Nice ++8 unit win yesterday. I am making one change from now on. Plays will be based on a 1-3 unit basis rather than the old 1-5 unit basis. I might occassionly have a 4 or 5 unit play, but very rarely!!
1. Houston wayyyyyyyyyyy under 7.5 runs 3 units -103
Nothing much needs to be said about this one! It should be pretty obvious! But let me assure you anyway with some data. On the hill for Minnesota is their hottest pitcher right now in Liriano. Liriano is 6-1 for the season with a 2.16 era. He has an amazing 1.45 era in his last 5 starts. In all starts this year he has looked good. He has pitched 3 games and not given up a single run, earned or unearned, in those 3 games. His other 3 starts, saw him give up 2,3 and 1 runs. He has only given up 1 homerun all season. He is averaging around 1 strikeout per inning. That is a good number to help him get out of any bases loaded jams!
Now everyone knows what Clemens was like last year. I expect the Astros to be a little nervous with him on the hill and could affect their hitting in this one.
How about a few good trends just for good measure. Note that these trends do not EVEN COUNT last nights under total, so most of these trends would actually be 1 game better to the under.
<LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Twins last 3 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Twins last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Twins last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Twins last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Twins last 6 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 Thursday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-1 in Twins last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 16-5-0 in Twins last 21 games as a road favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3-1 in Twins last 13 games following a loss. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Twins last 8 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Twins last 12 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-1 in Twins last 19 road games. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-1 in Twins last 19 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-1 in Liriano's last 6 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Liriano's last 3 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Liriano's last 4 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 road starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Liriano's last 3 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Liriano's last 3 starts as a road favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Liriano's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Astros last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Astros last 6 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Astros last 5 games as a home underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Astros last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Astros last 8 interleague home games. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Astros last 8 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 18-7-1 in Astros last 26 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Astros last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Astros last 14 Thursday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Clemens' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Clemens' last 8 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Clemens' last 7 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Clemens' last 5 Thursday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Clemens' last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Clemens' last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Clemens' last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Clemens' last 14 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Clemens' last 10 starts as an underdog.
Well that is all that needs to be said, easy money again!!!
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2. Tampa bay -1.5 runs and ++ 1.21 2 units with Gonzalez conditional
Wow this line is a shocker if you ask me!! Tampa Bay has their "ACE" on the mound in Kazmir. Kazmir 8-4 for the season with a 3.39 era. The teams record is actually 10-5 with him on the hill. The Rays are on a nice winning run right now, do those words belong in the same sentence?? Ok maybe not a great winning run, but they have won 4 out of 5 games including 2 on the road in Philly! That is reason to party in Tampa right there!!
But the main reason to take this pick is because Gonzalez on the hill for Arizona. First of all, he is NOT a rookie! But that is good news in my opinion judging by how he pitched last year! In one start last year he was ROCKED for 10 earned runs in just one inning of "work." In 4 other starts, he gave up at least 6 earned runs!! This guy gave up 3 homeruns in three consecutive starts last year with each start lasting 4 complete innings. This guy couldnt beat a COLLEGE baseball team!!
The play is on Tampa on the runline. Hell, take them at the -2.5 runline if your book offers it!!
<LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 3-13 in their last 16 overall. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 interleague road games. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-3 in their last 3 day games following a night game on the previous day. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite of +151 to +200. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-10 in Gonzalez's last 10 starts as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-10 in Gonzalez's last 10 starts. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Gonzalez's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-6 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Gonzalez's last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-6 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Gonzalez's last 7 road starts. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Gonzalez's last 4 day starts. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Gonzalez's last 7 starts as a road underdog.<LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-0 in Kazmir's last 4 day starts. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 6-1 in Kazmir's last 7 starts on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 5-1 in Kazmir's last 6 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in Kazmir's last 5 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in Kazmir's last 5 Thursday starts.<LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games following a loss. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 12-0 in their last 12 vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
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3. Kansas City +113 1 unit
WOW!! The wrong team is favored in this one!! I cant get myself to bet alot of money on KC, but I have to throw down some cash on this one.
First of all, I hate the pitcher for KC, Scott Elarton. But he did pitch very well against his old club the Astros in his last start. He actually had a no hitter going through 5 innings or so and left the game after 6 complete with only giving up 2 earned runs. He only gave up 4 hits in that game and NO WALKS!! He has given his team a chance to win in every start this year by never giving up more than 5 runs. Not great numbers, but good enough against the weak Pirates!
Kansas City has been as hot as a KC team will ever get! They have won 3 in a row and 4 out of 5. If they get any hotter, then they might make their local newspaper for the first time!! Well it happens tonight against the PIROOTS! Pitt has only lost 7 games in a row mind you! 6 of those games were at home as well!!
Not too many good trends on this game, but here go a few of them:
<LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.<LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 3-13 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 games on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 overall. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-3 in their last 3 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Pirates are 2-5 in Maholm's last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-4 in Maholm's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-4 in Maholm's last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-5 in Maholm's last 6 road starts. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-8 in Maholm's last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-10 in Maholm's last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-3 in Maholm's last 3 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-3 in Maholm's last 3 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
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4. Toronto -132 3 units
This game marks the return of AJ Burnett to the hill for Toronto after being MIA for 61 days! It used to be tough to EVER bet against him in the past, but this pick is more about Atlanta than Toronto.
Atlanta has looked HORRID of late, dropping their last 9 games!! But it gets MUCH worse than that!! Atlanta has lost 19 out of their last 22 games!! They have no solid closer out of the pen! But then again, who would know if they even had one lately!! I just have to go against the Braves here even if my brother was starting for Toronto. Watch out though, because everyone in the world will be on TORONTO in this spot! As if you need them, but here are some trends:
<LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 2-12 in their last 14 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-10 in their last 11 home games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague night games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 Thursday games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 games as a home underdog. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.<LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-4 in Ramirez's last 5 home starts. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-5 in Ramirez's last 6 starts as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-5 in Ramirez's last 6 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-5 in Ramirez's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-5 in Ramirez's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-6 in Ramirez's last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
1. Houston wayyyyyyyyyyy under 7.5 runs 3 units -103
Nothing much needs to be said about this one! It should be pretty obvious! But let me assure you anyway with some data. On the hill for Minnesota is their hottest pitcher right now in Liriano. Liriano is 6-1 for the season with a 2.16 era. He has an amazing 1.45 era in his last 5 starts. In all starts this year he has looked good. He has pitched 3 games and not given up a single run, earned or unearned, in those 3 games. His other 3 starts, saw him give up 2,3 and 1 runs. He has only given up 1 homerun all season. He is averaging around 1 strikeout per inning. That is a good number to help him get out of any bases loaded jams!
Now everyone knows what Clemens was like last year. I expect the Astros to be a little nervous with him on the hill and could affect their hitting in this one.
How about a few good trends just for good measure. Note that these trends do not EVEN COUNT last nights under total, so most of these trends would actually be 1 game better to the under.
<LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Twins last 3 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Twins last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Twins last 7 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Twins last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Twins last 6 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 Thursday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-1 in Twins last 10 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 16-5-0 in Twins last 21 games as a road favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3-1 in Twins last 13 games following a loss. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Twins last 8 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Twins last 12 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-1 in Twins last 19 road games. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-1 in Twins last 19 on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-1 in Twins last 11 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-1 in Liriano's last 6 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Liriano's last 3 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 starts on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Liriano's last 4 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Liriano's last 5 road starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Liriano's last 3 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Liriano's last 3 starts as a road favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Liriano's last 4 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance.<LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Astros last 4 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Astros last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Astros last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Astros last 6 games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Astros last 6 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Astros last 5 games as a home underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Astros last 5 interleague home games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Astros last 8 interleague home games. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Astros last 8 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 18-7-1 in Astros last 26 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Astros last 7 home games vs. a team with a road winning % of less than .400. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Astros last 14 Thursday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Clemens' last 4 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Clemens' last 8 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Clemens' last 7 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Clemens' last 5 Thursday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Clemens' last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Clemens' last 11 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-0 in Clemens' last 11 home starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Clemens' last 14 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Clemens' last 10 starts as an underdog.
Well that is all that needs to be said, easy money again!!!
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2. Tampa bay -1.5 runs and ++ 1.21 2 units with Gonzalez conditional
Wow this line is a shocker if you ask me!! Tampa Bay has their "ACE" on the mound in Kazmir. Kazmir 8-4 for the season with a 3.39 era. The teams record is actually 10-5 with him on the hill. The Rays are on a nice winning run right now, do those words belong in the same sentence?? Ok maybe not a great winning run, but they have won 4 out of 5 games including 2 on the road in Philly! That is reason to party in Tampa right there!!
But the main reason to take this pick is because Gonzalez on the hill for Arizona. First of all, he is NOT a rookie! But that is good news in my opinion judging by how he pitched last year! In one start last year he was ROCKED for 10 earned runs in just one inning of "work." In 4 other starts, he gave up at least 6 earned runs!! This guy gave up 3 homeruns in three consecutive starts last year with each start lasting 4 complete innings. This guy couldnt beat a COLLEGE baseball team!!
The play is on Tampa on the runline. Hell, take them at the -2.5 runline if your book offers it!!
<LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a road underdog. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-4 in their last 5 road games. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 3-13 in their last 16 overall. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 2-10 in their last 12 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-5 in their last 6 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 2-11 in their last 13 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-8 in their last 9 games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 1-10 in their last 11 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-8 in their last 8 interleague road games. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-3 in their last 3 day games following a night game on the previous day. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games as a favorite of +151 to +200. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-10 in Gonzalez's last 10 starts as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-10 in Gonzalez's last 10 starts. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Gonzalez's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-6 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-5 in Gonzalez's last 5 starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-6 in Gonzalez's last 6 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Gonzalez's last 7 road starts. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-4 in Gonzalez's last 4 day starts. <LI class=morecool>Diamondbacks are 0-7 in Gonzalez's last 7 starts as a road underdog.<LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-0 in Kazmir's last 4 day starts. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 6-1 in Kazmir's last 7 starts on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 5-1 in Kazmir's last 6 home starts. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in Kazmir's last 5 starts as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in Kazmir's last 5 Thursday starts.<LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague home games. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games following a loss. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a home favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 12-0 in their last 12 vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a favorite of -151 to -200. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 9-0 in their last 9 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 3-0 in their last 3 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 7-1 in their last 8 games as a home favorite. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Devil Rays are 4-1 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter
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3. Kansas City +113 1 unit
WOW!! The wrong team is favored in this one!! I cant get myself to bet alot of money on KC, but I have to throw down some cash on this one.
First of all, I hate the pitcher for KC, Scott Elarton. But he did pitch very well against his old club the Astros in his last start. He actually had a no hitter going through 5 innings or so and left the game after 6 complete with only giving up 2 earned runs. He only gave up 4 hits in that game and NO WALKS!! He has given his team a chance to win in every start this year by never giving up more than 5 runs. Not great numbers, but good enough against the weak Pirates!
Kansas City has been as hot as a KC team will ever get! They have won 3 in a row and 4 out of 5. If they get any hotter, then they might make their local newspaper for the first time!! Well it happens tonight against the PIROOTS! Pitt has only lost 7 games in a row mind you! 6 of those games were at home as well!!
Not too many good trends on this game, but here go a few of them:
<LI class=morehot>Royals are 4-0 in their last 4 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Royals are 3-0 in their last 3 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150.<LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-4 in their last 5 road games vs. a team with a home winning % of less than .400. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 3-13 in their last 16 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-5 in their last 6 games as a road favorite. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 games on Grass. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-6 in their last 6 overall. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-3 in their last 3 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 vs. American League Central. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-4 in their last 4 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-5 in their last 5 interleague road games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Pirates are 2-5 in Maholm's last 7 starts after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-4 in Maholm's last 5 road starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-4 in Maholm's last 5 starts during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-5 in Maholm's last 6 road starts. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-8 in Maholm's last 9 starts following a team loss in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 1-10 in Maholm's last 11 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-3 in Maholm's last 3 starts as a favorite of -110 to -150. <LI class=morecool>Pirates are 0-3 in Maholm's last 3 road starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
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4. Toronto -132 3 units
This game marks the return of AJ Burnett to the hill for Toronto after being MIA for 61 days! It used to be tough to EVER bet against him in the past, but this pick is more about Atlanta than Toronto.
Atlanta has looked HORRID of late, dropping their last 9 games!! But it gets MUCH worse than that!! Atlanta has lost 19 out of their last 22 games!! They have no solid closer out of the pen! But then again, who would know if they even had one lately!! I just have to go against the Braves here even if my brother was starting for Toronto. Watch out though, because everyone in the world will be on TORONTO in this spot! As if you need them, but here are some trends:
<LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-4 in their last 5 games as a home underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 games following a loss. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 3-14 in their last 17 games vs. a starter with a WHIP greater than 1.30. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 2-12 in their last 14 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-6 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-10 in their last 11 home games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-10 in their last 11 home games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-5 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 during game 2 of a series. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague night games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 vs. American League East. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 Thursday games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 home games with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 games as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-4 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 games as a home underdog. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-3 in their last 3 after scoring 2 runs or less in their previous game.<LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-4 in Ramirez's last 5 home starts. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-5 in Ramirez's last 6 starts as an underdog. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 1-5 in Ramirez's last 6 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-5 in Ramirez's last 5 starts when their opponent scores 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-5 in Ramirez's last 5 starts vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morecool>Braves are 0-6 in Ramirez's last 6 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game.
