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Sports ANALyst
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Oct 13, 2004
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Tons going on today. Trying to get everything done with soccer thru Tuesday and baseball thru Monday so I can get out of here tonight and take a little quick-hitter to the beach for tomorrow and Monday and come back to the office first thing Tuesday.

As usual, looks too good to be true, prolly is. Last night, same deal. Went 3-3 and lose 763 yesterday. Now 149-176-6 and down 2763 in the bases this season.

Today, several look decent.

Going with the Dodgers in the NL game. Pitt just goddawful on the road. Duke is their most viable mound threat these days but Sele has given LA good starts most of the season. Oddsmakers seem to think he's through after his last couple but his ERA is still around 3 and he's battling to keep a spot in the rotation. I'll bite. Ho Ho Hudson behind the dish.

The play: LA -119 - 476 to win 400
OVER 8.5 -120 - 480 to win 400

This Boston RL at home this week is turning into quite a cash-cow. I missed the boat all the way til last night but it sails again today. Schilling has won all 5 Fenway starts this season and goes against alleged wife-beater Myers today. Expect Myers to get battered around as he did with his spouse the other night and Boston fans to boo him mercilessly.

The play: Boston -1.5 plus 112 - 1000 to win 1120

Marsh calling ChiSox game vs. HOU. Prohibited over, and 22-6 OVER in AL parks last three years. These two guys don't impress me. Sox been hammering the ball most of the week.

The play: HOU/CWS OVER 10.5 - 707 to win 700

A-Train departing, ALL ABOARD!!!! One of my favorite A's to play in June, Haren. Loser last time out in Colorado but only gave up one earned run in seven IP. He's 5-3 with a 2.14 ERA and a .213 opponents' BA since May 9. Obvious edge here against Wright, who has gone five starts without winning. Emmel has called his share of OVERS this season and the team day/night splits heavily favor OVER.

THe play: Oakland -122 - 732 to win 600

OAK/SFO OVER 8 -112 - 448 to win 400

2teams - Oakland -129/OVER 8.5 even - 300.00 to win 765.12

Amazed at this FLA/YAK price. So I lost it last night. Big deal, this Chacon is the first time Josh Johnson won't be facing a Cy Young winner in six starts. His ERA is down to 2.01 and 1.38 in the last five (five ER in 32 2/3 innings). Toronto made him work last time; he threw 119 pitches in 5 2/3 but beat Halladay impressively and held TOR to one run. Chacon had a tough go of it in Washington on Tuesday, as they led 9-2 before he spit it up, not even getting through the fifth.

THe play: Florida plus 153 - 700 to win 1071

Halladay always seems to rebound nicely off a loss. Expect a supreme effort here. Duque lost to Reds last time despite giving up 2 in seven innings. This lineup a smidge better and should respond for Roy at home tonight. Bucknor is a prohibited OVER ump, gotta try it small even though it goes against my correlation.

THe plays: Roy -163 - 1141 to win 700
Roy -1.5 runs plus 131 - 400 to win 524

OVER 9 -101 - 505 to win 500

Arroyo a big-time up and down pitcher. Other night he had a complete game vs. METS and I look for another solid effort today (he's been mostly up this year lol)... Money has mysteriously come in on CLE but if they can't Harang, how they gonna hit this guy? Byrd has been better as of late but this price is too low.

The play: Reds -107 - 535 to win 500

The Cardinals allowed 10 runs last night for the third time in four games. Suppan tries to stop the bleeding. He had his finest start in a month last time out, throwing 7 2/3 innings and giving up two runs in a 6-5 victory over Colorado. He seems to like spacious Comerica Park, and is 3-1 with a 3.44 in seven starts there. Rogers became the AL's first 10-game winner last time out and has pitched well as of late. But the Cardinals have not lost five straight games since May of 2003. At this lofty price, and with Pujols back in the lineup (4-for-4 last night), let's bank on it not happening now either.

The play: STL plus 137 - 400 to win 548

As long as they keep putting balls in the humidifier, COL is an UNDER park, big-time... Timmons 31-45 L3 years and 11-21 at NL parks. Not a big fan of the pitchers but they are capable.

The play: TEX/COL UNDER 10.5 -103 - 618 to win 600

Moyer has yet to face a NL team this season and is just 5-5 against San Diego. The Mariners have lost two straight and there is good value on Park and the Fathers. Park has been has worked at least six innings in all of his last five starts and in eight of his last nine. His fastball is his best pitch, but he is effectively mixing in a slider, curve, and changeup to compliment it. He is pitching confidently out of difficult situations and should be more favored than he is tonight.

The play: San Diego - 110 - 440 to win 400

San Diego -1.5 runs plus 202 - 200 to win 404

GL all...

:toast:
 

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