Had my second great day in a row, up well over 9 units after the 8 unit win on Wednesday! Today has produced some REAL nice total plays!! Plays range from 1 to 3 units
1. San Francisco wayyyyy under 7.5 runs -110 3 units
I really like this play among 2 teams that are just not scoring of late. Oaklands last 3 games in Colorado saw them score only 3 runs in one game and get shut out the other 2 games!! When is the last time that Colorado has pitched 2 straight shutouts at home!!
In San Francisco's last 5 games, they have scored 3,3,2,1 and 1 runs. Jason Schmidt is on the hill for SF and he has a era of 2.84 for the year! But in his last 5 starts, he is even better at an era of 2.38. His mound opponent is pitching much better over his last 5 games with a 2.57 era. Blanton for Oakland has pitched 2 shutouts in his last 3 starts. One was a complete game and the other, he went 8 innings. In his last start, he gave up 2 runs in 8 complete innings!
Jason Schmidt was beaten up pretty bad in his last start, but hopefully that was a fluke judging from his earlier starts this year. His 3 previous starts saw him only give up 1 earned run and the start before that he was part of a shutout. Earlier this year he pitched a complete game shuout, so he has the ability to pitch the whole game where we wont have to worry about a bullpen.
How about a few trends:
<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Athletics last 5 interleague games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 interleague road games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 road games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Athletics last 8 Friday games. <LI class=more>Under is 12-4-0 in Athletics last 16 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 39-17-2 in Athletics last 58 vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Blanton's last 5 Friday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Blanton's last 3 starts vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-0-0 in Blanton's last 6 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 12-1-0 in Blanton's last 13 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Blanton's last 7 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Blanton's last 6 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 21-5-1 in Blanton's last 27 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-2-0 in Blanton's last 10 starts as a road underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-0 in Blanton's last 14 starts as an underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-0 in Blanton's last 9 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 20-6-1 in Blanton's last 27 night starts. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Blanton's last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 24-9-1 in Blanton's last 34 starts on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 12-5-0 in Blanton's last 17 road starts. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-1 in Blanton's last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 16-7-1 in Blanton's last 24 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. American League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Giants last 3 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Giants last 3 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague home games. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Giants last 5 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 home games.
This game will end 2-1 or 3-1.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Minnesota under 8 runs -108 3 units
This one will be easy!! You cant get much hotter than Santana has been lately! He is 7-4 for the season with an era of 2.87. He has always been matched up against other staff aces so he has quite a few no decisions. But important to note is that the team is 11-4 in his starts! In his last 3 starts, the team is 3-0 and he has an era of 1.35. In Santana's last 4 starts he has given up 1 earned run in each of those games. In every start but 1 this year he has pitched at least 7 innings. Strangely enough, in that one start, he only pitched 5 innings, but left with only 1 run given up! He has not given up more than 1 walk in each of his last 10 starts and didnt walk anyone in 4 of those. After an EXTREMELY slow first month of the season, he has been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball leading his team to victory in 9 out of 10 starts. His only start to lose in that period saw him give up only 2 runs in a shutout loss to Detroit 2-0.
Marmol is on the mound for Chicago. He is 1-1 for the season with an era of 2.81. In his last start, he was roughed up a bit, giving up 4 earned runs. But his only other start saw him pitch 6 innings of 2 hit ball while giving up 1 run. This one looks easy!! How about a few under trends:
<LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Twins last 3 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Twins last 4 home games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Twins last 4 on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Twins last 3 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Twins last 8 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Twins last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Twins last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Twins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 Friday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-2-0 in Twins last 10 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Twins last 8 games following a win. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Twins last 8 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Twins last 12 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Twins last 7 vs. National League Central. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Twins last 7 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Twins last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Twins last 10 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Under is 10-2-0 in Santana's last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-3-0 in Santana's last 16 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Santana's last 8 starts as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3-0 in Santana's last 12 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-0 in Santana's last 18 night starts. <LI class=more>Under is 18-7-0 in Santana's last 25 starts as a favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Santana's last 14 starts as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Santana's last 14 home starts. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Santana's last 7 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Santana's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-0 in Santana's last 13 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 17-8-0 in Santana's last 25 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.<LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Cubs last 7 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Cubs last 7 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Cubs last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3. Minnesota -1.5 runs -110 2 units
This play would be a 3 unit play, but I am little worried about Minnesota's offense. I really am not looking for Minnesota to score more than 4 runs in this game. But using the data above, you can see why I would LOVE THIS PLAY!! In his last 10 starts, one was a loss and only 2 of the 9 wins were by 1 run. Most games were well over 3 run difference.
<LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 3-0 in their last 3 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 9-1 in their last 10 overall. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 night games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 25-4 in their last 29 games as a favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 26-5 in their last 31 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Twins are 45-18 in their last 63 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Twins are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 96-46 in their last 142 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. <LI class=more>Twins are 60-29 in their last 89 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 20-2 in Santana's last 22 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 16-2 in Santana's last 18 starts as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 26-4 in Santana's last 30 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-1 in Santana's last 7 starts vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 15-3 in Santana's last 18 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 25-5 in Santana's last 30 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 20-4 in Santana's last 24 Friday starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 22-5 in Santana's last 27 starts on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 46-11 in Santana's last 57 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 49-13 in Santana's last 62 starts as a favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 41-11 in Santana's last 52 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Twins are 46-13 in Santana's last 59 starts as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 50-15 in Santana's last 65 starts. <LI class=more>Twins are 20-6 in Santana's last 26 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Twins are 39-12 in Santana's last 51 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=more>Twins are 39-12 in Santana's last 51 home starts. <LI class=more>Twins are 46-15 in Santana's last 61 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Twins are 36-15 in Santana's last 51 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 48-22 in Santana's last 70 starts with 4 days of rest.<LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 4-18 in their last 22 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-10 in their last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite of +151 to +200. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.<LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win. <LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 interleague games. <LI class=more>Cubs are 16-36 in their last 52 overall. <LI class=more>Cubs are 17-39 in their last 56 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague night games. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 Friday games. <LI class=more>Cubs are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=more>Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=more>Cubs are 7-23 in their last 30 games as an underdog. <LI class=more>Cubs are 3-10 in their last 13 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
I will have a few more plays tomorrow in the AM!
1. San Francisco wayyyyy under 7.5 runs -110 3 units
I really like this play among 2 teams that are just not scoring of late. Oaklands last 3 games in Colorado saw them score only 3 runs in one game and get shut out the other 2 games!! When is the last time that Colorado has pitched 2 straight shutouts at home!!
In San Francisco's last 5 games, they have scored 3,3,2,1 and 1 runs. Jason Schmidt is on the hill for SF and he has a era of 2.84 for the year! But in his last 5 starts, he is even better at an era of 2.38. His mound opponent is pitching much better over his last 5 games with a 2.57 era. Blanton for Oakland has pitched 2 shutouts in his last 3 starts. One was a complete game and the other, he went 8 innings. In his last start, he gave up 2 runs in 8 complete innings!
Jason Schmidt was beaten up pretty bad in his last start, but hopefully that was a fluke judging from his earlier starts this year. His 3 previous starts saw him only give up 1 earned run and the start before that he was part of a shutout. Earlier this year he pitched a complete game shuout, so he has the ability to pitch the whole game where we wont have to worry about a bullpen.
How about a few trends:
<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 interleague road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-1 in Athletics last 5 interleague games as an underdog. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Athletics last 4 interleague games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 interleague road games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 road games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Athletics last 3 road games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Athletics last 4 on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Athletics last 5 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-1 in Athletics last 9 games as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Athletics last 8 Friday games. <LI class=more>Under is 12-4-0 in Athletics last 16 games as a road underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 39-17-2 in Athletics last 58 vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Blanton's last 5 Friday starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Blanton's last 3 starts vs. National League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-0-0 in Blanton's last 6 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Under is 12-1-0 in Blanton's last 13 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Blanton's last 7 road starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Blanton's last 6 starts overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 21-5-1 in Blanton's last 27 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-2-0 in Blanton's last 10 starts as a road underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 11-3-0 in Blanton's last 14 starts as an underdog. <LI class=more>Under is 7-2-0 in Blanton's last 9 starts as a road underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 20-6-1 in Blanton's last 27 night starts. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Blanton's last 8 starts as an underdog of +110 to +150. <LI class=more>Under is 24-9-1 in Blanton's last 34 starts on Grass. <LI class=more>Under is 12-5-0 in Blanton's last 17 road starts. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-1 in Blanton's last 11 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 16-7-1 in Blanton's last 24 starts when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.<LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 vs. American League West. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Giants last 3 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-1 in Giants last 6 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Giants last 3 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague home games. . <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 overall. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-1 in Giants last 4 on Grass. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Giants last 5 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-1 in Giants last 6 home games.
This game will end 2-1 or 3-1.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
2. Minnesota under 8 runs -108 3 units
This one will be easy!! You cant get much hotter than Santana has been lately! He is 7-4 for the season with an era of 2.87. He has always been matched up against other staff aces so he has quite a few no decisions. But important to note is that the team is 11-4 in his starts! In his last 3 starts, the team is 3-0 and he has an era of 1.35. In Santana's last 4 starts he has given up 1 earned run in each of those games. In every start but 1 this year he has pitched at least 7 innings. Strangely enough, in that one start, he only pitched 5 innings, but left with only 1 run given up! He has not given up more than 1 walk in each of his last 10 starts and didnt walk anyone in 4 of those. After an EXTREMELY slow first month of the season, he has been one of the hottest pitchers in baseball leading his team to victory in 9 out of 10 starts. His only start to lose in that period saw him give up only 2 runs in a shutout loss to Detroit 2-0.
Marmol is on the mound for Chicago. He is 1-1 for the season with an era of 2.81. In his last start, he was roughed up a bit, giving up 4 earned runs. But his only other start saw him pitch 6 innings of 2 hit ball while giving up 1 run. This one looks easy!! How about a few under trends:
<LI class=morehot>Under is 5-0-0 in Twins last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Twins last 3 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Twins last 4 home games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-0-0 in Twins last 4 on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Under is 3-0-0 in Twins last 3 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Twins last 8 night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 7-1-0 in Twins last 8 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 6-1-0 in Twins last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 5-1-0 in Twins last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 Friday games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Under is 4-1-0 in Twins last 5 games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Under is 8-2-0 in Twins last 10 overall. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Twins last 8 games following a win. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Twins last 8 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 8-3-1 in Twins last 12 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Twins last 7 vs. National League Central. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Twins last 7 interleague games. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Twins last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 7-3-0 in Twins last 10 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Under is 10-2-0 in Santana's last 12 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Under is 13-3-0 in Santana's last 16 starts with 4 days of rest. <LI class=more>Under is 6-2-0 in Santana's last 8 starts as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=more>Under is 9-3-0 in Santana's last 12 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Under is 13-5-0 in Santana's last 18 night starts. <LI class=more>Under is 18-7-0 in Santana's last 25 starts as a favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Santana's last 14 starts as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Under is 10-4-0 in Santana's last 14 home starts. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Santana's last 7 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Santana's last 7 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Under is 9-4-0 in Santana's last 13 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Under is 17-8-0 in Santana's last 25 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5.<LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Cubs last 7 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Cubs last 7 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=more>Under is 5-2-0 in Cubs last 7 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter.
----------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------------
3. Minnesota -1.5 runs -110 2 units
This play would be a 3 unit play, but I am little worried about Minnesota's offense. I really am not looking for Minnesota to score more than 4 runs in this game. But using the data above, you can see why I would LOVE THIS PLAY!! In his last 10 starts, one was a loss and only 2 of the 9 wins were by 1 run. Most games were well over 3 run difference.
<LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 during game 1 of a series. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 games on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 home games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-0 in their last 5 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-0 in their last 6 Friday games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 3-0 in their last 3 interleague games as a favorite. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in their last 4 interleague games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 9-1 in their last 10 overall. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 night games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 7-1 in their last 8 games following a win. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 25-4 in their last 29 games as a favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-1 in their last 7 interleague night games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 26-5 in their last 31 games as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 home games vs. a team with a losing road record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 5-1 in their last 6 interleague games. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-1 in their last 5 when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 19-7 in their last 26 home games vs. a right-handed starter. <LI class=more>Twins are 45-18 in their last 63 games as a favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 7-3 in their last 10 interleague home games vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Twins are 35-16 in their last 51 games as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 96-46 in their last 142 games vs. a team with a winning % below .400. <LI class=more>Twins are 60-29 in their last 89 home games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-0 in Santana's last 4 starts when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 20-2 in Santana's last 22 starts as a favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 16-2 in Santana's last 18 starts as a home favorite of -201 or greater. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 26-4 in Santana's last 30 home starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 6-1 in Santana's last 7 starts vs. National League Central. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 15-3 in Santana's last 18 interleague starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 25-5 in Santana's last 30 home starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 20-4 in Santana's last 24 Friday starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 22-5 in Santana's last 27 starts on Field Turf. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 46-11 in Santana's last 57 night starts. <LI class=morehot>Twins are 4-1 in Santana's last 5 starts after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 49-13 in Santana's last 62 starts as a favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 41-11 in Santana's last 52 starts vs. a team with a losing record. <LI class=more>Twins are 46-13 in Santana's last 59 starts as a home favorite. <LI class=more>Twins are 50-15 in Santana's last 65 starts. <LI class=more>Twins are 20-6 in Santana's last 26 starts during game 1 of a series. <LI class=more>Twins are 39-12 in Santana's last 51 starts following a Quality Start in his last appearance. <LI class=more>Twins are 39-12 in Santana's last 51 home starts. <LI class=more>Twins are 46-15 in Santana's last 61 starts with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Twins are 36-15 in Santana's last 51 starts when their opponent scores 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Twins are 48-22 in Santana's last 70 starts with 4 days of rest.<LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-4 in their last 5 games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 4-18 in their last 22 games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-5 in their last 6 interleague games vs. a left-handed starter. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 2-10 in their last 12 after allowing 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 1-6 in their last 7 interleague games as a favorite of +151 to +200. <LI class=morecool>Cubs are 0-3 in their last 3 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.<LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 after scoring 5 runs or more in their previous game. <LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 games following a win. <LI class=more>Cubs are 5-11 in their last 16 interleague games. <LI class=more>Cubs are 16-36 in their last 52 overall. <LI class=more>Cubs are 17-39 in their last 56 games as an underdog of +151 to +200. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 when their opponent allows 2 runs or less in their previous game. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 interleague night games. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-5 in their last 7 Friday games. <LI class=more>Cubs are 8-21 in their last 29 vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=more>Cubs are 3-8 in their last 11 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record. <LI class=more>Cubs are 7-23 in their last 30 games as an underdog. <LI class=more>Cubs are 3-10 in their last 13 road games with the total set at 7.0-8.5. <LI class=more>Cubs are 2-7 in their last 9 games vs. a starter with a WHIP less than 1.15.
I will have a few more plays tomorrow in the AM!