two tonight w/analysis

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<o:p> Tampa Bay +1.33 over FLORIDA
Extremely long weekend for the Marlins and Josh Johnson and as a result we find them with a rather difficult assignment tonight. You see, Johnson was supposed to go on Saturday in the Bronx but a three- hour rain delay, followed by the start of the game in which the two teams didn’t even play a half inning, and finally the postponement after another delay, ruined his plans for the day. The whole process took about five hours and than the Fish played a DH yesterday that involved another about nine hours of being at the park. Now Johnson will have to re-focus here and so will the Marlins as a –1.40 favorite, a roll they’re unaccustomed to. Not saying it can’t be done but we are saying that this is a huge letdown spot after a very difficult and exciting weekend in New York for a bunch of rookies that are playing way above expectations. The Devil Rays are quietly putting together a run of their own. They’ve won 7 of 11 games and James Shields is a big reason why. Shields lasted a career-high seven innings against Arizona on Wednesday, and allowed just two runs and four hits in a 3-2 win. Overall, he has given up only five runs in 23 innings since his debut on May 31. He’s also struck out 27 hitters in 30 innings and both the situation and tag call for a play on this live pooch. Play: Tampa Bay +1.33 (Risking 1.5 units). <?xml:namespace prefix = o ns = "urn:schemas-microsoft-com:office:office" /><o:p></o:p>
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Los Angeles +1.01 over MINNESOTA
Sure, the Twins are steaming right now with nine wins in their last 10 games and 14 wins in their last 16 but aside from a three-game sweep over the Red Sox they really haven’t faced anyone worth mentioning. They beat up on the Cubs, Pirates and Orioles and they also beat up on a reeling Astros squad. Don’t get us wrong, the Twins are a very good baseball team but they’re not as good as their recent record suggests. They’ll get some resistance here from a team that comes in heating up with five wins in a row and one that can bash with the best of them. The Dodgers will also see Carlos Silva, a guy that can surely be hit as hard as any pitcher in the business, as his 111 hits and 18 bombs allowed in 76 innings would attest to. Silva is 3-8 with a 6.87 ERA and although he’s had a couple of quality starts recently, he’ll very likely go back to pitching like Carlos Silva. The opposition is hitting .343 off Silva and that’s a significant number indeed. Chad Billingsley makes just his third career start in Dodger blue. His numbers are very respectable and he did come in as a highly touted prospect and thus far, we haven’t seen anything that could dispute that. This choice is all about playing against Silva. Thus far, Silva hasn’t proved that he can get outs against clubs like the one he’ll face here. Play: Los Angeles +1.01 (Risking 1.5 units).
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