Diary Of A Exbookie Trying To Win At Baseball....sunday Thread

Record 146-139 -$1925.00

1-1 sat/day

LAST YEAR AT THIS TIME I TRY BASEBALL....MY PICKS LOST -$4000...UNTIL I COATTAIL TWO PLAYERS AND GOT MY MONEY BACK PLUS A FEW MORE....
LAST NIGHT VS THIS SPREADSHEET AND WHAT I DO WITH IT WHEN 4-1 +2.67!!!..............I HAVE TRY TWO DIFF SPREADSHEET THIS YEAR....ONE WITH MY INPUT AND THIS ONE WITHOUT.....I SEE THIS ONE AS BEING BETTER THAN THE 1ST ONE.....THE STATS CALCULATION AND THE FORMULA SEEM TO BE RIGHT (FOR A SPREADSHEET TO BE USE AS A TOOL)

TOTAL FOR 6 DAYS TEST...13-10 +2.35

Quote:
<TABLE cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=alt2 style="BORDER-RIGHT: 1px inset; BORDER-TOP: 1px inset; BORDER-LEFT: 1px inset; BORDER-BOTTOM: 1px inset">Originally Posted by Milwaukee
Bye the way I forget.....I test this system the last 4 1/2 weeks.

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GREAT JOB....I THINK IN ANY SYS/WE WANT TO SEE IT FROM DIFF/WAYS

MILWAUKEE IS SHOWING ALL

ZIT IS SHOWING IT WITH FILTERS

AND ME ALL VALUE OVER +6

THIS WAY WE GET IT FROM 3 DIFF/VIEWS

TEAM WORK GUYS

TODAY I LIKE TWO GAME....METS AND DET....BUT I WILL WAIT UNTIL THE SHEET COME OUT AND SEE IF IT MATCH THE WAY I CAP A GAME.....BALANCE AND CHECK!!!!!

AS THE WEEKS GO ON AND THIS SHEET STAYS AVG OR BETTER....I WILL USE IT MORE!!!!

ALWAY WILL START A THREAD EARLY IN THE AM SO MILWAUKEE CAN POST IT AND SHOW WHAT HE'S GOT FOR THE DAY.......

I'M ACE-ACE AND I APPROVE THIS SPREADSHEET
(AS OF NOW)

<TABLE class=tborder id=post2977317 cellSpacing=0 cellPadding=6 width="100%" align=center border=0><TBODY><TR><TD class=thead style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal"> 06-25-2006, 05:35 AM <!-- / status icon and date --></TD><TD class=thead style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal" align=right> #9 </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 width=175>Milwaukee<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_2977317", true); </SCRIPT>
RX Junior

Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Stuttgart
Posts: 45


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<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Update for my Spreadsheet: (from June 18 - June 24)

ALL GAMES: 49 GAMES - 33 WON - 16 LOSE

VALUE < 10: 19 GAMES - 9 WON - 10 LOSE

VALUE < 6 - 9,9: 13 GAMES - 12 WON - 1 LOSE !!!

VALUE < 4 - 5,9: 17 GAMES - 12 WON - 5 LOSE


VALUE 4,0 - 9,9: 30 GAMES - 24 WON - 6 LOSE
= 80,0% WIN
(MY FAVORIT!!!!!!!!)

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"VALUE 4,0 - 9,9: 30 GAMES - 24 WON - 6 LOSE
= 80,0% WIN
(MY FAVORIT!!!!!!!!) "

why dont u just post those plays ?

cosmokram3r said:

"VALUE 4,0 - 9,9: 30 GAMES - 24 WON - 6 LOSE
= 80,0% WIN
(MY FAVORIT!!!!!!!!) "

why dont u just post those plays ?

Click to expand...

In the last 7 days all plays are in ACE-ACE threads (the spreadsheet).

Sorry where do i find the picks? u got a link to it?

best of luck man

ON THE WAY TO THE TIGER GAME TODAY ANY PICKS WHILE I AM HAVING A CONEY AT LAFAYETTE CONEY ISLANDuppy:

charliepeete said:

ON THE WAY TO THE TIGER GAME TODAY ANY PICKS WHILE I AM HAVING A CONEY AT LAFAYETTE CONEY ISLANDuppy:

Click to expand...

I WILL BE BETTING DET TODAY FOR AT LESS 3 BILL (SMALL ONES)

WHERE ARE YOUR SEATS?

HOLD A SIGN UP AND SAY HI ACE-ACE......IF I SEE IT

DINNER ON ME :missingte

Hello

Here are the Spreadsheet from Saturday. I hope we have all a good day.

Milwaukee:thumbsup2:

The Speadsheet Is Picking 8 Thats Over +6 Value

Lad
Det
Fla
Bal
Bos
Min
Sd
Laa

Lets See How It Does With That Many Games!!!

I LIKE THE SPREADSHEET PICK ON DET ...THE HIGHEST ONE OF THE DAY +22

MORE FACTS

Umpire Trends - Jerry Crawford

Over is 8-0-0 in Crawford's last 8 Sunday games behind home plate.
Cardinals are 4-0 in their last 4 day games with Crawford behind home plate.
Over is 3-0-0 in Crawford's last 3 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Over is 4-1-0 in Crawford's last 5 interleague games behind home plate.
Over is 4-1-0 in Crawford's last 5 day games behind home plate vs. St. Louis.
Cardinals are 13-4 in their last 17 games with Crawford behind home plate.
Over is 10-4-0 in Crawford's last 14 day games behind home plate.
Over is 10-4-1 in Crawford's last 15 games behind home plate.
Tigers are 5-2 in their last 7 games with Crawford behind home plate.
Over is 7-3-0 in Crawford's last 10 games behind home plate vs. Detroit.
Road team is 5-0 in Crawford's last 5 Sunday games behind home plate.
Road team is 3-0 in Crawford's last 3 games behind home plate vs. St. Louis


Head to Head

Over is 4-0-0 in the last 4 meetings in Detroit.
Over is 5-2-0 in the last 7 meetings.
Cardinals are 1-4 in the last 5 meetings in Detroit.

Detroit

Over is 4-0-0 in Tigers last 4 interleague games as a favorite of -151 to -200.
Over is 5-0-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 3-0-0 in Tigers last 3 Sunday games.
Over is 3-0-0 in Tigers last 3 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 5-0-0 in Tigers last 5 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 3-0-0 in Tigers last 3 home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-0 in Tigers last 7 interleague home games.
Over is 4-1-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague home games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-0 in Tigers last 5 interleague games as a favorite.
Over is 4-1-0 in Tigers last 5 games as a favorite.

Key Bonderman trends:
Under is 3-0-1 in Bonderman's last 4 day starts.
Under is 3-0-0 in Bonderman's last 3 home starts with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Under is 10-1-1 in Bonderman's last 12 starts on Grass.


St. Louis

Over is 7-1-0 in Cardinals last 8 games following a loss.
Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 6-1-1 in Cardinals last 8 games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 10-2-0 in Cardinals last 12 vs. American League Central.
Over is 5-1-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as an underdog.
Over is 5-1-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague road games.
Over is 5-1-0 in Cardinals last 6 games as a road underdog.
Over is 5-1-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games with the total set at 9.0-10.5.
Over is 5-1-0 in Cardinals last 6 road games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 5-1-0 in Cardinals last 6 interleague games.
Over is 13-3-0 in Cardinals last 16 Sunday games.
Over is 4-1-0 in Cardinals last 5 interleague games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 4-1-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as an underdog of +151 to +200.
Over is 4-1-0 in Cardinals last 5 games as a road underdog of +151 to +200.
Over is 4-1-0 in Cardinals last 5 day games.
Over is 4-1-0 in Cardinals last 5 overall.
Over is 4-1-0 in Cardinals last 5 on Grass.
Over is 16-5-1 in Cardinals last 22 road games.
Over is 6-2-1 in Cardinals last 9 games vs. a right-handed starter.
Over is 20-8-0 in Cardinals last 28 interleague road games vs. a team with a winning record.
Over is 10-4-0 in Cardinals last 14 during game 3 of a series.
Over is 14-6-1 in Cardinals last 21 when their opponent allows 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Over is 3-0-0 in Ponson's last 3 starts during game 3 of a series.

Cardinals are 3-0 in their last 3 interleague day games.
Cardinals are 3-0 in their last 3 Sunday games.
Cardinals are 23-7 in their last 30 day games following a night game on the previous day.
Cardinals are 61-25 in their last 86 games following a loss.
Cardinals are 59-26 in their last 85 after allowing 5 runs or more in their previous game.
Cardinals are 36-16 in their last 52 during game 3 of a series.

FUN STUFF TO LOOK AT!!!!



Under bettors must be wondering what’s up with the St. Louis Cardinals pitching rotation these days because what ever it is, it’s burning up their bankrolls.

The team has allowed six runs or more in 10 of its last 19 games and pushed the over/under to 12-6-1 through that span. It’s a startling trend for a ball club that began the month of June with a 25-25-3 O/U ratio on the season.

It’s gotten even worse for the Cards during the first four games of their current road trip where they’ve submitted 44 runs and 57 hits. Three of those tilts doubled the closing total.

"We`ve got to pitch better, no question about it," Chris Carpenter told reporters after allowing seven runs in seven innings during Friday’s 10-6 loss to the Detroit Tigers. "We haven`t been pitching the way we can.”

Carpenter isn’t the only culprit in the St. Louis rotation. He along with Mark Mulder and Jason Marquis have coughed up a combined 29 earned runs and 33 hits in just 14 1/3 innings while Jeff Suppan has been painfully inconsistent over the past month.

Sidney Ponson’s last two starts (11 earned in 8 2/3 innings) earned him a demotion to the bullpen, although Mulder’s recent placement on the DL due to a shoulder problem has him back in the mix.

“I`m not throwing the ball very well the last couple times I went out there,” he told the St. Louis Post Dispatch. “So I worked on it and changed my mechanics a little bit.”

Mulder’s injury is probably the cause of his struggles, but the rest of the rotation is a bit of a mystery. After all, it’s not like bad pitching is contagious. Not among starting pitchers anyway.

“I think you get that more with a bullpen,” say Covers Expert Ted Sevransky. “There’s more camaraderie among relief pitchers… for the simple fact that they hang out in the bullpen. So (their bad pitching) can rub off on each other. I’m not sure it’s the same with starting pitchers.”

But with St. Louis enduring some embarrassing losses over the past week, including Tuesday`s 20-6 defeat to the Chicago White Sox, Wednesday’s 13-5 loss to the Pale Hose and Friday’s 10-6 decision to Detroit, the starters are now under a microscope.

That kind of attention brings pressure, and perhaps not all of the Cardinals starters can deal with it.

“I think a guy like Mulder could handle that,” Sevransky says. “But a guy like Ponson could definitely be more fragile. And Jeff Suppan and Jason Marquis? Maybe they’re just starting to show their true colors.”



MY BET ON THIS GAME

DET.............................$477/$300


ACE-ACE

Spreadsheet with Filters To Date (2 days worth): 2-3 = -162.00


Sunday, June 25th (3 Pieces)

Marlins+154 ... 100/154 (Game 1)

Padres-118 ... 118/100

Angels-131 ... 131/100

Love the LAD, Boston and SD plays. Detroit looks way too good to be true. Ponson 4-2 lifetime vs Detroit. Trying to stabalize a place in the starting rotation. Best of luck on this play, ACE. I'm gonna be watching the game as a non-play for me. This year has been a tough one, but I'm hoping to turn it around after the Allstar break.:toast:

ACE-ACE said:

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06-25-2006, 05:35 AM <!-- / status icon and date --></TD><TD class=thead style="FONT-WEIGHT: normal" align=right>#9 </TD></TR><TR vAlign=top><TD class=alt2 width=175>Milwaukee<SCRIPT type=text/javascript> vbmenu_register("postmenu_2977317", true); </SCRIPT>
RX Junior

Join Date: Mar 2006
Location: Stuttgart
Posts: 45



</TD><TD class=alt1 id=td_post_2977317><!-- icon and title -->

<HR style="COLOR: #fdde82" SIZE=1><!-- / icon and title --><!-- message -->Update for my Spreadsheet: (from June 18 - June 24)

ALL GAMES: 49 GAMES - 33 WON - 16 LOSE

VALUE < 10: 19 GAMES - 9 WON - 10 LOSE

VALUE < 6 - 9,9: 13 GAMES - 12 WON - 1 LOSE !!!

VALUE < 4 - 5,9: 17 GAMES - 12 WON - 5 LOSE


VALUE 4,0 - 9,9: 30 GAMES - 24 WON - 6 LOSE
= 80,0% WIN
(MY FAVORIT!!!!!!!!)


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Click to expand...

4,0 to 9,9 ... 80%. That's nice.

cruisin said:

Love the LAD, Boston and SD plays. Detroit looks way too good to be true. Ponson 4-2 lifetime vs Detroit. Trying to stabalize a place in the starting rotation. Best of luck on this play, ACE. I'm gonna be watching the game as a non-play for me. This year has been a tough one, but I'm hoping to turn it around after the Allstar break.:toast:

Click to expand...

THAT WAS THE TIME YOU TURN ME AROUND AND MADE SOME MONEY BACK....HOPE THIS SHEET KEEP UP THE GOOD WORK ITS BEEN DOING THIS LAST WEEK

YOUR FRIEND
ACE-ACE

cosmokram3r said:

"VALUE 4,0 - 9,9: 30 GAMES - 24 WON - 6 LOSE
= 80,0% WIN
(MY FAVORIT!!!!!!!!) "

why dont u just post those plays ?

Click to expand...

Because, say 30 days from now it changes and now it is a losing or break even proposition, and everyone else stopped doing it from a different way ... Where's the answer?

ACE-ACE said:

I WILL BE BETTING DET TODAY FOR AT LESS 3 BILL (SMALL ONES)

WHERE ARE YOUR SEATS?

HOLD A SIGN UP AND SAY HI ACE-ACE......IF I SEE IT

DINNER ON ME :missingte

Click to expand...

that is the same offer from the chicago lions game i am in section 119 today row 18//////////i also have tics for wednesday's game against houston....................need some people to go..........

i have detroit pretty heavy today too ..good luck to usuppy: