as the chalk. Play: Chicago +1.14 (Risking 1.5 units).
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Pittsburgh +1.11 over COLORADO (3:05 PM)<o:p></o:p>
Oliver Perez is having an off year but there’s little doubt the man can pitch; he’s a proven quality starter. Perez has also had great success both at Coors Field and against this host. Perez is 4-2 with a 2.91 ERA lifetime versus Colorado and at Coors Field he’s 2-1 with a 3.29 ERA. In addition, the Pirates are really playing well and have been for the better part of their last dozen games. This Pirate team is so much better than their record indicates and this has been a great venue for them over the years. After a great start the Rockies are going in the other direction and most of that can be attributed to a serious lack of offense. Josh Fogg will toe the rubber this afternoon and he’s an average starter with average stuff and that’s all he’ll ever be. Anyway, when we can get Oliver Perez with a tag over Josh Fogg just get in line and don’t ask any questions. Wrong side favored. Play: Pittsburgh +1.11 (Risking 1.5 units).
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MILWAUKEE –1.05 over San Diego<o:p></o:p>
We’ve seen what happens when the Padres get in an offensive funk and it’s not pretty and it usually lasts a week or two. San Diego has scored just four runs in its last three games and that alone makes this wager a strong one, especially against Chan Ho Stiff. Forget Chan Ho’s numbers; this guy has about as much intensity as a pickerel on the end of your fishing line. Left-hander Zach Jackson will make his first career start Tuesday after Dana Eveland was sent to the minors. Jackson pitched a perfect inning of relief Sunday in his major league debut, striking out the first two batters he faced. Jackson went 2-2 with a 3.00 ERA in 10 starts for Triple-A Nashville this season and absolutely deserves this opportunity. Milwaukee is back on track with wins over this invader in the first two games of this series and we don’t see much changing here. Play: Milwaukee –1.05 (Risking 1.6 units to win 1.5).
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Toronto –1.02 over BALTIMORE<o:p></o:p>
The Blue Jays are first or second in just about every offensive category and that includes home runs and team batting average. That bodes well with rookie Casey Janssen on the hill. Since last losing on May 12, Janssen is 3-0 in four starts, and has allowed eight runs and 18 hits in 25.1 innings and the Blue Jays have won all four of those games. Meanwhile, Chris Benson has not won since May 19, and is 0-1 with an 8.78 ERA in his last three starts. The Blue Jays have developed a pattern of winning two out of three in just about every series they’ve played this season and after losing game one of this series and winning last night it would appear likely that pattern will continue here. Short price on the Jays and we’re on it. Play: Toronto –1.02 (Risking 1.54 units to win 1.5). <o:p></o:p>
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Minnesota +1.35 over SEATTLE<o:p></o:p>
Don’t know about you but we’ll pass on any 43-year old as a 1.45 favorite and you can double that when said pitcher is playing for a team that’s six games under .500. Sure, the Twins are struggling a bit but this isn’t about that. The Twins smoked Moyer very recently to the tune of 11 hits and eight runs in six innings and we’ll focus on that. Don’t get us wrong, Moyer is surprisingly having a very decent year, however, the man is not a machine and you’ll have to dig far to find a pitcher this old going a whole season with great success. It just does not happen and the wheels for Moyer are about to come off. Boof Bonser has given the Twins quality innings all year. He’s made three starts and in 18 innings he’s struck out 18 and walked just four. Bonser has an ERA on the road of 3.46 and the only thing that’s been hurting him is the long ball but in this park that likely won’t be an issue. Of course the Twins can win here. Play: Minnesota +1.35 (Risking 1.5 units).
 

X X X
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Aug 24, 2005
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gl, sherwood. Always good to read your opinions. I don't care if they win or not (but I hope they do for your bankroll's sake!) because they most often have interesting and insightful angles.
 

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