I would think this goes to -160 by gametime with all the US $ and the "Ghana misperception" of being an inferior country/team. FWIW, I also lean to Ghana or draw here. However, I am thinking of hitting this for a later scalp.
US will be going all out for the win as a draw does them no good. Game could really open up in the 2nd half. I played US -0.5 +200 as soon as it came out. I don't see how the US public doesnt bet heavily on the US
Don't see there being enough interest from the US to move the line personally believe the asian money will determine the line which Pinny, Mansion etc. will follow.
Some of the smaller books with alot of square bettors may have the effect you anticipate.
Won't attract any significant attention. If it was a semifinal or final it might, but early round games even with all the media on it won't get many people to wager on it.