-Newman- MLB 2006

-Newman- · Jun 7, 2006

What happens to a rookie sports bettor in his first season of MLB picks?

Here's the thread to find out.

-Newman-'s "Lock Of The Millenium"

Follow These Quick-And-Easy Picks To Getting Rich

#1 - Look At -Newman-'s MLB Picks Each Day
#2 - Reverse All Of -Newman-'s MLB Picks Each Day
#3 - Lay A Lot Of Money Down

-Newman- · Jun 7, 2006

June 6, 2006

Year To Date : 0-0-0
Parlays : 0-0
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June 6, 2006

Round Robin - 2 Team

A : Washington @ Atlanta : Over 9
B : Chicago @ Houston : Over 9
C : Boston @ New York : Over 11

A-B ... 1 Unit / +245
A-C ... 1 Unit / +218
B-C ... 1 Unit / +251

Straight

San Francisco : Game -1.5 ... 2 Unit / +110
San Diego @ Milwaukee : Over 8.5 ... 1.15 Unit / -115

CaptainCarl · Jun 7, 2006

Newman,
Don't be so hard on yourself, I am sure you will do fine. It is a long season and you have the cajones to post your picks, which many do not. Good luck the rest of the year!

-Newman- · Jun 7, 2006

June 6, 2006 Results

Year To Date : 0-5 (-6.15 Units)[/SIZE]

Straights : 0-1 (-2 Units)[/SIZE]
Parlays : 0-3 (-3 Units)[/SIZE]
Over / Under : 0-1 (-1.15 Units)[/SIZE]
Team Totals : 0-0

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Round Robin - 2 Team

A : Washington @ Atlanta : Over 9
B : Chicago @ Houston : Over 9
C : Boston @ New York : Over 11

A-B ... 1 Unit / +245 (LOSER)
A-C ... 1 Unit / +218 (LOSER)
B-C ... 1 Unit / +251 (LOSER)

Straight

San Francisco : Game -1.5 ... 2 Unit / +110 (LOSER)
San Diego @ Milwaukee : Over 8.5 ... 1.15 Unit / -115 (LOSER)

-Newman- · Jun 7, 2006

June 7, 2006

Year To Date : 0-5 (-6.15 Units)

Straights : 0-1 (-2 Units)
Parlays : 0-3 (-3 Units)
Over / Under : 0-1 (-1.15 Units)
Team Totals : 0-0

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June 7, 2006 MLB Picks
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Washington @ Atlanta : Over 8.5 ... 1.15 Unit / -115

Series Record Against Over / Under
Game 1 : 7-13
Game 2 : 8-12
Game 3 : 10-6
Game 4 : 1-2

* Umpire Angel Hernandez is 8-3 against Over / Under allowing 11.09 runs.
* Over is 5-0-0 in Braves last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.
* Over is 5-2-0 in Nationals last 7 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5.

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San Diego @ Milwaukee : Under 9.5 ... 2.3 Unit / -115

Umpire Bruce Froemming Against Over / Under
4-8 this year allowing 7.58 runs
0-9 last 9 Wednesday's behind home plate

* Under is 4-0 Milwaukee last 4 night games.
* Under is 6-1-0 San Diego last 7 night games.
* Under is 5-0 head-to-head in Milwaukee
* Under is 6-2 head-to-head last 8 meetings.

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Chicago @ Houston : Chicago ML/Over 9.5 ... 1 Unit / +291

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By no means does my so-called system rely on any of the information; however, it's just a little extra incentive. Hope for a good 2nd day now that 6-6-6 is out of the damn way. Best of luck to everyone today.

-Newman- · Jun 8, 2006

June 7, 2006 Results

Year To Date : 0-8 (-10.6 Units)

Straight : 0-1 (-2 Units)
Over / Under : 0-4 (-5.6 Units)
Parlay : 0-3 (-3 Units)
Team Total : 0-0

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June 7, 2006 Results : 0-3 (-4.45 Units)
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Washington @ Atlanta : Over 8.5 ... 1.15 Unit / -115 (LOSER)
San Diego @ Milwaukee : Under 9.5 ... 2.3 Unit / -115 (LOSER)
Chicago @ Houston : Chicago ML/Over 9.5 ... 1 Unit / +291 (LOSER)

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Please let me reiterate. If you would like to turn a losing streak around, just look at my picks and FADE, FADE, FADE !!!!

I still can't believe the Houston / Chicago game. I mean I really didn't care if they went over 9.5, but c'mon. One rookie pitcher who's been semi-struggling this year and the other rookie making his first MLB start and he retires 11 in a row and they both throw a lights out game. Someone up above is seriously frowning on me. By no means does 1-0 sound like what that score should've been.
:nohead:

One Quick Question : Am I right in saying the percentages are damn near the same for going 0-8 compared to 8-0?

Well, gimme an hour and I'll have a few more picks to give someone an opportunity to make some $$$. All I can do is shrug, laugh at myself, and for some reason, go back and research some more.

Good luck to all the rest of you on tomorrow's plays.

-Newman- · Jun 8, 2006

June 8, 2006 Picks

Year To Date : 0-8 (-10.6 Units)

Straight : 0-1 (-2 Units)
Over / Under : 0-4 (-5.6 Units)
Parlay : 0-3 (-3 Units)
Team Total : 0-0
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June 8, 2006 Picks
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New York @ Arizona
New York : ML ... 2.10 Unit / -105
New York : Team Total Over 5 ... 1.30 Units / -130

Head-To-Head
* Mets are 6-0 in last 6 meetings at Arizona.
* Mets are 8-1 in the last 9 meetings.

* Mets are 20-6 last 26 during Game 1 of series.
* Mets are 8-2 against Over/Under last 10 during Game 1 of series.

Claudio Vargas Previous Start Vs Mets
5/29/06 - 6.0 IP - 6 ER - 0 SO

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Oakland @ Cleveland
Cleveland : Game -1.5 ... 1 Unit / +145
Cleveland : Team Total Over 5.5 ... 1.15 Unit / -115
Game Total Over 10.5 ... 1 Unit / +105

Head-To-Head
* Over is 6-0 last 6 meetings.
* Cleveland is 12-3 last 15 meetings in Cleveland.

* Esteban Loiaza last outing was 4/23/2006
* Loiaza coming off 15-Day DL with a strained trapezius muscle.
* Loiaza is 0-3 - 18.1 IP - 8.35 ERA
* Oakland Bullpen Last 3 Games 5.68 ERA

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Minnesota @ Seattle
Seattle : Team Total Over 3 ... 2.10 Unit / -105

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Might add some more later

-Newman- · Jun 8, 2006

Woo Hoo !!!!

I hope someone is fading me. I informed to fade in the very beginning b/c of my damn luck and so far have gone 0-11 ... That's 13.75 Units lost in a row ... if you would've faded, +19.75 Units.

Well look above ... there's still 2 games to go against today, with possible of some more this afternoon.

-Newman- · Jun 9, 2006

June 8, 2006 Result

Year To Date : 2-11-1 (-10.75 Units)
***
Straight : 1-2 (-1 Units)
Over / Under : 0-5 (-6.6 Units)
Parlay : 0-3 (-3 Units)
Team Total : 1-1-1 (-.15 Units)
***
*2 Unit Plays : 1-1-1 (-2.30 Units)

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June 8, 2006 Results : 2-3-1 (-.15 Units)
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New York @ Arizona
New York : ML ... 2.10 Unit / -105 (WINNER)
New York : Team Total Over 5 ... 1.30 Units / -130 (WINNER)

Oakland @ Cleveland
Cleveland : Game -1.5 ... 1 Unit / +145 (LOSER)
Cleveland : Team Total Over 5.5 ... 1.15 Unit / -115 (LOSER)
Game Total Over 10.5 ... 1 Unit / +105 (LOSER)

Minnesota @ Seattle
Seattle : Team Total Over 3 ... 2.10 Unit / -105 (PUSH)

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Hey, the losing streak is over !!!! Oh boy, like I said, this is what happens when a sports gambler exits the poker world to bet on baseball for the first time in his life. I'm an avid football bettor (can't wait for NCAA Football) and even a NCAA Basketball bettor, but this is my first time ever touching baseball. It's crazy the juice on these games ( understand I've been used to football my whole life ... the -110 +110 lines).

Going to bed on my first good day, which is still 2-3-1 (-.15 Units) but wayyyy better than previous days. I will slowly learn to halfway be able to research and put lines myself on baseball, but I understand that's not going to come for a few years of experience, atleast. Honestly, I don't know the absolute correct stats and research to use yet. Live and learn, baby !!!

See you guys tomorrow for my picks and best of luck ahead of time.

-Newman- · Jun 9, 2006

June 9, 2006 MLB Picks

Year To Date : 2-11-1 (-10.75 Units)
***
Straight : 1-2 (-1 Units)
Over / Under : 0-5 (-6.6 Units)
Parlay : 0-3 (-3 Units)
Team Total : 1-1-1 (-.15 Units)
***
*2 Unit Plays : 1-1-1 (-2.30 Units)

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June 9, 2006 MLB Picks
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Seattle @ Los Angeles Angels
Game Total Over 8.5 ... 2.5 Units / -125

Head-To-Head
* Over is 16-5-1 in the last 22 meetings.
* LA Scoring 5.77 RPG ... Seattle Scoring 6.10 RPG
* Previous 6 Meetings In Order, Game Total Is 9, 18, 10, 19, 9, 13

Pitcher Last 3 Games
* Jarrod Washburn (SEA) 1-2 ... 17.0 IP ... 6.88 ERA
* Kelvim Escobar (LAA) 0-3 ... 18.0 IP ... 4.91 ERA

* Last 7 Days Los Angeles #2 In Runs Scored ... 7.61 RPG (6 Games)
* Last 7 Days Seattle #4 In Runs Scored ... 6.45 RPG (7 Games)
* LA Has A 4.03 Home ERA ... Seattle Has A 5.11 Away ERA

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Chicago @ Cincinnati
Cincinnati : Game -1.5 ... 2 Unit / +125
Game Total Over 10 ... .5 Unit / +100

* Cincinnati 12-5 last 17 head-to-head meetings.
* Scored 10 or more in 6 of 9 head-to-head meetings this year

Pitching Last 3 Games
* Greg Maddux (CHC) 1-2 ... 16.2 IP ... 8.10 ERA
* Elizardo Ramirez (CIN) 1-1 ... 17 IP ... 4.76 ERA

* Umpire Sam Holbrook 7-1 against Over / Under allowing 11.5 RPG

* Last 7 Days Cincinnati #1 In Runs Scored ... 8.39 RPG (7 Games)
* Last 7 Days Chicago #23 In Runs Scored ... 4.25 RPG (7 Games)

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St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis ML ... 2.8 Unit / -140
Game Total Under 10 ... 1.15 Unit / -115

* Last 7 Days St. Louis #26 In Runs Scored ... 4.02 RPG (6 Games)
* Last 7 Days Milwaukee #25 In Runs Scored ... 4.13 RPG (7 Games)

* Mark Mulder takes mound against struggling Milwaukee

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Parlays

Cincinnati : Game -1.5
St. Louis : Game -1.5
1 Unit / +373

Seattle / Los Angeles : Over 8.5
Cincinnati ML
St. Louis ML
.5 Unit / +408

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Once again, stats posted are just numbers that pop out at me, not necessarily numbers that I reflect my betting on.

And yes, I know, I'm riding these games probably way too much, but "if" I hit, it's going to be a good day for once.

Good luck to all today. Anyone got an opinion or leaning on these ?

-Newman- · Jun 9, 2006

Today's gotta be a good day. Why? Well, when I log into the Rx for the first time of the day, I immediately do my own research than post my pics "before" I look at anyone else's picks because I don't wanna be swayed one way or the other. I feel in the beginning, I should try to learn the how's and why's of picking.

Anywho, I looked after posting my picks and I'm on the same side on 2 of my games as Ace-Ace ( one of the few actually ahead in baseball this year ). So, it's gotta be a good day for me, or I guess a bad day for Ace-Ace. Sorry in advance. But I feel good today.

:dancefool

teazeman · Jun 9, 2006

might i suggest cutting back on the -1.5 two team parlays as a way to save yourself a little cash. betting baseball in this manner is like swimming with sharks, if your'e not careful you could lose a leg or two. gl either way

-Newman- · Jun 9, 2006

point taken teazeman ... Thank you very much for the input and welcome to my lonely thread.

So, you're suggesting it's better just to lay the extra juice on the moneyline than take the spread? Like I said, rookie wanting and willing to learn the how's and why's.

teazeman · Jun 9, 2006

my point is it's difficult enough right now to pick winners, much less two run winners with the bullpen performances so far this year. i rarely if ever, well 1 or 2 per week even play parlay's and when i do i like to do so with a couple of live dogs.

example: couple of nights ago had washington + 90 and kc + 75 or 80, well kc blows up in the top of the 9nth but the extra money i picked up on washington made this almost a Bonus Play. had i won it would have been about a 15 unit swing my way and i only risked a couple of units. there are some good dog players in here and you need to resist the temptation to lay on the favs all the time as it will lead to loss of bankroll.

-Newman- · Jun 9, 2006

I understand completely and know that I'm riding the same picks a little too much today, but feel good. Big Win or Big Loss today.

So, in a way, the few parlays a person takes should either stay away from previous picked games or sometimes "fade" your own picks, virtually making it a free pick or a big swing ( good equity ).

Thanks again for your advice.

teazeman · Jun 9, 2006

what's the minimum you can play for at your book?

-Newman- · Jun 9, 2006

I reread your previous Washington +90, KC +80 post ... I was under the assumption that Washington was playing KC that day on a quick glance and you had Washington, but KC in a parlay; hence, the KC blew the lead but the money I picked up on Washington made it a Bonus Play. I'm sorry the quick misunderstanding, didn't thoroughly read the post and realize it was just two live dog plays.

teazeman said:
what's the minimum you can play for at your book?

Now I may be misunderstanding that comment, but that seems like a good insult towards me. Sorry I'm not an expert yet.

teazeman · Jun 9, 2006

-Newman- said:
Now I may be misunderstanding that comment, but that seems like a good insult towards me. Sorry I'm not an expert yet.

Sorry i stepped out to go to lunch, not meant to be an insult in any way! I was just thinking if you want to "handicapp" bet the next 100 plays you make for the minimum, until you get your feet wet. My point being you will eliminate bankroll balance pressure from the equation. I often see people abandon their strategy because their balance goes down, handicapp the play without being concerned that you hit a slump, bottom out the account, hit a hot streak and don't have any money to play on. baseball truly is a grind, a long grind indeed.

-Newman- · Jun 10, 2006

June 9, 2006 MLB Results

Year To Date : 4-16-1 (-15.4 Units)

Straight : 2-3 (-1 Units)
Over / Under : 1-7 (-9.75 Units)
Parlay : 0-5 (-4.5 Units)
Team Total : 1-1-1 (-.15 Units)

*****************************

Versus Money Line : 2-0 (+4.0 Units)
Versus Spread : 0-3 (-5.0 Units)

.5 Unit Plays : 1-1 (+0.0 Units)
1 Unit Plays : 1-11 (-10.60 Units)
2 Unit Plays : 2-4-1 (-4.80 Units)

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June 9, 2006 MLB Results : 2-5 (-4.65 Units)
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Seattle @ Los Angeles Angels
Game Total Over 8.5 ... 2.5 Units / -125 (LOSER)

Chicago @ Cincinnati
Cincinnati : Game -1.5 ... 2 Unit / +125 (LOSER)
Game Total Over 10 ... .5 Unit / +100 (WINNER)

St. Louis @ Milwaukee
St. Louis ML ... 2.8 Unit / -140 (WINNER)
Game Total Under 10 ... 1.15 Unit / -115 (LOSER)

Parlays

Cincinnati : Game -1.5
St. Louis : Game -1.5
1 Unit / +373 (LOSER)

Seattle / Los Angeles : Over 8.5
Cincinnati ML
St. Louis ML
.5 Unit / +408 (LOSER)

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Well, all I know is I'm losing. It's way too early to tell what/when/how I'm doing wrong.

My 1 unit plays are netting -.88 Units / play .... my 2 unit plays are netting -.69 Units / play. Add that to the other stats and so far it looks like I should ... do same research ... only play my "2 unit" picks, but for only 1 unit ... play moneylines ... stay away from point spreads, parlays, and over/unders.

See what I come up with for tomorrow and good luck to everyone ahead of time.

-Newman- · Jun 12, 2006

June 12, 2006 MLB Picks

Year To Date : 4-16-1 (-15.4 Units)

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Good Morning All ! Just Woke Up From A Long Weekend ... Getting Ready To See If There Are Any Good Games Out There. Going To Try To Stick To My "Proposed" System And At Least Just Stay Away From Betting Those Damn -1.5 Spreads. Will Just Post Y-T-D Records With My Picks And List The Statistical Breakdown With The Results. Good Luck To All With Today's Picks !

Also, Don't Feel Like Listing My Statistical Breakdown Of My Picks Today ( Not Like Anyone Looks Anyways ) ... Like I Said, Long Weekend !

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Chicago @ Texas
Chicago ML ... 1.33 Unit / -133
Game Total Under 10 ... 1.15 Unit / -115

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Tampa Bay @ Detroit
Detroit : Team Total Over 4.5 ... 2.10 Unit / -105
Detroit ML ... 1.45 Unit / -145
Game Total Over 8.5 ... 2.10 Unit / -105

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Milwaukee @ Cincinnati
Game Total Under 10 ... .55 Unit / -110
Milwaukee ML ... 1 Unit / +170

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Colorado @ Washington
Game Total Over 8.5 ... 1 Unit / +100

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Kansas City @ Los Angeles
Game Total Under 9 ... 1.2 Unit / -120