3-3, +4.0 - Streak: L2
5* = 2-0
4* = 0-0
3* = 1-1
2* = 1-0
1* = 0-0
Two straight losing days, two straight Yankees plays. Blown 9th innings, stranded baserunners, passed balls, they aren't playing good baseball right now. (Thanks, Captain Obvious). Looking to get back on the winning track today. I actually have a few plays that I like today, in the "pick" of the Day thread. Go figure. I'll write-up any other selections but let me get this Dodgers one out there first.
5* Los Angeles Dodgers -1 -125
Dodgers are 6-5 in series' home openers this year (2-2 when coming back from a road trip), while Seattle is 2-9 in road series openers this year (1-4 on the 1st game of a road trip).
Seattle hasn't been able to sustain any momentum this year and go off on any winning streaks. Their longest winning streaks of the year are 4, 3 and 3 games. Seattle comes into this game off a 3-game home sweep of the Giants, now must go on the road with my favorite fade Joel Piniero, and win a road series opener against the red-hot Brad Penny. Furthermore, they must beat a Dodgers team that had the day off yesterday, and the Dodgers are 5-2 this year off a day of rest, both of those loses coming on the road. Dodgers are 3-0 this year coming off a day of rest, and then playing at home.
Seattle also had a day off yesterday. But Seattle is 1-4 this year off day's of rest, with the lone win coming at home. They have yet to win a game this year in which they have an off-day, and then go on the road 0-4 in those games.
Joel Piniero will get the call for Seattle, and he's on thin ice, as they are looking to get this guy out of the rotation and into the bullpen. I love fading poor pitchers, but more importantly, I love fading poor pitchers that are ice cold on top of it. Piniero sports a 5.42 ERA overall, a 5.40 ERA on the road, and a 6.61ERA in June. Opponents are batting .301 against Piniero on the year. Only 9 strikeouts in 35 IP on the road and 11 walks, for a great strikeout to walk ratio. Not. He's given up at least 5 runs in 6 of his past 10 starts, and gave up 7 runs in his past 2 starts.
Brad Penny gets the call for the Dodgers and he is having a great season thus far. More importantly, he's been pitching well lately. He's also 5-1 in which he pitches in games after the Dodgers lose. So, he has been bouncing this team back from defeat all year. He also improves his wins, losses and ERA when he has a 5th day of rest as opposed to 4 days of rest. Penny (7-1, 2.49 ERA), is putting together true ace numbers this year. 2-0, 1.33 ERA in June, he's been pitching very well of late, alternating shutouts nearly every other game. The problem with Penny is he is max effort, and he lasts 6 innings usually, and he has to turn it over to the Dodger bullpen, which has not let him down this year. Dodgers average margin of victory when Penny wins is 3+ runs and at home when he wins is 4+ runs.
Finally, you have dodger team that just plays real well at home. 19-14 at home, compared to the Mariners poor 14-19 away record.
5* = 2-0
4* = 0-0
3* = 1-1
2* = 1-0
1* = 0-0
Two straight losing days, two straight Yankees plays. Blown 9th innings, stranded baserunners, passed balls, they aren't playing good baseball right now. (Thanks, Captain Obvious). Looking to get back on the winning track today. I actually have a few plays that I like today, in the "pick" of the Day thread. Go figure. I'll write-up any other selections but let me get this Dodgers one out there first.
5* Los Angeles Dodgers -1 -125
Dodgers are 6-5 in series' home openers this year (2-2 when coming back from a road trip), while Seattle is 2-9 in road series openers this year (1-4 on the 1st game of a road trip).
Seattle hasn't been able to sustain any momentum this year and go off on any winning streaks. Their longest winning streaks of the year are 4, 3 and 3 games. Seattle comes into this game off a 3-game home sweep of the Giants, now must go on the road with my favorite fade Joel Piniero, and win a road series opener against the red-hot Brad Penny. Furthermore, they must beat a Dodgers team that had the day off yesterday, and the Dodgers are 5-2 this year off a day of rest, both of those loses coming on the road. Dodgers are 3-0 this year coming off a day of rest, and then playing at home.
Seattle also had a day off yesterday. But Seattle is 1-4 this year off day's of rest, with the lone win coming at home. They have yet to win a game this year in which they have an off-day, and then go on the road 0-4 in those games.
Joel Piniero will get the call for Seattle, and he's on thin ice, as they are looking to get this guy out of the rotation and into the bullpen. I love fading poor pitchers, but more importantly, I love fading poor pitchers that are ice cold on top of it. Piniero sports a 5.42 ERA overall, a 5.40 ERA on the road, and a 6.61ERA in June. Opponents are batting .301 against Piniero on the year. Only 9 strikeouts in 35 IP on the road and 11 walks, for a great strikeout to walk ratio. Not. He's given up at least 5 runs in 6 of his past 10 starts, and gave up 7 runs in his past 2 starts.
Brad Penny gets the call for the Dodgers and he is having a great season thus far. More importantly, he's been pitching well lately. He's also 5-1 in which he pitches in games after the Dodgers lose. So, he has been bouncing this team back from defeat all year. He also improves his wins, losses and ERA when he has a 5th day of rest as opposed to 4 days of rest. Penny (7-1, 2.49 ERA), is putting together true ace numbers this year. 2-0, 1.33 ERA in June, he's been pitching very well of late, alternating shutouts nearly every other game. The problem with Penny is he is max effort, and he lasts 6 innings usually, and he has to turn it over to the Dodger bullpen, which has not let him down this year. Dodgers average margin of victory when Penny wins is 3+ runs and at home when he wins is 4+ runs.
Finally, you have dodger team that just plays real well at home. 19-14 at home, compared to the Mariners poor 14-19 away record.
