three tonight with analysis

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L.A. Angels +1.05 over SAN FRANCISCO (Pinnacle)

Not much research needs to be done to choose the Angels over the Giants. It’s practically a no-brainer because the Giants virtually have no shot against quality pitching. In fact, the only wins the Giants have over their last nine games came against the reeling D-Backs twice. They dropped two of three to Pitt and were swept by Seattle over the weekend and in their last seven losses they’ve managed to score a meager 14 runs. San Fran was outscored 18-6 by Seattle and to make matters worse, Moises Alou is back on the shelf. Last year at this time Barry Bonds was mean, feisty, strong, combatant and full of energy and this year he has the strength of Matlock. Bonds struck out three times yesterday and is now hitting .250. Omar Vizquel is the only regular in the line-up hitting over .280; the rest are around the .250-mark or lower. The Giants will face a quality starter in Kelvim Escobar. Escoabar is 5-7 but that record is one of the leagues’s most misleading, as Escobar comes in with an ERA of 3.62 and an ERA on the road of 2.78. His ERA over his last three starts is 2.61 and the man has pitched well enough to have eight or nine wins. AL vs NL gets the call again and all you need to know about the Giants here is that Jason Schmidt is not starting. Play: Los Angeles Angels +1.05. <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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Washington +1.19 over BOSTON (Pinnacle)

Kyle Snyder will make his second start in a Red Sox uniform after being drilled in his first to the tune of 10 hits and nine earned runs in two innings of work against the Rangers. This is the same Kyle Snyder that spent this year in the Royals minor league system and was subsequently put on waivers by the Royals. That’s akin to being cut from the Duke University lacrosse team. In 2005 with the Royals the opposition hit .353 against him in 13 starts and in is first start the Rangers hit .556 off him. Meanwhile, the Nationals will send Tony Armas Jr to the hill and although he’s been a little off recently he still comes in with impressive numbers. Armas is 5-2 on the road with a 2.55 ERA and has proven to be a quality starter ever since he broke into the league six years ago. Nationals have been streaky as hell all year and when this group is warming up like they are now, they’re tough as shoe leather to beat. Bottom line here is that any pitcher cast-off by the Royals is not worthy of being a favorite, not even in the minors. Play: Washington +1.19 (Risking 1.5 units). <o:p></o:p>
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Detroit –1 +1.01 over MILWAUKEE (Pinnacle)<o:p></o:p>
The Tigers are ripping apart everyone and we don’t see much changing here, not with Jeremy Bonderman going and not against this group of human windmills. Bonderman has struck out 82 in 92 frames and that bodes well here against the Brewers, who have collectively struck out 505 times. In addition, the Tigers are 15-5 on the road against southpaws to go along with the major’s best overall road record and will face a lefty here in Doug Davis. Davis has pitched well, make no mistake about that but he’s also been inconsistent with an ERA of 5.07. Yeah, the Brewers are warm with five wins in their past six games but that came against two struggling teams with horrible pitching, Cleveland and Cinci and the same fate does not await them here. Play: Detroit –1 +1.01 (Risking 1.5 units).
 

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