Hedging my Sorenstam bet.....

joeyfitzclick · Jul 2, 2006

Ok I just got home from the U.S Women's Open ( I live in Newport, RI) and I'm going back to watch the play off tomorrow. I have Sorenstam to win for $500 at 9/4 from Saturday night and she is now at 1/2. When is the best time to place a wager on Hurst currently available at 2/1 or better to best hedge my current bet ? As of right now I'm planning on waiting until Sorenstam takes an early lead and pound Hurst at 4/1, 5/1.

Do I bet a little right now at 2/1 ?

valueman · Jul 2, 2006

Sorenstam will crush her but if you're nervous go ahead.

charleslanger · Jul 3, 2006

valueman said:
Sorenstam will crush her but if you're nervous go ahead.

I totally agree. Yeah, once in a while she throws a total meltdown, but in the long run she is money in the bank a whopping majrity of the time.

I would take a chance and wait, as you're leaning towards..don't fancy hedging a 2-1 w/ another 2-1...cuts into profit way too much.

Then again, you stand to clear $1,125...minus 250(break-even / true hedge) leaves $875 still...

When a hedge would look real attractive to me is if either:

1. that was a bet on some game, then a reverse second half/period hedge parlayed to some other game today would open up a lot more possibilities / large profit...OR

2. there was a possibility to reverse-tease # of strokes, for any chance at collecting both bets.

She wins such a huge % of those situations, that one leaves money on the table by hedging her.

NOW, if your bet was much larger than normal / advisable-- then it could call for some protection...otherwise, i'd stay put.

AngleBroom · Jul 3, 2006

I haven't made any bets on this open, and had my mind made up on Sorenstam, but when I saw she was 2:1(ridiculous) I paused. Both have played good golf, but Annika's was on the first day. Hurst has 2 rounds under par(69). If yesterday were todays playoff, Hurst would have won by 2 strokes. Not bad value on Hurst, I'll make Sorenstam beat me to lose. Taking Hurst +196 and the +1.5. I don't think money gets put on Annika at 2:1 when they both played equal, so I would hedge at +200.

valueman · Jul 3, 2006

Sorenstam 3 clear after 6.

WorldNumberOne · Jul 3, 2006

joeyfitzclick said:
Ok I just got home from the U.S Women's Open ( I live in Newport, RI) and I'm going back to watch the play off tomorrow. I have Sorenstam to win for $500 at 9/4 from Saturday night and she is now at 1/2. When is the best time to place a wager on Hurst currently available at 2/1 or better to best hedge my current bet ? As of right now I'm planning on waiting until Sorenstam takes an early lead and pound Hurst at 4/1, 5/1.

Do I bet a little right now at 2/1 ?

give us a run down of what it is like to live there .

i've always wanted to visit .

i worked for a head golf pro who ended up taking the newport job back in the mid 90's . he isnt there anymore . he retired .

joeyfitzclick · Jul 3, 2006

Took Hurst at 7/1 when down by 2.

joeyfitzclick · Jul 3, 2006

give us a run down of what it is like to live there .

Honestly it is awesome. I came here for the summer in '94 right out of high school to experience the country and watch the WC and never went back to Ireland. The biggest negative I consistently hear is that there is no industry here and so not many jobs outside of the tourism business. Well I worked my way up working in the restaurants etc but now I make a nice living in real estate and so I'm happy. Beautiful town, great bar/restaurant scene, beaches, cliff walks, world class golf (I'm playing Carnegie Abbey at 1:30), little or no crime and really GREAT people. I really like living here and would recommend a visit to antone, anytime of the year.

valueman · Jul 3, 2006

sorenstam 5 clear , 7 to play

WorldNumberOne · Jul 3, 2006

joeyfitzclick said:
give us a run down of what it is like to live there .

Honestly it is awesome. I came here for the summer in '94 right out of high school to experience the country and watch the WC and never went back to Ireland. The biggest negative I consistently hear is that there is no industry here and so not many jobs outside of the tourism business. Well I worked my way up working in the restaurants etc but now I make a nice living in real estate and so I'm happy. Beautiful town, great bar/restaurant scene, beaches, cliff walks, world class golf (I'm playing Carnegie Abbey at 1:30), little or no crime and really GREAT people. I really like living here and would recommend a visit to antone, anytime of the year.

pretty brutal winters ?

how long does it stay nice for summer ? mid may thru mid sept ?

BC-Eagles · Jul 3, 2006

WNO - winters down there aren't terrible, it's a pretty fun spot year round...mid may through mid september is a pretty fair estimate of nice weather, although it can still be reasonably chilly some years in mid may...

what channel is the cow and sorenstam on?

BC-Eagles · Jul 3, 2006

nevermind...didn't think they'd be taking up valuable ESPNHD space

joeyfitzclick · Jul 3, 2006

Winters are great. Cold but a nice break from the mayhem. Weather is good May through the end of September but then we have skiing/ snowboarding in NH to keep us busy. I wouldn't (personal opinion) live anywhere else, I have been to every corner of this great country, but I have my own reasons for that.

WorldNumberOne · Jul 3, 2006

i live on the ocean in cocoa beach , fl .

our winters are like most places summers .

i'm thinking about taking 2 or 3 weeks next summer and drive up the east coast with my 10 year old daughter.

BC-Eagles · Jul 3, 2006

newport would be a great spot WNO, i'd also strongly suggest Nantucket for a trip...a little bit of yuppie stuff in some areas of nantucket, and a little bit pricy depending on what kind of cash you have....but it's an awesome spot IMO

WorldNumberOne · Jul 3, 2006

thanks bc and joey for the replies...

it would be a great trip next summer...

charleslanger · Jul 3, 2006

joeyfitzclick said:
give us a run down of what it is like to live there .

Honestly it is awesome. I came here for the summer in '94 right out of high school to experience the country and watch the WC and never went back to Ireland. The biggest negative I consistently hear is that there is no industry here and so not many jobs outside of the tourism business. Well I worked my way up working in the restaurants etc but now I make a nice living in real estate and so I'm happy. Beautiful town, great bar/restaurant scene, beaches, cliff walks, world class golf (I'm playing Carnegie Abbey at 1:30), little or no crime and really GREAT people. I really like living here and would recommend a visit to antone, anytime of the year.

Yeah, beautiful. I used to hang out summers at the simulcast place...before the web took off.

Hedging my Sorenstam bet.....

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