Will you NOT bet runlines where a team is getting +1.5 runs?

Iceman · Jun 24, 2006

what is your take on this? Alot of times a team goes from the dog to a favorite. So know you have to lay juice and most likely win the game.

I bet alot of people don't bet these.

I do bet these all the time. I heard a good argument from someone that said " when the public feels that something is not right/fair (like laying juice on dog that almost has to win), than most likely it has a slight edge(didn't explain that real well)."

My point is: it isn't as bad as it looks.

Journeyman · Jun 24, 2006

I think much more people play -1.5 than +1.5....from that standpoint alone you would have to think the +1.5 is probably the better value, generally speaking.

I would like to hear from someone on the orther side of the counter on this subject.

Iceman · Jun 24, 2006

agree tottally with you JM (most do -1.5).

I didn't do a good job defending +1.5 but have read some decent arguments for it.

levistep · Jun 24, 2006

Journeyman said:
I think much more people play -1.5 than +1.5....from that standpoint alone you would have to think the +1.5 is probably the better value, generally speaking.

I would like to hear from someone on the orther side of the counter on this subject.

I tried taking the +1.5 because it's supposed to be the proper play but I broke even with it earlier this season. It might just be that the squares are winning this season.

Doug · Jun 24, 2006

Iceman said:
agree tottally with you JM (most do -1.5).

I didn't do a good job defending +1.5 but have read some decent arguments for it.

Presumably from Cutter ? I don't bet it very often. If I do it's the home team parlayed with under and the right total.

silver7 · Jun 24, 2006

He (Cutter) also has a theory on correlated bets, but don`t remember what it was exactly. The guy is hell w/numbers tho. Has to spend ALL his time online.