-Newman- Thursday MLB Picks

-Newman- · Jun 29, 2006

Just starting this thread prematurely to update my record. I'll probably be posting my picks tomorrow, but might make a few tonight. Good luck to all tomorrow and let's rebound damnit !!!

Also, if anyone is visiting this lonely thread, please look at my "Betting Factors In Baseball" thread to help me / us create a good system. Thanks in advance.

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Year To Date : 42-64-5 (-31.215 Units)

Straight : 31-29 (+3.475 Units)
Over / Under : 6-27-3 (-29.10 Units)
Team Total : 5-8-2 (-5.59 Units)

------------------------ Breakdown ------------------------
Versus Money Line : 24-18 (+8.795 Units)
Versus Spread : 7-11 (-5.32 Units)

.5 Unit Plays : 3-3 (+.135 Units)
1 Unit Plays : 26-46-4 (-22.63 Units)
2 Unit Plays : 13-15-1 (-8.72 Units)

------------------------ Breakdown ------------------------
Picks 0-100 : 36-59-5 (-32.395 Units)
Picks 101-200 : 6-5-0 (+ 1.18 Units)

Parlays : 0-12 (-12.5 Units)

-Newman- · Jun 29, 2006

Chicago White Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates

I'm not the journalist type, so not real good w/ write-ups. Instead, I'll just list the stats and a few sidenotes at the end that just correlate w/ my bets to where it shouldn't take a nuclear engineer to figure it why I bet it that way. If you'd like a half-ass write-up to anything, feel free to ask.

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Chicago White Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago : Game -1.5 ... 2.40 Unit / -120
Chicago : Team Total Over 5 ... 2.60 Unit / -130
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Jose Contreras
8-0 ~ 1.09 WHIP (7) ~ 3.15 ERA (13) ~ .221 BAA (7) ~ .276 OBP (4)

Zach Duke
5-7 ~ 1.52 WHIP (76) ~ 4.16 ERA (65) ~ .295 BAA (80) ~ .363 OBP (86)

Last Three Starts
Jose Contreras : 2-0 ~ 1.28 WHIP ~ 5.31 ERA
Zach Duke : 1-1 ~ 2.15 WHIP ~ 8.22 ERA

Chicago Bullpen
159.1 IP ~ 1.15 WHIP ~ 3.50 ERA
Last 3 : 22.0 IP ~ 1.24 WHIP ~ 2.38 ERA

Pittsburgh Bullpen
253.0 IP ~ 1.45 WHIP ~ 4.13 ERA
Last 3 : 20.2 IP ~ 1.79 WHIP ~ 6.53 ERA

Chicago Batting
442 Runs (1) ~ +1.16 Diff ~ .284 BA (3) ~ .351 OBP (5) ~ .818 OPS (3)

Pittsburgh Batting
349 Runs (22) ~ -.77 Diff ~ .259 BA (22) ~ .325 OBP (25) ~ .741 OPS (22)

Sidenotes
Pittsburgh is 3-19 in Game 3 of a series ~ After A Loss : 0-10.
In 16 starts, Duke has lasted over 7 innings twice (CHC & MIL).

-Newman- · Jun 29, 2006

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati : Game -1.5 ... 2.60 Unit / -130
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Bronson Arroyo
9-4 ~ 1.12 WHIP ~ 2.58 ERA ~ .241 BAA ~ .280 OBP

Bobby Keppel
0-4 ~ 1.66 WHIP ~ 4.78 ERA ~ .315 BAA ~ .378 OBP

Last 3 Starts
Arroyo : 1-2 ~ 1.18 WHIP ~ 3.68 ERA
Keppel : 0-3 ~ 2.72 WHIP ~ 10.12 ERA

-Newman- · Jun 29, 2006

June 29, 2006 Full Card

Okay, Falling Asleep At Keyboard Now, Plus Write-Ups Just Aren't For Me ... I Will Answer Anyone's Questions, Though, On Why I Picked The Way I Did ! Good Luck To All Today !
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Chicago White Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago : Game -1.5 ... 2.40 Unit / -120
Chicago : Team Total Over 5 ... 2.60 Unit / -130

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati : Game -1.5 ... 2.60 Unit / -130

Washington Nationals @ Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto : Game -1.5 ... 1.05 Unit / -105

Seattle Mariners @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona : Game ML ... 1.00 Unit / +121

Parlay
Chicago White Sox : Game ML
Cincinnati : Game ML
Toronto : Game ML
2.00 Unit / +2.098

CaptainCarl · Jun 29, 2006

Good luck Newman.

-Newman- · Jun 29, 2006

ucking:

Jose Contreras (8-0) has a 1.09 WHIP and a .276 OBP against the Pittsburgh Pirates, who have one of the worst records in the MLB, Rank #22 In Runs Scored And #28 In OBP.

Zack Duke (5-7) is near the bottom of the league with a 1.52 WHIP and a .363 OBP. He's going against the Chicago White Sox, who have one of the best records in the MLB, Rank #1 In Runs Scored And #3 In OBP.

Chicago / Pittsburgh
Team Record : 51-26 / 26-53
Runs Scored : 442 / 349
Run Differential : +1.16 / -.77

Jose Contreras / Pittsburgh
Runs : 3.15 ERA (#13) / 349 Runs (#22)
B Avg : .221 (#7) / .259 (#22)
OBP : .276 (#4) / .325 (#28)

Zack Duke / Chicago
Runs : 4.16 ERA (#65) / 442 Runs (#1)
B Avg : .295 (#80) / .284 (#3)
OBP : .363 (#86) / .351 (#5)

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Now, I Understand It's My Rookie Campaign In MLB, But What Am I Seeing Wrong ?!? Starting Pitcher, OBP, Runs, W/L ... Those are what I gather from the opinion of others as pretty heavy deciding factors. I don't like this MLB thing too much ... All the research and knowledge in the world can't help you in this sport, or any professional sport for that matter. Let's hope I rebound today. Good luck to all.

Marco · Jun 29, 2006

Sat on my ass for about 45 minutes last night until Angel showed up....

Had to get up off the chair and get my "A" game going.....got-rrr-dunnnn..

Still got 187 games in without your sorry ass.

Good luck to you sir.:toast:

-Newman- · Jun 30, 2006

*** Sniff *** Sniff ***

And by the way, Angel has got a good stick, but did you really need your "A" game? How many wins he end up with / how long ? Did you play safety pool ?

-Newman- · Jun 30, 2006

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June 29, 2006 MLB "Picks" Results (2-3 -3.00 Units)
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Chicago White Sox @ Pittsburgh Pirates
Chicago : Game -1.5 ... 2.40 Unit / -120 (LOSER)
Chicago : Team Total Over 5 ... 2.60 Unit / -130 (WINNER)

Kansas City Royals @ Cincinnati Reds
Cincinnati : Game -1.5 ... 2.60 Unit / -130 (LOSER) <- 3 Runs In 8th?

Washington Nationals @ Toronto Blue Jays
Toronto : Game -1.5 ... 1.05 Unit / -105 (WINNER)

Seattle Mariners @ Arizona Diamondbacks
Arizona : Game ML ... 1.00 Unit / +121 (LOSER) <- 2 Runs In 9th?

Parlay
Chicago White Sox : Game ML (LOSER) <-- Still In Disbelief
Cincinnati : Game ML (WINNER)
Toronto : Game ML (WINNER)
2.00 Unit / +2.098 (LOSER)

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Woo Hoo !!! Back On My Losing Ways ... But I Guess I Need To Have A Winning Way To Actually Get Back On My Losing Way !!! I Need To Seriously Sit Back And Wonder What I'm Doing Wrong ... Just Frustrating As Fuck Knowing That I'm At Least Doing The Right Research For A Winner, But Not Doing A Damn Thing !!! I Know I Need To A) Eliminate The Action Addict Of Picking 5 Games A Day and B) Eliminate The Damn Runline ... But We'll See How That Goes . Good Luck To All Tomorrow !