Sorry to post so early and I might get the worst of the price on some of these games... Not playing Monday and headed to the beach tomorrow morning first thing to check out the two soccer games, grab some sun in between, and meet up with some chicks later in the afternoon once the rain (likely) starts for a full-day power drinking session that will culminate with me doing the exact same thing Monday, except the chicks part haha, as I'm leaving mid-afternoon...
Funny how shit always evens out. Finished with my bets when Street spits it up by allowing a walk-off in the 9th to ruin my Oak/O parlay, I lose the side as well. A $2397 difference that would have put me up for the year at that moment. I was just musing about how well the week was going (Florida 4 in 9th to win earlier this week, Boston walk-off when I had them RL earlier)... but with this and the soccer game that goes goalless for 88 minutes... well, it's hard to win at this game unless you get the absolute best of the number...
OK onto the card...
Can't see the price on Penny going anywhere but up, as Kip Wells has made just one start and it was a turd. Penny always seems to rebound from bad outings and I see the DOdgers laying the wood to this team and finishing off the sweep.
The play: Dodgers -1.5 runs plus 109 (98 cent value worth a stab here, as these Dodgers hit better than most of previous editions) - 600 to win 654
Josh Towers is on the hill for the Jays. He's lost 8 of their 33 games and he was in the minors the last month! Not a big Trachsel fan though, so staying sorta small.
The play: Mets -121 - 484 to win 400
Passing Reds/CLE; Sowers is the real deal and better pitcher in this matchup, despite it being his first start up here. His fastball won't blow anyone away but he always seems to get ahead in the count and he works quickly and gets hitters out of their rhythm... at least he did in HS when I saw him, as well as what I'm being told he did in Buffalo at AAA this year, haha... Randazzo a neutral ump who won't hurt him and this total seems a shade high.
The play: CIN/CLE UNDER 10 -103 - 412 to win 400
Ponson back in the rotation by default; Bonderman has good stuff but don't think he'll get all the same calls if Crawford is his UMP (10-4, 61.4 strikes, 12.73 rpg)...
The play: STL/DET OVER 9.5 -102 - 510 to win 500
Not sure where they came up with the idea Rick Helling's sorry ass should ever be a favorite away from Milwaukee. Yes, it's the Royals but they have had a half-decent homestand against these NL-bottom feeders. I made Redman -125 and I thought I was low-balling him. Helling surely getting his last chance to stay in the rotation as he went just 3 1/3 the other day in his first start, giving up seven ER on six hits. Redman has won his last four decisions and is oozing with confidence at this point.
The play: Kansas City -103 - 721 to win 700
Radke has been getting better as of late but Marshall seems to be getting the tired arm for the Chubs and he's been pretty bad on the road all season.
Gonna take a stab at a team in the same role as KC, in Colorado. Kim is going pretty good for the most part and Padilla, though he's good against rightys, COL can come up with a lineup with up to five lefties (they are hitting .320 against him). He is 2-2 with a 5.66 ERA in six road starts (5.29 ERA career vs. COL)... if they don't score, he can't win. Brinkman a dead over ump as well. It's uncorrelated so I won't parlay it...
THe play: Colorado -104 - 520 to win 500
TEX/COL OVER 10 -110 - 440 to win 400
Daily dose of Oaktown. Cain was superb last time but it seems like he always follows a good start with a shitty one so I'll try Loaiza. He was 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA since coming off DL before giving up six in less than 4 innings at Coors; but it's a day game, and that's good (Esteban 0-3, 9.82 ERA in his three night starts)... Oakland 17-4 this month heading into Sat...
The play: Oakland plus 113 - 400 to win 452
That should do it boys and girls, take care...
:smoker2:
Funny how shit always evens out. Finished with my bets when Street spits it up by allowing a walk-off in the 9th to ruin my Oak/O parlay, I lose the side as well. A $2397 difference that would have put me up for the year at that moment. I was just musing about how well the week was going (Florida 4 in 9th to win earlier this week, Boston walk-off when I had them RL earlier)... but with this and the soccer game that goes goalless for 88 minutes... well, it's hard to win at this game unless you get the absolute best of the number...
OK onto the card...
Can't see the price on Penny going anywhere but up, as Kip Wells has made just one start and it was a turd. Penny always seems to rebound from bad outings and I see the DOdgers laying the wood to this team and finishing off the sweep.
The play: Dodgers -1.5 runs plus 109 (98 cent value worth a stab here, as these Dodgers hit better than most of previous editions) - 600 to win 654
Josh Towers is on the hill for the Jays. He's lost 8 of their 33 games and he was in the minors the last month! Not a big Trachsel fan though, so staying sorta small.
The play: Mets -121 - 484 to win 400
Passing Reds/CLE; Sowers is the real deal and better pitcher in this matchup, despite it being his first start up here. His fastball won't blow anyone away but he always seems to get ahead in the count and he works quickly and gets hitters out of their rhythm... at least he did in HS when I saw him, as well as what I'm being told he did in Buffalo at AAA this year, haha... Randazzo a neutral ump who won't hurt him and this total seems a shade high.
The play: CIN/CLE UNDER 10 -103 - 412 to win 400
Ponson back in the rotation by default; Bonderman has good stuff but don't think he'll get all the same calls if Crawford is his UMP (10-4, 61.4 strikes, 12.73 rpg)...
The play: STL/DET OVER 9.5 -102 - 510 to win 500
Not sure where they came up with the idea Rick Helling's sorry ass should ever be a favorite away from Milwaukee. Yes, it's the Royals but they have had a half-decent homestand against these NL-bottom feeders. I made Redman -125 and I thought I was low-balling him. Helling surely getting his last chance to stay in the rotation as he went just 3 1/3 the other day in his first start, giving up seven ER on six hits. Redman has won his last four decisions and is oozing with confidence at this point.
The play: Kansas City -103 - 721 to win 700
Radke has been getting better as of late but Marshall seems to be getting the tired arm for the Chubs and he's been pretty bad on the road all season.
Gonna take a stab at a team in the same role as KC, in Colorado. Kim is going pretty good for the most part and Padilla, though he's good against rightys, COL can come up with a lineup with up to five lefties (they are hitting .320 against him). He is 2-2 with a 5.66 ERA in six road starts (5.29 ERA career vs. COL)... if they don't score, he can't win. Brinkman a dead over ump as well. It's uncorrelated so I won't parlay it...
THe play: Colorado -104 - 520 to win 500
TEX/COL OVER 10 -110 - 440 to win 400
Daily dose of Oaktown. Cain was superb last time but it seems like he always follows a good start with a shitty one so I'll try Loaiza. He was 2-0 with a 2.77 ERA since coming off DL before giving up six in less than 4 innings at Coors; but it's a day game, and that's good (Esteban 0-3, 9.82 ERA in his three night starts)... Oakland 17-4 this month heading into Sat...
The play: Oakland plus 113 - 400 to win 452
That should do it boys and girls, take care...
:smoker2:
