*College World Series, OMAHA - Friday*

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UF. Champion U.
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6* Georgia Tech/Clemson under 14.5 -108
1* Georgia Tech +160

RHP Sean Clark of Clemson takes on LHP Lee Hyde of Tech.

Books must have looked it the past history of scores between these two teams to set this line. 16-11 final in one of them (was a 6-5 game going into the 9th), etc. I loved the line movement here, and the play has increased to a 6* because of it. Even for college baseball 14.5 is a lot of runs.

Two high scoring offenses? Yep. No dominant starters? Yep. No doubt about it.

But this is Omaha. These two teams are playing game 1 of the whole thing. And Clemson might have made the move of the tournament by going to hot hand and curveball specialist Sean Clark to slow down these Georgia Tech bats. Clemson doesn't have any good left-handed pitching. I love Jack Leggett of Clemson's move to use Georgia Tech's aggressiveness and anxiousness against them by starting a guy that they have NEVER seen before, instead of starting a starter that they have seen 2 or 3 times this year. So, they are going to "curveball" these aggressive Georgia Tech bats to death if you will. Clark is 86-88 and will throw a very good breaking ball for strikes. He doesnt walk many people. Kid has only thrown 30 innings on the year, and 80% of them have been in the post-season where he has been the hottest and best Clemson pitcher because he throws that breaking ball for strikes at anytime in the count and his fastball is just fast enough (86-88) for the college level to keep them honest. Went 8 IP and started the ACC championship game and shut down NC State. Pitched in the regional and went 8 innings again, 3 hits, 0 runs and shut down UNC Ashville, and went 3.2 IP in relief, 1 run, vs. the red-hot Oral Roberts bats. All important post-season innings.

Georgia Tech is one of the most powerful teams in this thing. They have 5 legitimate homerun threats. They swing out of their shoes. Because of that aggressiveness, they also lead Omaha in strikeouts. The best thing to do is slow their bat speed down, take some aggressiveness away from them, and throw them 60% curveballs with the hot hand, especially considering that this Tech lineup is LOADED with left-handed hitters, and Clemson has no good left-handed pitching.

On the flip side, Georgia Tech has Lee Hyde, LHP. This is Georgia Tech's ace 1b. They typically start Wood first and then go to Hyde the next day, but this is another coaching move specifically with the thought of slowing down Clemsons offense. This guy has gotten better and better as the season has progressed, he has shut Clemson down before, and hes coming off another great start. Being a left-hander, Hyde will be at a nice advantage of getting the left on left matchup vs. all of the major bats in that Clemson lineup. Clemson's top two hitters average-wise are lefties, and their main homerun hitter D'Alessio is a lefty. Another .300+ average guy is Storrer, and he is questionable with an ankle sprain. He is another lefty is he decides to play, and he probably wont. That means in his absence DJ Mitchell, freshman, will get the call again, and although he has been steady at the plate for a freshman, he's only batting .296 with 0 homeruns, and doesnt appear to be a big impact player. Those are the key outs in the Clemson lineup, and Tech holds on the left on left matchup in all of them. Clemson is also very aggresive on the base paths, and the combination of the left-handed Hyde plus the outstanding arm of Matt Wieters behind the plate, should force Clemson to staying on 1st, and playing station-to-station.

Finally, when these two teams played each other in post-season, and they had all of their pitcher's at their disposal and ffresh, the final was 3-2 Clemson in the ACC tournament. That game was pitched by Lee Hyde. 8 IP, 7 hits, 2 runs, 2 earned, tough luck loser there.

Also, in this Omaha format, you play today, and you will get at least 1 day off, maybe 2 before you play again. This means you can bring relievers, and even your 3rd starter out of the pen. Clemson coach Jack Leggett has done this before, has said he will do this, and he should have some other pitchers at his disposal to get out of jams, and I think Georgia Tech will do the same.

If you are interested in playing a side, I put a 1* play on Georgia Tech because even though Clemson is probably the better team, Georgia Tech has all of the most basic advantages in baseball on their side in this game. They have a left-handed loaded lineup that produces vs. an inexperienced righty, they have a good left-handed pitcher, experienced starter, vs. the key hitters in the Clemson lineup. Clemson has an injury. The teams are fairly evenly matched with an advantage to Clemson. Tech can slow down the Clemson running game in this one, etc. The "value" is with Georgia Tech, but not much.​
 

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Thanks Box for the writeup. I'm on it. Here's wishful thinking for a 1-0 final.
 

UF. Champion U.
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That's definitely wishful thinking.

We're probably looking at a 7-5 final here at worst. GL!
 

You play... to win... the game
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Definitely looking good right now... Jackets up 4-0 going to the bottom of the 7th... we're about on pace for under 14.5... hits...
 

You play... to win... the game
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Yikes, I should've shut my mouth! 4 pitchers, 1 out, and 7 Tiger runs later and we're sweating again....
 

Dr. Is IN
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BOX, You can't cap "wheels falling off" HOPE they can keep this UNDER!!!
 

UF. Champion U.
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People dont believe me when I say teams have a history of choking. Talk about this latest choke job by Tech, a complete and total collapse.

The only good news about this, if there is any good news, is that Clemson is the home team and they have a decent closer.

So, if we can stay under and head to the top of the inning, we just need 3 outs with a decent Clemson closer.

This is seriously ridiculous though
 

You play... to win... the game
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Hey hey, another out.... that's 2 outs and 8 runs...
 

You play... to win... the game
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Mazel tov.... 8 runs later.... Just go 1-2-3 in the 9th GT... you don't deserve any more runs.
 

You play... to win... the game
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Thank you for not making this more interesting than it had to be Moskos... unlike your LAST outing....

It wasn't pretty and wasn't what it could and perhaps should have been, but I'll take the 5 units, smile, and say thanks Box.
 

Nothing Can Stop What is Coming!!!
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phew....... Thanks!!
 

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Is anyone watching it? I just don't get why you pull the starter when he is going so well, especially when that pen is that bad.
Great call on the under, should have been an easy winner.
 

UF. Champion U.
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Should have been easy sailing, and they tried to make us sweat it out at the end, and even with the 8 run inning we get it anyway.

Another big 6* win, and the harmless stab at ech wholed all game 4-0, until their latest infamous choke job.

We have our other play pending tonight, which is the under in Fullerton/NC. That game starts at 7pm.
 

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Interesting question to be honest. I hit it at 11 when it came out, right after that it went to 10, i hit it again, then i posted on the forum to take it, 20 mins later it got as low as 7.5, and then everyone middled, and it went to 9.5, and now it's at 9 I believe.

To put it another way:

6* under 11
5* under 10
3* under 9.5
2* under 9

I wouldn't go any lower than 9 unless you just want action, both of these bullpens are average but not nearly as bad as the garbage Tech threw out there. Very small play at 9, you kind of missed the boat by now. :103631605
 

I am sorry for using the "R" word - and NOTHING EL
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as for fullerton/UNC this will be the lowest scoring game in omaha - not even close

fullerton wins something like 4-1/4-2

Miller of UNC is getting all the "love" but by game's end EVERYONE will be raving how Fullerton's Wes Roemer out pitched Miller
 

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Andrew Miller is on a level on his own, Wink. Max Scherzer cant hold Miller's jock. Miller is consistently mid 90's, Scherzer is thee on a good day. Miller's angle that the ball comes in at, and his slider are plus plus pitches.

Miller's problem is getting rattled/wildness. If he is on, and has his A-game on, these Fullerton hitters will not hit him. This is considered a down yer for Fullerton hitting.

On the flip side, nobody is giving UNCs offense any credit. They have put up double digit offensive numbers in 4 of 5 post-season games, and the the only they didnt they put 8 runs up. This team can score, they can hit, they can steal bases. They put 11 runs on the board AT that tough Alabama environment, with Wade LeBlanc on the mound who is as tough as they come and talented as they come, like Roemer. IMO, LeBlanc is also on a different level than Scherzer because Scherzer doesnt have the mental toughness of Leblanc, sortof like how Miller doesnt have the mental toughness of Roemer. UNC clearly has the offensive advantage in this game. However, Cal holds every intangible advantage aswell as defensive, clutch, experienced, etc.

Now, as I said, Fullerton is much more clutch, they still have some guys from the NC team 2 years ago. They are solid as they come up the mddle defensively. They have a pitcher with ice in his veins going tonight. And I believe they will bunt, sacfrice, slash, hit and run and do any type of scrappy offensive manuever to get to Miller. And I am laying off UNC at +200ish even with Miller on the mound. UNC will make a critical error in this game and put themselves in a bad jam. For as good as their shortstop is at the plate (batting over .400) h'es made over 20 errors this year. Others on defense are less than stellar.

UNC has never been here in this spot before, and they have the biggest headcases on that team, and although even UNC +1.5 +105 looks tempting with Miller on the mund and that UNC offense, I'll lay off that, too.

Just want to watch a good low-scoring college game. And we should get it.
 

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