Hockey Experts - What Is The Play Tonight? Side/Total? Why?

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As many of you know, I don't bet hockey but might just watch Game 7 tonight if I have some financial interest in the game. So, what is the play tonight? Side/Total? Why? Share your thoughts.
 

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Think the edge goes VERY VERY VERY slightly towards the CANES side winning the game, mainly because of the home ice..............therefore I believe taking +150 or better with the OILERS presents some decent value considering all the momentum they have by winning the previous two games.

Doug Weight will play tonight for the Canes, but how effective will he trully be?

Say a few prayers and pull the trigger and ride the momemtum from the guys from Canada.

:toast:
 

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I am sure stats back up the home team in Game 7. That being said--this game is a toss up. Carolina will hurt for a longtime if they blow this--and they must be thinking that. Edmonton + seems to be the value. I bought Edm +525 to win the series after Game 2--but I am just going to let it ride and enjoy.
 

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Edmonton has been grossly overvalued, at one point +160 was available on edmonton which, win or lose, was an absolute gift & deserved GOY type action at those prices....

There are two wild cards which may hurt edmonton

1) goaltending- still never know if Jussi will have a poor game or let in a poor goal at any time, on the flip side, C Ward has been remarkable, and could possibly Steal the game for Carolina.

2) penalties- Carolina is deadly on the power play, they dive like soccer players, & edmonton who has been out hitting Carolina at a 2-1 ration may get burnt on the calls.

Other than these two reasons EDMONTON has every single advantage..... Most important of which are the ability to roll 4 attacking & relentless lines, hunger, determination, strenght, coaching. Anyone who has been watching alot of hockey news on the TV can see this, im telling you, it may sound crazy, but you can see the hunger & excitment in the eyes of the oilers.... & there is no flame in the eyes of the canes. They may get a lift from the fans, but that will only last 10 minutes or so, and if they dont score in the first 10 minutes, look out, the cup will be going back to Edmonton.
 

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It means far more for Edmonton to win. They will be the toast of the town, the Province and the Country whereas interest in the Canes is more limited. While intangible this gives Edmonton a big motivation.

On the ice there is little to choose between the teams but the miraculous Edmonton comeback has to inspire Edmonton and depress the Canes. If Edmonton scores first I think it is all over. If Carolina scores first Edmonton will merely dig down again to come back. I think this gives Edmonton a small edge and their price at around +150 a huge overlay.
 

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Carolina dives? Nobody dives as much as Buffalo does, SS.

This is a toss-up game and the line should be a pick 'em. I am going to play Edmonton -1.5 - it should end up near +275 or +300
 

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based on value alone i think edmonton definitly warrants a play. No way you should lay that price with the canes as edmonton has all the momentum right now. As for the total both teams will be playing their hearts out in what i believe is really the sport that the players use the most heart and really care, therefore i have a opinion on the over 5.5 as i look for a very fastpaced game with atleast 5 goals maybe a 6th or more.

my predicted outcome edmonton either wins 3-2,4-2 or 4-3!

goodluck to all and i truly hope everyone watches this game because this is a real sport and these players do care.
 

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I can't believe it's gonna take this long to cash my Canes series ticket.

:smoking:
 

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Not an expert,
But believe here Carolina is the better team and the home ice advantage will be the difference.
 

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I think the Hillbillies are the better, more talented team and deserve to have something of a price attached to them, but not sure -162 or higher offers any value. If there is a late move down I might bite, but probably best to just enjoy it. If you really need action you'll never go broke betting 7th games in any sport under.
 

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cincy_ said:
Carolina dives? Nobody dives as much as Buffalo does, SS.

This is a toss-up game and the line should be a pick 'em. I am going to play Edmonton -1.5 - it should end up near +275 or +300

its +300 at 5dimes, but it ws +330 yesterday.....
 

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I'm taking Edmonton the price is right and I think they'll win anyway but it will be only the second time a team has come from 3 down to win
 

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I saw on covers someone posted a link for the ref in this game, he is a huge homer ref. Not sure how much it matters in hockey but the guy won 2x money for home teams then any other ref in the league. Not sure who wins this one but I am looking forward to it and will probably place a small wager at gametime!
 

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I got this from poster charliej at another forum

For those of you who utilize history as a handicapping variable, there is a strong bias to Carolina and the "under"in tonight's contest. There have been 13 "game 7's" in the NHL's finals since 1939. The home team has won 11 of those matchups. In only one of these 13 games,has there been more than 5 goals scored (Detroit's 4-3 win in 1950). With that said,I am still passing on tonight's game. I believe that Edmonton has the momentum and recent confidence to overcome the home ice disadvantage. Predictably, the linesmaker has made it expensive to back the Hurricanes tonight. If the NHL follows the same referee rotation,we should see Mike McGeough ("Mr Magoo") on the ice tonight. He has a history of calling playoff games tightly. We could see numerous penalties called even though this game is for the Stanley Cup.This could lead to more scoring than previous final games. This season's "New NHL" style of play may make previous season's style of play and officiating a moot point. I will simply watch the game with no financial interest in the contest.
Good luck to those who make a play.
Charliej


:modemman:
 

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this came from poster hanniball23 at a european forum

Carolina Hurricanes - Edmonton Oilers
pick Edmonton

For the third consecutive season, the Stanley Cup Finals will have a Game 7.
Jussi Markkanen made 16 saves to record his first career playoff shutout, and the Edmonton Oilers scored three times on the power play to force a seventh game in the Stanley Cup Finals with a 4-0 win over the Carolina Hurricanes .

The 1942 Toronto Maple Leafs were the only team to come back from a 3-1 series deficit to win the Stanley Cup. They were actually behind 3-0 before beating Detroit. Vancouver (1994 against NY Rangers) and Philadelphia (1987 against Edmonton) rallied from 3-1 deficits, but both of those clubs dropped Game 7 on the road.
Game Notes

-Carolina has lost consecutive games in the playoffs for the first time since losing to Montreal in its first two games of the opening series...
Markkanen has stopped 100 of the 111 shots he has faced in the series...
-Carolina left wing Cory Stillman had his 13-game points-streak snapped.....
-Cam Ward allowed more than three goals for only the fifth time in 20 playoff starts...
-Pisani leads all playoff scorers with 13 goals...
-Carolina finished 0-for-6 on the power play.
"We were pretty lousy in all aspects," said Carolina coach Peter Laviolette. "We didn't have energy in our legs, in our skating, all the things that have been trademark for us all season long."
If not for several big saves by Ward -- including an extraordinary glove stop on Radek Dvorek at the end of a three-on-one -- the Hurricanes would have been beaten much, much worse. In the second period, they didn't get a puck to Oilers goalie Jussi Markkanen for more than 14 minutes. Edmonton had 21 of the first 24 shots and finished with a commanding 34-16 edge.

"We have not followed too many rules in this postseason," Oilers center Shawn Horcoff said , on the eve of the biggest game of his life. "I know we've been the underdog in most people's minds. But we really believe we can get this thing done."
Edmonton is one win away from pulling off one of the most remarkable surprises in playoff history.
Edmonton upset three higher-ranked teams in the Western Conference to become the first No. 8 seed to reach the Stanley Cup finals under the current playoff format.
Just as the Oilers fed off the enthusiasm of their fans in Alberta, Carolina is counting on its crowd to be a major factor in the last game of the season.
Now, it's winner take all -- and the resurgent Oilers seem much fresher, much quicker, much more determined.

Edmonton, which converted only one of 25 power plays in the first two games, scored three of its four goals in the last game with the man advantage.
THe PP wil be decesive and it seems that Edmonton fixed this problem i will go with them this game.
In my opinion they deserve to win the Trophy.
THey will be determined and they came after they were 3-1 in the final.
I expect a great game for Edmonton, who is playing excelent those days.
The big presure is on Carolina.
For me Edmonton 5/10
3,05@expekt
icon_surprised.gif
icon_biggrin.gif

GL!
 

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I noticed that Carolina hasn't scored a goal since the second period of Game 5 which includes the overtime. Can anyone share their thoughts as to why this might be? Also notice the total at Over 4.5 (-165). So far we have opposite thoughts on the total in this thread plus the juice seems pretty steep on the total.
 

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ted, you are looking at the REGULATION TIME ONLY total, look at the COMPLETE GAME total, it is 5.5, shaded to the under
 

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Great Great Prop Bet For Carolina Backers

Edmonton vs Carolina (Game 7)
Edmonton Oilers vs Carolina Hurricanes (Game 7)
Total Shots on goal - Carolina Hurricanes
Over 26.5 shots



Great chance here to take edmonton & Hedge with this bet, Pinnacle oddsmakers are predicting that edmonton will get more shots than carolina... Carolina will come on strong & clearly needs more than 26.5 shots if they plan to win, also, great chance at OVERTIME which would almost guarantee the over.....

I need edmonton to win bad but I will take a shot at this prop......
 

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